COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

UFCS

United Fire Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

UFCS's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 12%, while its operating margin rose 1 points to 11%. At 9.8x earnings, it's trading below its usual 11x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

UFCS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

UFCS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UFCS.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UFCS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x76x113x151x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x76x113x151x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.9x$46.41-9.5%
Current9.8x$51.30—
Fair11x$59.07+15%
Forward11x$51.30—
Expensive44x$229+347%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UFCS's PE is in its cheap range at 9.8x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x, in its fair range.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UFCS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UFCS, with profitability holding steady.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and UFCS's risk to reward.

UFCS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$66.33
Downside-14%$44.03

Calculated from the latest close: $51.30 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and UFCS's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

UFCS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.18Q1 2024: $-0.69Q2 2024: $1.43Q3 2024: $1.94Q4 2024: $2.39Q1 2025: $2.54Q2 2025: $3.52Q3 2025: $4.25Q4 2025: $4.48Q1 2026: $4.96Q2 2026: $5.38Q3 2026: $5.23Forward: $4.63
Q4 2023: $-1.18Q1 2024: $-0.69Q2 2024: $1.43Q3 2024: $1.94Q4 2024: $2.39Q1 2025: $2.54Q2 2025: $3.52Q3 2025: $4.25Q4 2025: $4.48Q1 2026: $4.96Q2 2026: $5.38Q3 2026: $5.23Forward: $4.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.63-11%
Q3 2026$5.23+23%
Q2 2026$5.38+53%
Q1 2026$4.96+95%
Q4 2025$4.48+87%
Q3 2025$4.25+119%
Q2 2025$3.52+146%
Q1 2025$2.54+$3.23
Q4 2024$2.39+$3.57

UFCS has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

UFCS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $287MQ1 2024: $296MQ2 2024: $301MQ3 2024: $323MQ4 2024: $333MQ1 2025: $331MQ2 2025: $335MQ3 2025: $354MQ4 2025: $366MQ1 2026: $369MQ2 2026: $384MQ3 2026: $392M
Q4 2023: $287MQ1 2024: $296MQ2 2024: $301MQ3 2024: $323MQ4 2024: $333MQ1 2025: $331MQ2 2025: $335MQ3 2025: $354MQ4 2025: $366MQ1 2026: $369MQ2 2026: $384MQ3 2026: $392M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$391.6M+11%
Q2 2026$383.7M+14%
Q1 2026$369.4M+12%
Q4 2025$365.8M+9.8%
Q3 2025$354M+9.6%
Q2 2025$335.5M+11%
Q1 2025$331.1M+12%
Q4 2024$333.2M+16%

UFCS has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

UFCS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $156MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $101M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: $156MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $120MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $34MQ3 2026: $101M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$101.1M+66%
Q2 2026$34.2M-36%
Q1 2026$56.6M+59%
Q4 2025$119.8M-23%
Q3 2025$60.8M+7.8%
Q2 2025$53.4M-42%
Q1 2025$35.7M-1.3%
Q4 2024$156.4M+603%

UFCS's free cash flow was $312M over the past year, up 1.8% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UFCS.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has the edge over UFCS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UFCS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 26MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+271K shares
1 year-0.8%-201K shares
3 years+2.3%+587K shares
5 years+4.3%+1.1M shares
Available history+2.3%+584K shares

UFCS has 26M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over UFCS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UFCS Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -2.7xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.0xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.0xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -2.7xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.0xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.0xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.0xVery low
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.3xNet Cash

UFCS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UFCS.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

UFCS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.5Neutral
Stochastic44.4Neutral

UFCS's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UFCS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricUFCSSector medianRelative
PE9.8x13x25% below
PE %316332 pts below

UFCS is trading at 9.8x earnings, a 25% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

UFCS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$54.15.2% below
20 week MA$53.74.4% below
50 week MA$45.513% above
100 week MA$37.338% above
200 week MA$30.171% above

UFCS has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

UFCS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$43.2$24.5-43%
2021$24.5$23.3-4.9%
2022$23.3$28.4+22%
2023$28.4$20.1-29%
2024$20.1$28.5+42%
2025$28.5$36.4+28%
2026 YTD$36.4$51.3+41%

UFCS has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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