COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

GCMG

GCM Grosvenor Inc.

63
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

GCMG's fundamentals are mixed: its operating margin rose 5 points to 27%, while revenue grew 6.6%. At 23x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 24x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

GCMG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

GCMG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GCMG.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GCMG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$13.53—
Cheap23x$13.18-2.6%
Current23x$13.53—
Fair24x$14.14+4.5%
Expensive29x$16.79+24%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GCMG's PE is in its cheap range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GCMG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

GCMG has the edge over COIN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and GCMG's risk to reward.

GCMG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$17.25
Downside-11%$12.10

Calculated from the latest close: $13.53 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and GCMG's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

GCMG Earnings Per Share

Q1 2026: $0.50Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.58Forward: $1.06
Q1 2026: $0.50Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.58Forward: $1.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.06+83%
Q1 2021$0.43+$1.02
Q4 2020$0.22+$0.22

GCMG has the edge over COIN in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

GCMG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $117MQ1 2024: $109MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $123MQ4 2024: $165MQ1 2025: $126MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $177MQ1 2026: $125MQ2 2026: $134MQ3 2026: $146M
Q4 2023: $117MQ1 2024: $109MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $123MQ4 2024: $165MQ1 2025: $126MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $177MQ1 2026: $125MQ2 2026: $134MQ3 2026: $146M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$145.6M+7.8%
Q2 2026$134.3M+12%
Q1 2026$124.8M-0.8%
Q4 2025$177.1M+7.2%
Q3 2025$135M+9.8%
Q2 2025$119.7M+2.3%
Q1 2025$125.8M+16%
Q4 2024$165.3M+42%

GCMG has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

GCMG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $36MQ3 2026: $92M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $36MQ3 2026: $92M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$91.9M+17%
Q2 2026$36.3M-11%
Q1 2026$47.9M+49%
Q4 2025$23.9M-35%
Q3 2025$78.3M+26%
Q2 2025$40.8M+218%
Q1 2025$32.1M+60%
Q4 2024$37M+53%

GCMG has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has the edge over GCMG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GCMG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 187MQ2 2024: 190MQ3 2024: 191MQ4 2024: 191MQ2 2025: 196MQ3 2025: 197MQ4 2025: 197MQ1 2026: 205MQ2 2026: 204MQ3 2026: 205M
Q4 2023: 187MQ2 2024: 190MQ3 2024: 191MQ4 2024: 191MQ2 2025: 196MQ3 2025: 197MQ4 2025: 197MQ1 2026: 205MQ2 2026: 204MQ3 2026: 205M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+1.4M shares
1 year+3.8%+7.5M shares
3 years+8.7%+16.4M shares
5 years+414%+165M shares

GCMG has 205M diluted shares, up 3.8% from a year ago.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over GCMG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GCMG Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 8.1xQ3 2024: 7.3xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q2 2024: 8.1xQ3 2024: 7.3xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20252.0xHealthy
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20244.5xHigh

GCMG's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.9 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GCMG.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

GCMG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.6Neutral
Stochastic31.7Neutral

GCMG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GCMG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGCMGSector medianRelative
PE23x13x79% above
PE %326331 pts below

GCMG is trading at 23x earnings, a 79% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

GCMG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.95% above
20 week MA$13.13.5% above
50 week MA$11.814% above
100 week MA$12.111% above
200 week MA$10.628% above

GCMG has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

GCMG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.2$13.6+33%
2021$13.6$10.1-26%
2022$10.1$7.84-22%
2023$7.84$8.96+14%
2024$8.96$12.2+36%
2025$12.2$11.5-6.3%
2026 YTD$11.5$13.5+18%

GCMG has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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