COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

THG

The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.

59
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

THG's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 21%, while revenue grew 5%. At 12x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 13x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

THG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

THG's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like THG.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

THG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE36x72x108x145x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE36x72x108x145x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$219-12%
Current12x$248—
Fair13x$273+9.9%
Forward13x$248—
Expensive17x$360+45%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

THG's PE is in its fair range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13x.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

THG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect THG's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and THG's risk to reward.

THG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$284.07
Downside-13%$215.69

Calculated from the latest close: $247.99 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and THG's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

THG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $4.50Q2 2024: $7.56Q3 2024: $10.12Q4 2024: $11.70Q1 2025: $12.02Q2 2025: $15.20Q3 2025: $17.30Q4 2025: $18.16Q1 2026: $19.86Q2 2026: $20.94Q3 2026: $20.90Forward: $19.65
Q4 2023: $0.98Q1 2024: $4.50Q2 2024: $7.56Q3 2024: $10.12Q4 2024: $11.70Q1 2025: $12.02Q2 2025: $15.20Q3 2025: $17.30Q4 2025: $18.16Q1 2026: $19.86Q2 2026: $20.94Q3 2026: $20.90Forward: $19.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.65-6%
Q3 2026$20.90+21%
Q2 2026$20.94+38%
Q1 2026$19.86+65%
Q4 2025$18.16+55%
Q3 2025$17.30+71%
Q2 2025$15.20+101%
Q1 2025$12.02+167%
Q4 2024$11.70+1094%

THG has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

THG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+4.2%
Q2 2026$1.7B+4.3%
Q1 2026$1.7B+6.1%
Q4 2025$1.7B+5.5%
Q3 2025$1.7B+6.4%
Q2 2025$1.7B+7.7%
Q1 2025$1.6B+3.4%
Q4 2024$1.6B+3.6%

THG has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

THG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $91MQ1 2024: $56MQ2 2024: $137MQ3 2024: $392MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $205MQ3 2025: $551MQ4 2025: $377MQ1 2026: $115MQ2 2026: $209MQ3 2026: $518M
Q4 2023: $91MQ1 2024: $56MQ2 2024: $137MQ3 2024: $392MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $37MQ2 2025: $205MQ3 2025: $551MQ4 2025: $377MQ1 2026: $115MQ2 2026: $209MQ3 2026: $518M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$518M-6.1%
Q2 2026$209.4M+2.2%
Q1 2026$115.3M+211%
Q4 2025$377M+79%
Q3 2025$551.4M+41%
Q2 2025$204.9M+49%
Q1 2025$37.1M-34%
Q4 2024$210.5M+133%

THG has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has 288M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.

THG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 36MQ2 2024: 36MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 36MQ1 2024: 36MQ2 2024: 36MQ3 2024: 37MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 37MQ2 2025: 37MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 37MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-100K shares
1 year-2.5%-900K shares
3 years-1.7%-600K shares
5 years-2.2%-800K shares
Available history-13%-5.1M shares

THG has the edge over COIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over THG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

THG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -1.1xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -1.1xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

THG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like THG.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

THG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI73.1Overbought
Stochastic82.0Overbought

THG's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

THG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTHGSector medianRelative
PE12x13x8.8% below
PE %366327 pts below

THG is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

THG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$232.56.7% above
20 week MA$227.39.1% above
50 week MA$200.124% above
100 week MA$184.135% above
200 week MA$156.459% above

THG has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

THG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$136.4$116.1-15%
2021$116.1$127.7+10%
2022$127.7$137.4+7.6%
2023$137.4$121.4-12%
2024$121.4$154.3+27%
2025$154.3$184.2+19%
2026 YTD$184.2$248.0+35%

THG has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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