COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

MTB

M&T Bank Corporation

60
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

MTB's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 18%, while revenue grew 4%. At 12x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 12x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

MTB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

MTB's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MTB.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.1x$174-21%
Forward11x$220—
Fair12x$230+4.8%
Current12x$220—
Expensive14x$269+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTB's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MTB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MTB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and MTB's risk to reward.

MTB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$269.52
Downside-12%$193.56

Calculated from the latest close: $219.78 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and MTB's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MTB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $15.79Q1 2024: $14.80Q2 2024: $13.48Q3 2024: $13.52Q4 2024: $14.64Q1 2025: $14.94Q2 2025: $15.45Q3 2025: $16.25Q4 2025: $17.00Q1 2026: $17.81Q2 2026: $18.89Q3 2026: $19.11Forward: $20.37
Q4 2023: $15.79Q1 2024: $14.80Q2 2024: $13.48Q3 2024: $13.52Q4 2024: $14.64Q1 2025: $14.94Q2 2025: $15.45Q3 2025: $16.25Q4 2025: $17.00Q1 2026: $17.81Q2 2026: $18.89Q3 2026: $19.11Forward: $20.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.37+6.6%
Q3 2026$19.11+18%
Q2 2026$18.89+22%
Q1 2026$17.81+19%
Q4 2025$17.00+16%
Q3 2025$16.25+20%
Q2 2025$15.45+15%
Q1 2025$14.94+0.9%
Q4 2024$14.64-7.3%

MTB has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

MTB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $2.3BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $2.3BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B+0.9%
Q2 2026$2.5B+5.7%
Q1 2026$2.4B+5.9%
Q4 2025$2.5B+3.8%
Q3 2025$2.5B+7.8%
Q2 2025$2.4B+4.1%
Q1 2025$2.3B+2%
Q4 2024$2.4B+3.7%

MTB has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

MTB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $608MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $635MQ2 2025: $844MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $608MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $635MQ2 2025: $844MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+25%
Q2 2026$1.3B+50%
Q1 2026$1B+59%
Q4 2025$523M-69%
Q3 2025$1B+$1B
Q2 2025$844M-38%
Q1 2025$635M+4.4%
Q3 2024-$28M-102%

MTB has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has 288M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.

MTB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 167MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 168MQ3 2024: 168MQ4 2024: 167MQ1 2025: 165MQ2 2025: 160MQ3 2025: 157MQ4 2025: 159MQ1 2026: 150MQ2 2026: 147MQ3 2026: 145M
Q4 2023: 167MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 168MQ3 2024: 168MQ4 2024: 167MQ1 2025: 165MQ2 2025: 160MQ3 2025: 157MQ4 2025: 159MQ1 2026: 150MQ2 2026: 147MQ3 2026: 145M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-1.6M shares
1 year-7.3%-11.4M shares
3 years-13%-21.4M shares
5 years+13%+16.3M shares
Available history+8%+10.7M shares

MTB has the edge over COIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over MTB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MTB Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 4.2xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ3 2026: 4.3x
Q2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 4.2xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ3 2026: 4.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.3xHigh
Q2 20263.8xElevated
Q1 20264.2xHigh
Q4 20252.8xModerate
Q3 20253.3xElevated
Q2 20253.2xElevated

MTB's net debt is about 4.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MTB.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MTB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic17.4Oversold

MTB's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMTBSector medianRelative
PE12x13x12% below
PE %396324 pts below

MTB is trading at 12x earnings, a 12% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

MTB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$219.10.3% above
20 week MA$233.45.8% below
50 week MA$222.21.1% below
100 week MA$204.87.3% above
200 week MA$175.325% above

MTB has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

MTB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$169.6$125.0-26%
2021$125.0$151.0+21%
2022$151.0$144.6-4.2%
2023$144.6$137.1-5.2%
2024$137.1$189.2+38%
2025$189.2$207.3+9.5%
2026 YTD$207.3$219.8+6%

MTB has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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