COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

OBT

Orange County Bancorp, Inc.

61
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation46/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

OBT's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 6 points to 45% and earnings per share grew 24%. At 11x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 10x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

OBT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

OBT's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OBT.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OBT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x6.9x10x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x6.9x10x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.9x$33.19-17%
Fair10x$37.40-6.2%
Current11x$39.86—
Forward11x$39.86—
Expensive12x$43.61+9.4%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OBT's PE is in its expensive range at 10.7x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 10.9x.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OBT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

OBT has the edge over COIN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and OBT's risk to reward.

OBT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$52.50
Downside-18%$32.68

Calculated from the latest close: $39.86 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and OBT's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

OBT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.62Q1 2024: $3.16Q2 2024: $3.08Q3 2024: $2.56Q4 2024: $2.47Q1 2025: $2.42Q2 2025: $2.56Q3 2025: $3.02Q4 2025: $3.33Q1 2026: $3.41Q2 2026: $3.56Q3 2026: $3.74Forward: $3.65
Q4 2023: $2.62Q1 2024: $3.16Q2 2024: $3.08Q3 2024: $2.56Q4 2024: $2.47Q1 2025: $2.42Q2 2025: $2.56Q3 2025: $3.02Q4 2025: $3.33Q1 2026: $3.41Q2 2026: $3.56Q3 2026: $3.74Forward: $3.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.65-2.3%
Q3 2026$3.74+24%
Q2 2026$3.56+39%
Q1 2026$3.41+41%
Q4 2025$3.33+35%
Q3 2025$3.02+18%
Q2 2025$2.56-17%
Q1 2025$2.42-23%
Q4 2024$2.47-5.7%

OBT has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

OBT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $26MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $35M
Q4 2023: $26MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $33MQ1 2026: $32MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $35M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$35.3M+4.6%
Q2 2026$27.8M-14%
Q1 2026$32.1M+15%
Q4 2025$33M+21%
Q3 2025$33.7M+24%
Q2 2025$32.5M+16%
Q1 2025$28M+11%
Q4 2024$27.4M+5.8%

OBT has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

OBT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$26.5M-11%
Q2 2026$12.3M+$18M
Q1 2026$9.7M+123%
Q4 2025$13.1M+11%
Q3 2025$29.6M+197%
Q2 2025-$5.7M-162%
Q1 2025$4.3M+117%
Q4 2024$11.7M-24%

OBT has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has the edge over OBT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OBT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 12MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+2.2K shares
1 year+0.3%+45.7K shares
3 years+19%+2.1M shares
5 years+27%+2.9M shares

OBT has 13M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over OBT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

OBT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -3.7xQ3 2024: -3.7xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -4.0xQ2 2025: -3.9xQ3 2025: -3.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -4.1xQ2 2026: -5.7xQ3 2026: -3.7x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -3.7xQ3 2024: -3.7xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -4.0xQ2 2025: -3.9xQ3 2025: -3.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -4.1xQ2 2026: -5.7xQ3 2026: -3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

OBT has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OBT.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

OBT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.4Neutral
Stochastic70.7Neutral

OBT's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OBT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricOBTSector medianRelative
PE11x13x18% below
PE %67634 pts above

OBT is trading at 11x earnings, a 18% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

OBT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$38.34.2% above
20 week MA$38.24.4% above
50 week MA$34.914% above
100 week MA$30.232% above
200 week MA$27.147% above

OBT has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

OBT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.7$13.6-7.3%
2021$13.6$19.7+45%
2022$19.7$23.3+18%
2023$23.3$30.1+29%
2024$30.1$27.4-8.9%
2025$27.4$28.7+4.5%
2026 YTD$28.7$39.9+39%

OBT has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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