COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

GBDC

Golub Capital BDC, Inc.

35
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation11/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

GBDC's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 19x earnings, about twice its usual 10x. Analysts expect earnings to decline.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

GBDC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

GBDC's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GBDC.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GBDC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x41x61x82x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x41x61x82x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.8x$5.08-59%
Forward9.8x$12.49—
Fair10x$6.58-47%
Expensive17x$10.74-14%
Current19x$12.49—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GBDC's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.8x, in its fair range.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

COIN has the edge over GBDC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

GBDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GBDC's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and GBDC's risk to reward.

GBDC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$14.18
Downside-12%$10.97

Calculated from the latest close: $12.49 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and GBDC's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

GBDC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.52Q4 2023: $1.82Q1 2024: $2.03Q2 2024: $1.65Q3 2024: $1.36Q4 2024: $1.33Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $1.37Q3 2025: $1.42Q4 2025: $1.25Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $0.65Forward: $1.27
Q3 2023: $1.52Q4 2023: $1.82Q1 2024: $2.03Q2 2024: $1.65Q3 2024: $1.36Q4 2024: $1.33Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $1.37Q3 2025: $1.42Q4 2025: $1.25Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $0.65Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27+96%
Q2 2026$0.65-53%
Q1 2026$0.77-29%
Q4 2025$1.25-6%
Q3 2025$1.42+4.4%
Q2 2025$1.37-17%
Q1 2025$1.08-47%
Q4 2024$1.33-27%
Q3 2024$1.36-11%

GBDC has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

GBDC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 35% for COIN versus down 18% for GBDC.

GBDC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$73.9M-18%
Q2 2022$57.6M-43%
Q1 2022$109.5M-1.5%
Q4 2021$105.4M-6.1%
Q3 2021$90.5M-19%
Q2 2021$101.3M-38%
Q4 2020$112.3M+56%

GBDC's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $74M last quarter, down 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

GBDC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $64MQ4 2023: $164MQ1 2024: $149MQ2 2024: $231MQ3 2024: −$200MQ4 2024: −$375MQ1 2025: $195MQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $266MQ4 2025: $212MQ1 2026: $249MQ2 2026: $193M
Q3 2023: $64MQ4 2023: $164MQ1 2024: $149MQ2 2024: $231MQ3 2024: −$200MQ4 2024: −$375MQ1 2025: $195MQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $266MQ4 2025: $212MQ1 2026: $249MQ2 2026: $193M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$192.7M+$393.2M
Q1 2026$248.8M+27%
Q4 2025$212M+$586.7M
Q3 2025$266.1M+$466.1M
Q2 2025-$200.4M-187%
Q1 2025$195.4M+31%
Q4 2024-$374.7M-329%
Q3 2024-$200M-412%

GBDC has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has 288M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.

GBDC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 170MQ4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 171MQ2 2024: 200MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 266MQ2 2025: 267MQ3 2025: 266MQ4 2025: 264MQ1 2026: 263MQ2 2026: 260M
Q3 2023: 170MQ4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 171MQ2 2024: 200MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 266MQ2 2025: 267MQ3 2025: 266MQ4 2025: 264MQ1 2026: 263MQ2 2026: 260M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2.2M shares
1 year-2.4%-6.4M shares
3 years+52%+89.6M shares
5 years+56%+93.2M shares
Available history+241%+184M shares

GBDC has the edge over COIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

GBDC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202212.1xHigh
Q2 202210.9xHigh
Q1 20228.8xHigh
Q4 20218.1xHigh
Q3 20217.0xHigh
Q2 20215.4xHigh
Q1 20214.7xHigh
Q4 202022.4xHigh

GBDC's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.0 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GBDC.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

GBDC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.4Neutral
Stochastic49.9Neutral

GBDC's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GBDC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGBDCSector medianRelative
PE19x13x48% above
PE %886325 pts above

GBDC is trading at 19x earnings, a 48% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

GBDC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.40.6% above
20 week MA$12.72% below
50 week MA$12.93.3% below
100 week MA$13.89.6% below
200 week MA$14.313% below

GBDC has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

GBDC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.5$13.8-25%
2021$13.8$15.3+11%
2022$15.3$13.2-13%
2023$13.2$15.1+14%
2024$15.1$15.3+1%
2025$15.3$13.6-11%
2026 YTD$13.6$12.5-7.8%

GBDC has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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