MSCI
MSCI Inc.
MSCI's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 34x earnings, below its usual 44x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
MSCI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MSCI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MSCI.
MSCI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $652 | — |
| Current | 34x | $652 | — |
| Cheap | 36x | $680 | +4.4% |
| Fair | 44x | $824 | +27% |
| Expensive | 60x | $1,132 | +74% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSCI's PE is in its cheap range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings.
MSCI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MSCI, with profitability improving.
MSCI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $21.70 | +15% |
| Q3 2026 | $18.89 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $18.28 | +21% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.51 | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.69 | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.77 | +3.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.09 | +1.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $14.54 | -0.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.05 | -2.4% |
MSCI earned $18.89 per share over the past year, up 20% from the year before.
MSCI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $892M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $867M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $850.8M | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $822.5M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $793.4M | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $772.7M | +9.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $745.8M | +9.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $743.5M | +7.7% |
MSCI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $892M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 56% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 56% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 54% | +3.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 56% | +1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 56% | +1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 55% | +1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 51% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +0.8 points |
MSCI's operating margin was 56% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
MSCI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $422.7M | -5.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $359.8M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $304M | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $488.7M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $445.5M | +7.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $324.7M | -4.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $290.2M | -1.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $416.4M | +8.1% |
MSCI's free cash flow was $1.6B over the past year, up 6.7% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MSCI.
MSCI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -600K shares |
| 1 year | -5.6% | -4.3M shares |
| 3 years | -9.1% | -7.2M shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -11.3M shares |
| Available history | -15% | -13.2M shares |
MSCI has 72M diluted shares, down 5.6% from a year ago, with $2B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $552.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $168.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $414.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $906.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B |
| Q2 2025 | $138.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $213.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $374M |
MSCI spent $2B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 4.7% from the year before.
MSCI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.7x | Moderate |
MSCI's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.0 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MSCI.
MSCI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 83.3 | Overbought |
MSCI's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).
MSCI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MSCI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34x | 13x | 165% above |
| PE % | 11 | 63 | 52 pts below |
MSCI is trading at 34x earnings, a 165% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MSCI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $594.1 | 9.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $583.0 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $575.8 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $571.3 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $551.7 | 18% above |
MSCI is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 18% above its 200-week average.
MSCI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $260.0 | $432.5 | +66% |
| 2021 | $432.5 | $611.3 | +41% |
| 2022 | $611.3 | $463.8 | -24% |
| 2023 | $463.8 | $565.7 | +22% |
| 2024 | $565.7 | $609.6 | +7.8% |
| 2025 | $609.6 | $585.0 | -4% |
| 2026 YTD | $585.0 | $651.5 | +11% |
MSCI has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 11% so far in 2026.