COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

MSCI

MSCI Inc.

65
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

MSCI's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 34x earnings, below its usual 44x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

MSCI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MSCI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MSCI.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSCI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x42x63x84x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x42x63x84x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$652—
Current34x$652—
Cheap36x$680+4.4%
Fair44x$824+27%
Expensive60x$1,132+74%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSCI's PE is in its cheap range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSCI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

MSCI has the edge over COIN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and MSCI's risk to reward.

MSCI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$787.50
Downside-13%$568.09

Calculated from the latest close: $651.51 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and MSCI's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MSCI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $14.39Q1 2024: $14.64Q2 2024: $14.92Q3 2024: $15.22Q4 2024: $14.05Q1 2025: $14.54Q2 2025: $15.09Q3 2025: $15.77Q4 2025: $15.69Q1 2026: $17.51Q2 2026: $18.28Q3 2026: $18.89Forward: $21.70
Q4 2023: $14.39Q1 2024: $14.64Q2 2024: $14.92Q3 2024: $15.22Q4 2024: $14.05Q1 2025: $14.54Q2 2025: $15.09Q3 2025: $15.77Q4 2025: $15.69Q1 2026: $17.51Q2 2026: $18.28Q3 2026: $18.89Forward: $21.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$21.70+15%
Q3 2026$18.89+20%
Q2 2026$18.28+21%
Q1 2026$17.51+20%
Q4 2025$15.69+12%
Q3 2025$15.77+3.6%
Q2 2025$15.09+1.1%
Q1 2025$14.54-0.7%
Q4 2024$14.05-2.4%

MSCI has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSCI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $690MQ1 2024: $680MQ2 2024: $708MQ3 2024: $725MQ4 2024: $744MQ1 2025: $746MQ2 2025: $773MQ3 2025: $793MQ4 2025: $823MQ1 2026: $851MQ2 2026: $867MQ3 2026: $892M
Q4 2023: $690MQ1 2024: $680MQ2 2024: $708MQ3 2024: $725MQ4 2024: $744MQ1 2025: $746MQ2 2025: $773MQ3 2025: $793MQ4 2025: $823MQ1 2026: $851MQ2 2026: $867MQ3 2026: $892M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$892M+12%
Q2 2026$867M+12%
Q1 2026$850.8M+14%
Q4 2025$822.5M+11%
Q3 2025$793.4M+9.5%
Q2 2025$772.7M+9.1%
Q1 2025$745.8M+9.7%
Q4 2024$743.5M+7.7%

MSCI has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

MSCI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $385MQ1 2024: $296MQ2 2024: $341MQ3 2024: $415MQ4 2024: $416MQ1 2025: $290MQ2 2025: $325MQ3 2025: $446MQ4 2025: $489MQ1 2026: $304MQ2 2026: $360MQ3 2026: $423M
Q4 2023: $385MQ1 2024: $296MQ2 2024: $341MQ3 2024: $415MQ4 2024: $416MQ1 2025: $290MQ2 2025: $325MQ3 2025: $446MQ4 2025: $489MQ1 2026: $304MQ2 2026: $360MQ3 2026: $423M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$422.7M-5.1%
Q2 2026$359.8M+11%
Q1 2026$304M+4.7%
Q4 2025$488.7M+17%
Q3 2025$445.5M+7.4%
Q2 2025$324.7M-4.7%
Q1 2025$290.2M-1.9%
Q4 2024$416.4M+8.1%

MSCI has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has 288M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.

MSCI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 80MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 77MQ3 2025: 77MQ4 2025: 77MQ1 2026: 73MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 72M
Q4 2023: 80MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 77MQ3 2025: 77MQ4 2025: 77MQ1 2026: 73MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 72M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-600K shares
1 year-5.6%-4.3M shares
3 years-9.1%-7.2M shares
5 years-13%-11.3M shares
Available history-15%-13.2M shares

MSCI has the edge over COIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over MSCI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSCI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.6xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.3x
Q4 2023: 2.9xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.6xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.3xQ1 2026: 3.3xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.3xElevated
Q2 20263.2xElevated
Q1 20263.3xElevated
Q4 20253.3xElevated
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20252.6xModerate
Q1 20252.6xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

MSCI's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.0 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MSCI.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MSCI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.8Neutral
Stochastic83.3Overbought

MSCI's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSCI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSCISector medianRelative
PE34x13x165% above
PE %116352 pts below

MSCI is trading at 34x earnings, a 165% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

MSCI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$594.19.7% above
20 week MA$583.012% above
50 week MA$575.813% above
100 week MA$571.314% above
200 week MA$551.718% above

MSCI has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

MSCI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$260.0$432.5+66%
2021$432.5$611.3+41%
2022$611.3$463.8-24%
2023$463.8$565.7+22%
2024$565.7$609.6+7.8%
2025$609.6$585.0-4%
2026 YTD$585.0$651.5+11%

MSCI has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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