COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

MCO

Moody's Corporation

64
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

MCO's fundamentals are strong: earnings per share grew 32% and its operating margin rose 3 points to 45%. At 31x earnings, it's trading below its usual 35x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

MCO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

MCO's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MCO.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MCO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x38x51x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x38x51x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward28x$507—
Cheap30x$495-2.3%
Current31x$507—
Fair35x$576+14%
Expensive44x$719+42%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MCO's PE is in its cheap range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MCO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

MCO has the edge over COIN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and MCO's risk to reward.

MCO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$622.32
Downside-12%$444.38

Calculated from the latest close: $506.56 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and MCO's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MCO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.73Q1 2024: $9.16Q2 2024: $10.13Q3 2024: $10.95Q4 2024: $11.26Q1 2025: $11.57Q2 2025: $11.76Q3 2025: $12.43Q4 2025: $13.67Q1 2026: $13.94Q2 2026: $15.76Q3 2026: $16.40Forward: $17.98
Q4 2023: $8.73Q1 2024: $9.16Q2 2024: $10.13Q3 2024: $10.95Q4 2024: $11.26Q1 2025: $11.57Q2 2025: $11.76Q3 2025: $12.43Q4 2025: $13.67Q1 2026: $13.94Q2 2026: $15.76Q3 2026: $16.40Forward: $17.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$17.98+9.6%
Q3 2026$16.40+32%
Q2 2026$15.76+34%
Q1 2026$13.94+20%
Q4 2025$13.67+21%
Q3 2025$12.43+14%
Q2 2025$11.76+16%
Q1 2025$11.57+26%
Q4 2024$11.26+29%

MCO has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

MCO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.2BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+0.8%
Q2 2026$2.2B+15%
Q1 2026$2.1B+8.1%
Q4 2025$1.9B+13%
Q3 2025$2B+11%
Q2 2025$1.9B+4.5%
Q1 2025$1.9B+7.7%
Q4 2024$1.7B+13%

MCO has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

MCO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $404MQ1 2024: $697MQ2 2024: $593MQ3 2024: $631MQ4 2024: $600MQ1 2025: $672MQ2 2025: $468MQ3 2025: $658MQ4 2025: $777MQ1 2026: $844MQ2 2026: $688MQ3 2026: $668M
Q4 2023: $404MQ1 2024: $697MQ2 2024: $593MQ3 2024: $631MQ4 2024: $600MQ1 2025: $672MQ2 2025: $468MQ3 2025: $658MQ4 2025: $777MQ1 2026: $844MQ2 2026: $688MQ3 2026: $668M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$668M+1.5%
Q2 2026$688M+47%
Q1 2026$844M+26%
Q4 2025$777M+29%
Q3 2025$658M+4.3%
Q2 2025$468M-21%
Q1 2025$672M-3.6%
Q4 2024$600M+49%

MCO has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has 288M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.

MCO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 184MQ1 2024: 183MQ2 2024: 183MQ3 2024: 183MQ4 2024: 183MQ1 2025: 181MQ2 2025: 180MQ3 2025: 180MQ4 2025: 180MQ1 2026: 177MQ2 2026: 175MQ3 2026: 173M
Q4 2023: 184MQ1 2024: 183MQ2 2024: 183MQ3 2024: 183MQ4 2024: 183MQ1 2025: 181MQ2 2025: 180MQ3 2025: 180MQ4 2025: 180MQ1 2026: 177MQ2 2026: 175MQ3 2026: 173M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-1.2M shares
1 year-3.5%-6.3M shares
3 years-5.8%-10.7M shares
5 years-7.5%-14M shares
Available history-9.6%-18.3M shares

MCO has the edge over COIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over MCO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MCO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.5xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

MCO's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MCO.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MCO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.2Neutral
Stochastic70.3Neutral

MCO's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MCO PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMCOSector medianRelative
PE31x13x137% above
PE %226341 pts below

MCO is trading at 31x earnings, a 137% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

MCO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$481.15.3% above
20 week MA$485.34.4% above
50 week MA$474.16.8% above
100 week MA$477.96% above
200 week MA$428.718% above

MCO has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

MCO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$239.3$278.9+17%
2021$278.9$397.3+42%
2022$397.3$278.8-30%
2023$278.8$390.6+40%
2024$390.6$476.8+22%
2025$476.8$520.0+9.1%
2026 YTD$520.0$506.6-2.6%

MCO has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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