COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

STT

State Street Corporation

61
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

STT's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 13% and earnings per share grew 30%. At 14x earnings, it's trading above its usual 13x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

STT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

STT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like STT.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

STT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$122-30%
Forward12x$174—
Fair13x$153-12%
Current14x$174—
Expensive15x$183+5.6%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

STT's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

STT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

STT has the edge over COIN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and STT's risk to reward.

STT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$216.07
Downside-9%$158.61

Calculated from the latest close: $173.70 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and STT's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

STT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.58Q1 2024: $5.43Q2 2024: $5.41Q3 2024: $6.42Q4 2024: $8.21Q1 2025: $8.88Q2 2025: $8.90Q3 2025: $9.42Q4 2025: $9.40Q1 2026: $9.85Q2 2026: $11.33Q3 2026: $12.24Forward: $14.95
Q4 2023: $5.58Q1 2024: $5.43Q2 2024: $5.41Q3 2024: $6.42Q4 2024: $8.21Q1 2025: $8.88Q2 2025: $8.90Q3 2025: $9.42Q4 2025: $9.40Q1 2026: $9.85Q2 2026: $11.33Q3 2026: $12.24Forward: $14.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$14.95+22%
Q3 2026$12.24+30%
Q2 2026$11.33+27%
Q1 2026$9.85+11%
Q4 2025$9.40+14%
Q3 2025$9.42+47%
Q2 2025$8.90+65%
Q1 2025$8.88+64%
Q4 2024$8.21+47%

STT has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

STT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $3.4BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $3.4BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4B+13%
Q2 2026$4B+17%
Q1 2026$3.8B+16%
Q4 2025$3.7B+7.4%
Q3 2025$3.5B+6.1%
Q2 2025$3.4B+8.1%
Q1 2025$3.3B+4.7%
Q4 2024$3.4B+12%

STT has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN has the edge over STT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

STT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: −$1.1BQ2 2024: −$7.9BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: −$7.7BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: −$8.8BQ3 2025: $7.7BQ4 2025: $9.8BQ1 2026: −$12.4BQ2 2026: −$3BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: −$1.1BQ2 2024: −$7.9BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: −$7.7BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: −$8.8BQ3 2025: $7.7BQ4 2025: $9.8BQ1 2026: −$12.4BQ2 2026: −$3BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B-75%
Q2 2026-$3B+$5.8B
Q1 2026-$12.4B-672%
Q4 2025$9.8B+$17.5B
Q3 2025$7.7B+210%
Q2 2025-$8.8B-$903M
Q1 2025$2.2B+$3.2B
Q4 2024-$7.7B-299%

STT's free cash flow was −$3.7B over the past year, against −$6.6B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like STT.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has 288M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.

STT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 327MQ1 2024: 306MQ2 2024: 305MQ3 2024: 302MQ4 2024: 302MQ1 2025: 293MQ2 2025: 290MQ3 2025: 288MQ4 2025: 289MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 281MQ3 2026: 279M
Q4 2023: 327MQ1 2024: 306MQ2 2024: 305MQ3 2024: 302MQ4 2024: 302MQ1 2025: 293MQ2 2025: 290MQ3 2025: 288MQ4 2025: 289MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 281MQ3 2026: 279M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1.8M shares
1 year-3.1%-8.9M shares
3 years-12%-38M shares
5 years-21%-74.2M shares
Available history-25%-94.4M shares

STT has the edge over COIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

STT Net Leverage

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

STT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.5Neutral
Stochastic33.4Neutral

STT's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

STT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSTTSector medianRelative
PE14x13x9% above
PE %756312 pts above

STT is trading at 14x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

STT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$171.91.1% above
20 week MA$180.33.6% below
50 week MA$155.212% above
100 week MA$129.035% above
200 week MA$103.268% above

STT has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

STT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$80.1$71.8-10%
2021$71.8$93.0+30%
2022$93.0$77.5-17%
2023$77.5$77.50%
2024$77.5$98.6+27%
2025$98.6$132.3+34%
2026 YTD$132.3$173.7+31%

STT has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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