COLL

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.

34
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential29/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

COLL trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over COLL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

COLL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Strong

COLL's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

COLL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x174x232x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x174x232x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward3.5x$24.95—
Cheap13x$12.57-50%
Fair19x$19.08-24%
Current25x$24.95—
Expensive34x$33.57+35%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

COLL's PE is in its expensive range at 25x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 3.5x, in its cheap range.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR has the edge over COLL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

COLL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect COLL's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over COLL on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

COLL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$28.83
Downside-37%$15.66

Calculated from the latest close: $24.95 on Nov 12.

COLL trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than COLL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

COLL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.18Q1 2024: $2.40Q2 2024: $2.58Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $1.86Q1 2025: $1.22Q2 2025: $1.04Q3 2025: $1.61Q4 2025: $1.71Q1 2026: $2.04Q2 2026: $1.24Q3 2026: $1.00Forward: $7.07
Q4 2023: $1.18Q1 2024: $2.40Q2 2024: $2.58Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $1.86Q1 2025: $1.22Q2 2025: $1.04Q3 2025: $1.61Q4 2025: $1.71Q1 2026: $2.04Q2 2026: $1.24Q3 2026: $1.00Forward: $7.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.07+607%
Q3 2026$1.00-38%
Q2 2026$1.24+19%
Q1 2026$2.04+67%
Q4 2025$1.71-8.1%
Q3 2025$1.61-31%
Q2 2025$1.04-60%
Q1 2025$1.22-49%
Q4 2024$1.86+58%

COLL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.00 over the past year, against $2.72 in mid-2021.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over COLL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COLL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $150MQ1 2024: $145MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $159MQ4 2024: $182MQ1 2025: $178MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $209MQ4 2025: $205MQ1 2026: $194MQ2 2026: $200MQ3 2026: $216M
Q4 2023: $150MQ1 2024: $145MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $159MQ4 2024: $182MQ1 2025: $178MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $209MQ4 2025: $205MQ1 2026: $194MQ2 2026: $200MQ3 2026: $216M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$216.3M+3.3%
Q2 2026$199.9M+6.3%
Q1 2026$193.5M+8.9%
Q4 2025$205.4M+13%
Q3 2025$209.4M+31%
Q2 2025$188M+29%
Q1 2025$177.8M+23%
Q4 2024$181.9M+22%

COLL's revenue has grown year over year for 18 quarters in a row: $216M last quarter, up 3.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over COLL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

COLL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $73MQ1 2024: $61MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $84MQ1 2025: $55MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $122MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $86M
Q4 2023: $73MQ1 2024: $61MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $84MQ1 2025: $55MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $122MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $86M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$86.3M+10%
Q2 2026$70.8M-2.1%
Q1 2026$56.8M+4.1%
Q4 2025$122.4M+46%
Q3 2025$78.3M+$87.5M
Q2 2025$72.4M+7.8%
Q1 2025$54.6M-11%
Q4 2024$84.1M+15%

COLL generated $336M in free cash flow over the past year, up 16% from the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1.2B, but it generated $4.1B over the past year.

COLL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 40MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 32MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 40MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 32MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+20%+6.7M shares
1 year-0.8%-329K shares
3 years-7%-2.9M shares
5 years+7.9%+2.8M shares
Available history+16%+5.5M shares

COLL has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

COLL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.0xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

COLL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over COLL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

COLL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.8Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

COLL's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

COLL PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricCOLLSector medianRelative
PE25x26x3.5% below
PE %662937 pts above

COLL is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR has the edge over COLL on valuation relative to its sector.

COLL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.27.5% above
20 week MA$27.28.2% below
50 week MA$34.728% below
100 week MA$33.726% below
200 week MA$31.621% below

COLL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 21% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over COLL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COLL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.0$18.6-12%
2021$18.6$19.5+4.9%
2022$19.5$23.0+18%
2023$23.0$30.8+34%
2024$30.8$29.1-5.4%
2025$29.1$49.8+71%
2026 YTD$49.8$25.0-50%

COLL is down 50% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over COLL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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