COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

HGTY

Hagerty, Inc.

44
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential8/ 100
Risk potential59/ 100

HGTY's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 244x earnings, about five times its usual 50x. Its downside scenario is more than ten times its upside.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

HGTY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
N/A
N/A

HGTY's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HGTY.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HGTY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE72x144x217x289x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE72x144x217x289x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$15.80—
Cheap43x$2.60-84%
Fair50x$3.00-81%
Expensive138x$8.26-48%
Current244x$15.80—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HGTY's PE is in its expensive range at 244x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HGTY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

HGTY has the edge over COIN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and HGTY's risk to reward.

HGTY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+5%$16.63
Downside-59%$6.53

Calculated from the latest close: $15.80 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and HGTY's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

HGTY Earnings Per Share

Q1 2025: $0.21Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.29Q4 2025: $0.33Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.53
Q1 2025: $0.21Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.29Q4 2025: $0.33Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.53+775%
Q3 2026$0.06-79%
Q2 2026$0.09-57%
Q1 2026$0.20-4.8%

HGTY has the edge over COIN in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

HGTY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $245MQ1 2024: $272MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $323MQ4 2024: $292MQ1 2025: $320MQ2 2025: $369MQ3 2025: $380MQ4 2025: $357MQ1 2026: $312MQ2 2026: $355MQ3 2026: $354M
Q4 2023: $245MQ1 2024: $272MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $323MQ4 2024: $292MQ1 2025: $320MQ2 2025: $369MQ3 2025: $380MQ4 2025: $357MQ1 2026: $312MQ2 2026: $355MQ3 2026: $354M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$354.2M-6.8%
Q2 2026$354.8M-3.8%
Q1 2026$311.8M-2.4%
Q4 2025$357.3M+22%
Q3 2025$380M+18%
Q2 2025$368.7M+18%
Q1 2025$319.6M+18%
Q4 2024$291.7M+19%

HGTY has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

HGTY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $162MQ3 2026: $86M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $162MQ3 2026: $86M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$86.4M+1.4%
Q2 2026$161.7M+239%
Q1 2026$8.5M-78%
Q4 2025$23.1M+$39.7M
Q3 2025$85.2M+37%
Q2 2025$47.7M-16%
Q1 2025$38.4M-28%
Q4 2024-$16.7M-$13.3M

HGTY's free cash flow was $280M over the past year, up 81% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HGTY.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has the edge over HGTY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HGTY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 340MQ2 2024: 341MQ3 2024: 345MQ4 2024: 345MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 346MQ3 2025: 346MQ4 2025: 347MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 347MQ3 2026: 344M
Q4 2023: 340MQ2 2024: 341MQ3 2024: 345MQ4 2024: 345MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 346MQ3 2025: 346MQ4 2025: 347MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 347MQ3 2026: 344M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-3.1M shares
1 year-0.7%-2.3M shares
3 years+1.1%+3.8M shares
5 years+1065%+314M shares

HGTY has 344M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over HGTY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HGTY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -2.1x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 20240.0xVery low

HGTY has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HGTY.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

HGTY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.8Neutral
Stochastic74.7Neutral

HGTY's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HGTY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHGTYSector medianRelative
PE244x13x1,776% above
PE %996633 pts above

HGTY is trading at 244x earnings, a 1776% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

HGTY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.23.9% above
20 week MA$13.815% above
50 week MA$12.427% above
100 week MA$11.438% above
200 week MA$10.452% above

HGTY has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

HGTY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.77$13.7+40%
2022$13.7$7.95-42%
2023$7.95$7.80-1.9%
2024$7.80$9.83+26%
2025$9.83$13.8+41%
2026 YTD$13.8$15.8+14%

HGTY has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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