COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

MTG

MGIC Investment Corporation

51
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MTG's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 5 points to 73% and revenue fell 2.2%. At 8.6x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 8.2x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

MTG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

MTG's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MTG.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.1x6.2x9.3x12x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.1x6.2x9.3x12x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.7x$18.32-34%
Fair8.2x$26.43-4.8%
Forward8.3x$27.76—
Current8.6x$27.76—
Expensive9.3x$29.95+7.9%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTG's PE is in its fair range at 8.6x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.3x next year's earnings.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MTG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MTG's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and MTG's risk to reward.

MTG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$32.54
Downside-10%$24.88

Calculated from the latest close: $27.76 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and MTG's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MTG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.49Q1 2024: $2.60Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $2.84Q4 2024: $2.89Q1 2025: $3.00Q2 2025: $3.04Q3 2025: $3.10Q4 2025: $3.14Q1 2026: $3.15Q2 2026: $3.20Q3 2026: $3.22Forward: $3.36
Q4 2023: $2.49Q1 2024: $2.60Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $2.84Q4 2024: $2.89Q1 2025: $3.00Q2 2025: $3.04Q3 2025: $3.10Q4 2025: $3.14Q1 2026: $3.15Q2 2026: $3.20Q3 2026: $3.22Forward: $3.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.36+4.4%
Q3 2026$3.22+3.9%
Q2 2026$3.20+5.3%
Q1 2026$3.15+5%
Q4 2025$3.14+8.7%
Q3 2025$3.10+9.2%
Q2 2025$3.04+12%
Q1 2025$3.00+15%
Q4 2024$2.89+16%

MTG has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

MTG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $284MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $305MQ3 2024: $307MQ4 2024: $301MQ1 2025: $306MQ2 2025: $304MQ3 2025: $305MQ4 2025: $299MQ1 2026: $297MQ2 2026: $295MQ3 2026: $299M
Q4 2023: $284MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $305MQ3 2024: $307MQ4 2024: $301MQ1 2025: $306MQ2 2025: $304MQ3 2025: $305MQ4 2025: $299MQ1 2026: $297MQ2 2026: $295MQ3 2026: $299M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$299.1M-1.8%
Q2 2026$295.4M-2.9%
Q1 2026$297.1M-3%
Q4 2025$298.7M-0.9%
Q3 2025$304.5M-0.7%
Q2 2025$304.2M-0.3%
Q1 2025$306.2M+4%
Q4 2024$301.4M+6.2%

MTG's revenue has held roughly level: $299M last quarter, down 1.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

MTG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $186MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $182MQ4 2024: $182MQ1 2025: $224MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $215MQ4 2025: $230MQ1 2026: $77MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $216M
Q4 2023: $186MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $182MQ4 2024: $182MQ1 2025: $224MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $215MQ4 2025: $230MQ1 2026: $77MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $216M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$216.3M+0.6%
Q2 2026$184.5M+0.8%
Q1 2026$76.7M-66%
Q4 2025$230.2M+27%
Q3 2025$215.1M+18%
Q2 2025$183M+8.3%
Q1 2025$223.5M+17%
Q4 2024$181.9M-2.1%

MTG has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has 288M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.

MTG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 287MQ1 2024: 273MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 261MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 246MQ2 2025: 238MQ3 2025: 231MQ4 2025: 235MQ1 2026: 218MQ2 2026: 211MQ3 2026: 205M
Q4 2023: 287MQ1 2024: 273MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 261MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 246MQ2 2025: 238MQ3 2025: 231MQ4 2025: 235MQ1 2026: 218MQ2 2026: 211MQ3 2026: 205M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.6%-5.5M shares
1 year-11%-26M shares
3 years-28%-80.2M shares
5 years-42%-148M shares
Available history-45%-169M shares

MTG has the edge over COIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over MTG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MTG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.4xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

MTG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MTG.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MTG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.6Neutral
Stochastic42.7Neutral

MTG's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMTGSector medianRelative
PE8.6x13x34% below
PE %62631 pt below

MTG is trading at 8.6x earnings, a 34% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

MTG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.01% below
20 week MA$29.25.1% below
50 week MA$27.90.5% below
100 week MA$27.02.9% above
200 week MA$23.120% above

MTG has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

MTG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.1$12.3-13%
2021$12.3$14.1+15%
2022$14.1$12.9-8.2%
2023$12.9$19.3+49%
2024$19.3$23.7+23%
2025$23.7$29.8+26%
2026 YTD$29.8$27.8-6.8%

MTG has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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