COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

KEY

KeyCorp

68
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

KEY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 25% and its operating margin rose 14 points to 34%. At 12x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

KEY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

KEY's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like KEY.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KEY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE418x836x1253x1671x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE418x836x1253x1671x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.9x$14.34-33%
Forward10x$21.33—
Fair11x$20.72-2.9%
Current12x$21.33—
Expensive17x$30.68+44%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KEY's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

KEY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

KEY has the edge over COIN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and KEY's risk to reward.

KEY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$28.04
Downside-12%$18.80

Calculated from the latest close: $21.33 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and KEY's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

KEY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.89Q1 2024: $0.79Q2 2024: $0.77Q3 2024: $0.01Q4 2024: $-0.32Q1 2025: $-0.19Q2 2025: $-0.09Q3 2025: $0.79Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.63Q2 2026: $1.72Q3 2026: $1.82Forward: $2.09
Q4 2023: $0.89Q1 2024: $0.79Q2 2024: $0.77Q3 2024: $0.01Q4 2024: $-0.32Q1 2025: $-0.19Q2 2025: $-0.09Q3 2025: $0.79Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.63Q2 2026: $1.72Q3 2026: $1.82Forward: $2.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.09+15%
Q3 2026$1.82+130%
Q2 2026$1.72+$1.81
Q1 2026$1.63+$1.82
Q4 2025$1.52+$1.84
Q3 2025$0.79+7800%
Q2 2025-$0.09-112%
Q1 2025-$0.19-124%
Q4 2024-$0.32-136%

KEY has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

KEY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $683MQ4 2024: $855MQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $683MQ4 2024: $855MQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+8.4%
Q2 2026$2B+6.8%
Q1 2026$1.9B+10%
Q4 2025$2B+134%
Q3 2025$1.9B+176%
Q2 2025$1.8B+21%
Q1 2025$1.8B+16%
Q4 2024$855M-44%

KEY has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

KEY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $994MQ1 2024: $347MQ2 2024: −$230MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: −$150MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $367MQ4 2025: $673MQ1 2026: −$74MQ2 2026: $233MQ3 2026: $684M
Q4 2023: $994MQ1 2024: $347MQ2 2024: −$230MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: −$150MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $367MQ4 2025: $673MQ1 2026: −$74MQ2 2026: $233MQ3 2026: $684M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$684M+86%
Q2 2026$233M-81%
Q1 2026-$74M+$76M
Q4 2025$673M-61%
Q3 2025$367M+$1.6B
Q2 2025$1.2B+$1.4B
Q1 2025-$150M-143%
Q4 2024$1.7B+71%

KEY has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has 288M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.

KEY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 933MQ1 2024: 937MQ2 2024: 938MQ3 2024: 949MQ4 2024: 950MQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 933MQ1 2024: 937MQ2 2024: 938MQ3 2024: 949MQ4 2024: 950MQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-15.7M shares
1 year-4.2%-46.4M shares
3 years+14%+133M shares
5 years+12%+112M shares
Available history+6.2%+62M shares

KEY has the edge over COIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over KEY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

KEY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 13.4xQ1 2024: 15.4xQ2 2024: 12.4xQ3 2024: 37.8xQ1 2025: 21.2xQ2 2025: 9.4xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 2.4xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: 13.4xQ1 2024: 15.4xQ2 2024: 12.4xQ3 2024: 37.8xQ1 2025: 21.2xQ2 2025: 9.4xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 2.4xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.4xModerate
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20259.4xHigh
Q1 202521.2xHigh
Q3 202437.8xHigh

KEY's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like KEY.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

KEY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.1Neutral
Stochastic41.1Neutral

KEY's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KEY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricKEYSector medianRelative
PE12x13x10% below
PE %55638 pts below

KEY is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

KEY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.63.4% above
20 week MA$21.71.9% below
50 week MA$21.40.5% below
100 week MA$19.311% above
200 week MA$16.728% above

KEY has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

KEY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.3$16.2-20%
2021$16.2$22.7+40%
2022$22.7$17.2-24%
2023$17.2$14.4-16%
2024$14.4$17.2+19%
2025$17.2$21.2+23%
2026 YTD$21.2$21.3+0.7%

KEY has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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