COLL

Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc.

34
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential29/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

COLL's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 25x earnings, above its usual 19x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady, though they disagree widely on how much.

COLL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Strong

COLL's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

COLL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x174x232x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x174x232x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward3.5x$24.95—
Cheap13x$12.57-50%
Fair19x$19.08-24%
Current25x$24.95—
Expensive34x$33.57+35%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

COLL's PE is in its expensive range at 25x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 3.5x, in its cheap range.

COLL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect COLL's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

COLL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$28.83
Downside-37%$15.66

Calculated from the latest close: $24.95 on Nov 12.

COLL's one-year downside scenario is more than twice its upside: −37% against +16%.

COLL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.18Q1 2024: $2.40Q2 2024: $2.58Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $1.86Q1 2025: $1.22Q2 2025: $1.04Q3 2025: $1.61Q4 2025: $1.71Q1 2026: $2.04Q2 2026: $1.24Q3 2026: $1.00Forward: $7.07
Q4 2023: $1.18Q1 2024: $2.40Q2 2024: $2.58Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $1.86Q1 2025: $1.22Q2 2025: $1.04Q3 2025: $1.61Q4 2025: $1.71Q1 2026: $2.04Q2 2026: $1.24Q3 2026: $1.00Forward: $7.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.07+607%
Q3 2026$1.00-38%
Q2 2026$1.24+19%
Q1 2026$2.04+67%
Q4 2025$1.71-8.1%
Q3 2025$1.61-31%
Q2 2025$1.04-60%
Q1 2025$1.22-49%
Q4 2024$1.86+58%

COLL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.00 over the past year, against $2.72 in mid-2021.

COLL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $150MQ1 2024: $145MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $159MQ4 2024: $182MQ1 2025: $178MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $209MQ4 2025: $205MQ1 2026: $194MQ2 2026: $200MQ3 2026: $216M
Q4 2023: $150MQ1 2024: $145MQ2 2024: $145MQ3 2024: $159MQ4 2024: $182MQ1 2025: $178MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $209MQ4 2025: $205MQ1 2026: $194MQ2 2026: $200MQ3 2026: $216M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$216.3M+3.3%
Q2 2026$199.9M+6.3%
Q1 2026$193.5M+8.9%
Q4 2025$205.4M+13%
Q3 2025$209.4M+31%
Q2 2025$188M+29%
Q1 2025$177.8M+23%
Q4 2024$181.9M+22%

COLL's revenue has grown year over year for 18 quarters in a row: $216M last quarter, up 3.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

COLL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $73MQ1 2024: $61MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $84MQ1 2025: $55MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $122MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $86M
Q4 2023: $73MQ1 2024: $61MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $84MQ1 2025: $55MQ2 2025: $72MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $122MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $71MQ3 2026: $86M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$86.3M+10%
Q2 2026$70.8M-2.1%
Q1 2026$56.8M+4.1%
Q4 2025$122.4M+46%
Q3 2025$78.3M+$87.5M
Q2 2025$72.4M+7.8%
Q1 2025$54.6M-11%
Q4 2024$84.1M+15%

COLL generated $336M in free cash flow over the past year, up 16% from the year before.

COLL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 40MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 32MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 40MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 32MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+20%+6.7M shares
1 year-0.8%-329K shares
3 years-7%-2.9M shares
5 years+7.9%+2.8M shares
Available history+16%+5.5M shares

COLL has 39M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago.

COLL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.0xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

COLL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

COLL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.8Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

COLL's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

COLL PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricCOLLSector medianRelative
PE25x26x3.5% below
PE %662937 pts above

COLL is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

COLL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.27.5% above
20 week MA$27.28.2% below
50 week MA$34.728% below
100 week MA$33.726% below
200 week MA$31.621% below

COLL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 21% below its 200-week average.

COLL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.0$18.6-12%
2021$18.6$19.5+4.9%
2022$19.5$23.0+18%
2023$23.0$30.8+34%
2024$30.8$29.1-5.4%
2025$29.1$49.8+71%
2026 YTD$49.8$25.0-50%

COLL is down 50% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key