COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

ESNT

Essent Group Ltd.

51
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

ESNT's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 9.6%, but its operating margin fell 7 points to 59%. At 8.8x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 8.4x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

ESNT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

ESNT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ESNT.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ESNT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.2x11x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.2x11x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.7x$41.50-36%
Fair8.4x$61.43-5.3%
Forward8.6x$64.89—
Current8.9x$64.89—
Expensive9.5x$69.56+7.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ESNT's PE is in its fair range at 8.8x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.6x next year's earnings.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ESNT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ESNT, but weaker profitability.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and ESNT's risk to reward.

ESNT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$76.05
Downside-11%$57.78

Calculated from the latest close: $64.89 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare COIN and ESNT's risk to reward.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36—
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ESNT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.50Q1 2024: $6.61Q2 2024: $6.91Q3 2024: $6.90Q4 2024: $6.85Q1 2025: $6.84Q2 2025: $6.86Q3 2025: $6.88Q4 2025: $6.90Q1 2026: $7.03Q2 2026: $7.18Q3 2026: $7.33Forward: $7.56
Q4 2023: $6.50Q1 2024: $6.61Q2 2024: $6.91Q3 2024: $6.90Q4 2024: $6.85Q1 2025: $6.84Q2 2025: $6.86Q3 2025: $6.88Q4 2025: $6.90Q1 2026: $7.03Q2 2026: $7.18Q3 2026: $7.33Forward: $7.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.56+3.1%
Q3 2026$7.33+6.5%
Q2 2026$7.18+4.7%
Q1 2026$7.03+2.8%
Q4 2025$6.90+0.7%
Q3 2025$6.88-0.3%
Q2 2025$6.86-0.7%
Q1 2025$6.84+3.5%
Q4 2024$6.85+5.4%

ESNT has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

ESNT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $297MQ1 2024: $298MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $315MQ1 2025: $318MQ2 2025: $319MQ3 2025: $312MQ4 2025: $312MQ1 2026: $336MQ2 2026: $363MQ3 2026: $374M
Q4 2023: $297MQ1 2024: $298MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $315MQ1 2025: $318MQ2 2025: $319MQ3 2025: $312MQ4 2025: $312MQ1 2026: $336MQ2 2026: $363MQ3 2026: $374M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$374.2M+20%
Q2 2026$362.7M+14%
Q1 2026$336.1M+5.8%
Q4 2025$312.4M-0.8%
Q3 2025$311.8M-1.5%
Q2 2025$319.1M+2%
Q1 2025$317.6M+6.4%
Q4 2024$315M+6%

ESNT has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: −$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: −$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

ESNT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $213MQ1 2024: $212MQ2 2024: $188MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $226MQ1 2025: $221MQ2 2025: $189MQ3 2025: $211MQ4 2025: $228MQ1 2026: $191MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $238M
Q4 2023: $213MQ1 2024: $212MQ2 2024: $188MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $226MQ1 2025: $221MQ2 2025: $189MQ3 2025: $211MQ4 2025: $228MQ1 2026: $191MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $238M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$237.9M+13%
Q2 2026$196.1M+3.9%
Q1 2026$191.2M-14%
Q4 2025$228M+0.9%
Q3 2025$210.6M-7.9%
Q2 2025$188.8M+0.6%
Q1 2025$221.3M+4.2%
Q4 2024$226M+5.9%

ESNT has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has 288M diluted shares, down 1.4% from a year ago.

ESNT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 107MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 107MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 90M
Q4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 107MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 107MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 90M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-1.6M shares
1 year-8.9%-8.7M shares
3 years-16%-17.3M shares
5 years-19%-21.6M shares
Available history-8.7%-8.6M shares

ESNT has the edge over COIN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has the edge over ESNT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ESNT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

ESNT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ESNT.

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

ESNT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.8Neutral
Stochastic55.2Neutral

ESNT's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ESNT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricESNTSector medianRelative
PE8.9x13x32% below
PE %64631 pt above

ESNT is trading at 8.8x earnings, a 32% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

ESNT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$64.21.1% above
20 week MA$66.01.7% below
50 week MA$63.22.7% above
100 week MA$60.96.5% above
200 week MA$56.415% above

ESNT has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to −87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

ESNT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$52.3$43.9-16%
2021$43.9$44.5+1.3%
2022$44.5$39.0-12%
2023$39.0$52.7+35%
2024$52.7$54.1+2.5%
2025$54.1$65.9+22%
2026 YTD$65.9$64.9-1.5%

ESNT has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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