THG
The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.
THG's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 21%, while revenue grew 5%. At 12x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 13x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
THG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
THG's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like THG.
THG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 10x | $219 | -12% |
| Current | 12x | $248 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $273 | +9.9% |
| Forward | 13x | $248 | — |
| Expensive | 17x | $360 | +45% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
THG's PE is in its fair range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 13x.
THG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect THG's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
THG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $19.65 | -6% |
| Q3 2026 | $20.90 | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $20.94 | +38% |
| Q1 2026 | $19.86 | +65% |
| Q4 2025 | $18.16 | +55% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.30 | +71% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.20 | +101% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.02 | +167% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.70 | +1094% |
THG's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $20.90 over the past year, up 21% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.
THG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.7B | +4.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +4.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | +6.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.7B | +5.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.7B | +6.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.7B | +7.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.6B | +3.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.6B | +3.6% |
THG's revenue has grown year over year for 17 quarters in a row: $1.7B last quarter, up 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 15% | +1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +3.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +1.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +5.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +6.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | +5.7 points |
THG's operating margin was 14% last quarter, down 0.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
THG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $518M | -6.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $209.4M | +2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $115.3M | +211% |
| Q4 2025 | $377M | +79% |
| Q3 2025 | $551.4M | +41% |
| Q2 2025 | $204.9M | +49% |
| Q1 2025 | $37.1M | -34% |
| Q4 2024 | $210.5M | +133% |
THG's free cash flow was $1.2B over the past year, up 21% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like THG.
THG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -100K shares |
| 1 year | -2.5% | -900K shares |
| 3 years | -1.7% | -600K shares |
| 5 years | -2.2% | -800K shares |
| Available history | -13% | -5.1M shares |
THG has 36M diluted shares, down 2.5% from a year ago, with $283M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $86.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $55M |
| Q1 2026 | $86.9M |
| Q4 2025 | $54.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $36M |
| Q2 2025 | $27.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $11M |
| Q3 2023 | — |
THG spent $283M buying back its own shares over the past year.
THG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.5x | Very low |
THG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like THG.
THG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 73.1 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 82.0 | Overbought |
THG's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).
THG PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | THG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 8.8% below |
| PE % | 36 | 63 | 27 pts below |
THG is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
THG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $232.5 | 6.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $227.3 | 9.1% above |
| 50 week MA | $200.1 | 24% above |
| 100 week MA | $184.1 | 35% above |
| 200 week MA | $156.4 | 59% above |
THG is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 59% above its 200-week average.
THG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $136.4 | $116.1 | -15% |
| 2021 | $116.1 | $127.7 | +10% |
| 2022 | $127.7 | $137.4 | +7.6% |
| 2023 | $137.4 | $121.4 | -12% |
| 2024 | $121.4 | $154.3 | +27% |
| 2025 | $154.3 | $184.2 | +19% |
| 2026 YTD | $184.2 | $248.0 | +35% |
THG has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 35% so far in 2026.