COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

MAIN

Main Street Capital Corporation

46
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

MAIN's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 20%, but its operating margin fell 6 points to 72%. At 12x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

MAIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
N/A
N/A

MAIN's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MAIN.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MAIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x60x90x120x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x60x90x120x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.3x$44.46-21%
Fair12x$56.85+1.1%
Current12x$56.23—
Expensive15x$70.68+26%
Forward15x$56.23—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MAIN's PE is in its fair range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x, in its expensive range.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MAIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect MAIN's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and MAIN's risk to reward.

MAIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$65.34
Downside-14%$48.47

Calculated from the latest close: $56.23 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and MAIN's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MAIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.14Q1 2024: $4.17Q2 2024: $4.12Q3 2024: $4.13Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.05Q2 2025: $4.03Q3 2025: $4.00Q4 2025: $3.99Q1 2026: $3.91Q2 2026: $4.50Q3 2026: $4.78Forward: $3.76
Q4 2023: $4.14Q1 2024: $4.17Q2 2024: $4.12Q3 2024: $4.13Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.05Q2 2025: $4.03Q3 2025: $4.00Q4 2025: $3.99Q1 2026: $3.91Q2 2026: $4.50Q3 2026: $4.78Forward: $3.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.76-21%
Q3 2026$4.78+20%
Q2 2026$4.50+12%
Q1 2026$3.91-3.5%
Q4 2025$3.99-2.4%
Q3 2025$4.00-3.1%
Q2 2025$4.03-2.2%
Q1 2025$4.05-2.9%
Q4 2024$4.09-1.2%

MAIN has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 35% for COIN versus down 57% for MAIN.

MAIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$55.5M-57%
Q1 2022$97.5M+20%
Q4 2021$135.5M+32%
Q3 2021$123.7M+22%
Q2 2021$129.7M+129%
Q4 2020$102.8M+183%

MAIN's revenue has held roughly level: $56M last quarter, down 57% from the same quarter a year ago.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN has the edge over MAIN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MAIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $154MQ1 2024: −$118MQ2 2024: −$186MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $145MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $91MQ4 2025: −$218MQ1 2026: −$139MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $71M
Q4 2023: $154MQ1 2024: −$118MQ2 2024: −$186MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $145MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $91MQ4 2025: −$218MQ1 2026: −$139MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $71M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$71.5M-21%
Q2 2026$116.6M+14%
Q1 2026-$138.5M-$118.1M
Q4 2025-$218.5M-251%
Q3 2025$90.6M+25%
Q2 2025$102.5M+$289M
Q1 2025-$20.4M+$97.7M
Q4 2024$145M-5.6%

MAIN's free cash flow was −$169M over the past year, against $318M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MAIN.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has the edge over MAIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MAIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 86MQ3 2024: 87MQ4 2024: 87MQ1 2025: 89MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 91MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 94M
Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 86MQ3 2024: 87MQ4 2024: 87MQ1 2025: 89MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 91MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 94M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+503K shares
1 year+4.6%+4.1M shares
3 years+13%+10.8M shares
5 years+36%+24.7M shares
Available history+47%+30M shares

MAIN has 94M diluted shares, up 4.6% from a year ago.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

MAIN Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20226.1xHigh
Q1 20224.8xHigh
Q4 20214.8xHigh
Q3 20214.1xHigh
Q2 20214.2xHigh
Q1 20214.9xHigh
Q4 202071.9xHigh
Q4 20198.0xHigh

MAIN's net debt is about 6.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MAIN.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MAIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.8Neutral
Stochastic52.2Neutral

MAIN's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MAIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMAINSector medianRelative
PE12x13x9.7% below
PE %466317 pts below

MAIN is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

MAIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$55.02.3% above
20 week MA$55.61.1% above
50 week MA$56.10.2% above
100 week MA$57.82.7% below
200 week MA$51.39.7% above

MAIN has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

MAIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$43.4$31.1-28%
2021$31.1$44.0+41%
2022$44.0$36.8-16%
2023$36.8$43.2+18%
2024$43.2$57.9+34%
2025$57.9$60.8+5%
2026 YTD$60.8$56.2-7.5%

MAIN has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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