COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

UPST

Upstart Holdings, Inc.

62
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

UPST's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 31x earnings, less than half its usual 75x. Analysts expect earnings to decline, though they disagree widely on how much.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

UPST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

UPST's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UPST.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UPST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1549x3098x4647x6196x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1549x3098x4647x6196x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$19.15—
Cheap30x$18.54-3.2%
Current31x$19.15—
Fair75x$46.41+142%
Expensive441x$273+1328%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UPST's PE is in its cheap range at 31x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 18x.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UPST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect UPST's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and UPST's risk to reward.

UPST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+74%$33.35
Downside-33%$12.87

Calculated from the latest close: $19.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and UPST's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

UPST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.87Q1 2024: $-2.03Q2 2024: $-2.31Q3 2024: $-1.90Q4 2024: $-1.44Q1 2025: $-0.73Q2 2025: $-0.06Q3 2025: $0.24Q4 2025: $0.45Q1 2026: $0.41Q2 2026: $0.52Q3 2026: $0.62Forward: $1.04
Q4 2023: $-2.87Q1 2024: $-2.03Q2 2024: $-2.31Q3 2024: $-1.90Q4 2024: $-1.44Q1 2025: $-0.73Q2 2025: $-0.06Q3 2025: $0.24Q4 2025: $0.45Q1 2026: $0.41Q2 2026: $0.52Q3 2026: $0.62Forward: $1.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.04+67%
Q3 2026$0.62+158%
Q2 2026$0.52+$0.58
Q1 2026$0.41+$1.14
Q4 2025$0.45+$1.89
Q3 2025$0.24+$2.14
Q2 2025-$0.06+$2.25
Q1 2025-$0.73+$1.30
Q4 2024-$1.44+$1.43

UPST has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

UPST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $140MQ1 2024: $128MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $219MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $257MQ3 2025: $277MQ4 2025: $296MQ1 2026: $308MQ2 2026: $365MQ3 2026: $371M
Q4 2023: $140MQ1 2024: $128MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $219MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $257MQ3 2025: $277MQ4 2025: $296MQ1 2026: $308MQ2 2026: $365MQ3 2026: $371M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$370.5M+34%
Q2 2026$364.7M+42%
Q1 2026$308.2M+44%
Q4 2025$296.1M+35%
Q3 2025$277.1M+71%
Q2 2025$257.3M+102%
Q1 2025$213.4M+67%
Q4 2024$219M+56%

UPST has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN has the edge over UPST on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

UPST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$144MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $65MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: −$111MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: −$120MQ3 2025: −$123MQ4 2025: $108MQ1 2026: −$136MQ2 2026: −$139MQ3 2026: −$21M
Q4 2023: −$144MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $65MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: −$111MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: −$120MQ3 2025: −$123MQ4 2025: $108MQ1 2026: −$136MQ2 2026: −$139MQ3 2026: −$21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$20.6M+$102.1M
Q2 2026-$138.7M-$18.4M
Q1 2026-$136M-$122.6M
Q4 2025$108.4M+$219.3M
Q3 2025-$122.7M-168%
Q2 2025-$120.3M-284%
Q1 2025-$13.5M-126%
Q4 2024-$110.9M+$33M

UPST's free cash flow was −$187M over the past year, against −$367M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UPST.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has the edge over UPST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UPST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 84MQ1 2024: 87MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 90MQ4 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 94MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 125M
Q4 2023: 84MQ1 2024: 87MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 90MQ4 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 94MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 125M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+14%+15.7M shares
1 year+14%+15.7M shares
3 years+49%+41M shares
5 years+31%+29.4M shares
Available history+771%+111M shares

UPST has 125M diluted shares, up 14% from a year ago.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

UPST Net Leverage

Q3 2025: -11.7xQ4 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -7.4xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.3x
Q3 2025: -11.7xQ4 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -7.4xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-7.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-11.7xNet Cash
Q3 2022-39.2xNet Cash
Q2 2022-7.7xNet Cash
Q1 2022-4.5xNet Cash

UPST has the edge over COIN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

UPST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.1Neutral
Stochastic5.5Oversold

UPST's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UPST PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricUPSTSector medianRelative
PE31x13x137% above
PE %186143 pts below

UPST is trading at 31x earnings, a 137% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

UPST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.816% below
20 week MA$26.728% below
50 week MA$31.740% below
100 week MA$44.857% below
200 week MA$38.650% below

UPST is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 50% below its 200-week average.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN has the edge over UPST on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UPST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.1$44.0-0.3%
2021$44.0$148.1+237%
2022$148.1$13.2-91%
2023$13.2$40.9+210%
2024$40.9$68.0+66%
2025$68.0$47.5-30%
2026 YTD$47.5$19.2-60%

UPST's yearly returns have swung widely, from +237% in 2021 to −91% in 2022. It's down 60% so far in 2026.

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