CMS

CMS Energy Corporation

45
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation37/ 100
Upside potential32/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

CMS has the edge over SMR overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

SMR

NuScale Power Corporation

39
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SMR offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CMS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

CMS's revenue and profitability are currently stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

SMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SMR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CMS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.1x16x24x33x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.1x16x24x33x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$69.22โ€”
Cheap19x$52.25-25%
Fair21x$59.24-14%
Expensive23x$64.69-6.5%
Current25x$69.22โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CMS's PE is in its expensive range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SMR PE Valuation

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CMS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CMS, but weaker profitability.

SMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect SMR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

CMS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+7%$74.08
Downside-15%$58.70

Calculated from the latest close: $69.22 on Nov 12.

CMS trails SMR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$8.20
Downside-40%$2.88

Calculated from the latest close: $4.82 on Nov 12.

SMR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CMS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CMS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.01Q1 2024: $3.28Q2 2024: $3.26Q3 2024: $3.50Q4 2024: $3.33Q1 2025: $3.38Q2 2025: $3.39Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.53Q1 2026: $3.62Q2 2026: $3.33Q3 2026: $2.80Forward: $4.05
Q4 2023: $3.01Q1 2024: $3.28Q2 2024: $3.26Q3 2024: $3.50Q4 2024: $3.33Q1 2025: $3.38Q2 2025: $3.39Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.53Q1 2026: $3.62Q2 2026: $3.33Q3 2026: $2.80Forward: $4.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.05+45%
Q3 2026$2.80-19%
Q2 2026$3.33-1.8%
Q1 2026$3.62+7.1%
Q4 2025$3.53+6%
Q3 2025$3.47-0.9%
Q2 2025$3.39+4%
Q1 2025$3.38+3%
Q4 2024$3.33+11%

CMS has the edge over SMR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.72+$2.14
Q2 2026-$2.46-$1.27
Q1 2026-$2.46-$1.09
Q4 2025-$2.43-$0.96
Q3 2025-$2.86-$1.91
Q2 2025-$1.19-$0.16
Q1 2025-$1.37-$0.52
Q4 2024-$1.47-$0.67

SMR is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.72 per share over the past year, against $2.86 at its worst in late 2025.

CMS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $2.2BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+8%
Q2 2026$1.8B-0.5%
Q1 2026$2.7B+12%
Q4 2025$2.2B+12%
Q3 2025$2B+16%
Q2 2025$1.8B+14%
Q1 2025$2.4B+12%
Q4 2024$2B+2%

CMS's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 8% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$281K-97%
Q2 2026$75K-99%
Q1 2026$565K-96%
Q4 2025$1.8M-95%
Q3 2025$8.2M+1635%
Q2 2025$8.1M+733%
Q1 2025$13.4M+870%
Q4 2024$34.2M+651%

SMR's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $281,000 last quarter, down 97% from the same quarter a year ago.

CMS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $405MQ1 2024: $956MQ2 2024: $707MQ3 2024: $304MQ4 2024: $403MQ1 2025: $112MQ2 2025: โˆ’$470MQ3 2025: โˆ’$635MQ4 2025: $478MQ1 2026: โˆ’$334MQ2 2026: โˆ’$345MQ3 2026: โˆ’$468M
Q4 2023: $405MQ1 2024: $956MQ2 2024: $707MQ3 2024: $304MQ4 2024: $403MQ1 2025: $112MQ2 2025: โˆ’$470MQ3 2025: โˆ’$635MQ4 2025: $478MQ1 2026: โˆ’$334MQ2 2026: โˆ’$345MQ3 2026: โˆ’$468M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$468M+$167M
Q2 2026-$345M+$125M
Q1 2026-$334M-398%
Q4 2025$478M+19%
Q3 2025-$635M-309%
Q2 2025-$470M-166%
Q1 2025$112M-88%
Q4 2024$403M-0.5%

SMR has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 161% versus its history, compared with CMS at down 1,011%.

SMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$58.6M-$25.3M
Q1 2026-$316.2M-$293.3M
Q4 2025-$204.1M-$177.6M
Q2 2025-$33.3M+$2.7M
Q1 2025-$22.9M+$10.6M
Q4 2024-$26.5M+$46.8M
Q3 2024-$12.7M+$15M
Q2 2024-$36M+$4.5M

SMR has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$608M over the past year, against โˆ’$95M the year before.

CMS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 292MQ1 2024: 297MQ2 2024: 299MQ3 2024: 299MQ4 2024: 298MQ1 2025: 299MQ2 2025: 299MQ3 2025: 300MQ4 2025: 301MQ1 2026: 307MQ2 2026: 311MQ3 2026: 313M
Q4 2023: 292MQ1 2024: 297MQ2 2024: 299MQ3 2024: 299MQ4 2024: 298MQ1 2025: 299MQ2 2025: 299MQ3 2025: 300MQ4 2025: 301MQ1 2026: 307MQ2 2026: 311MQ3 2026: 313M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+2.4M shares
1 year+4.3%+12.8M shares
3 years+7.5%+21.8M shares
5 years+8.1%+23.6M shares
Available history+10%+28.9M shares

CMS has the edge over SMR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+45.9M shares
1 year+178%+263M shares
3 years+448%+336M shares

SMR has 410M diluted shares, up 178% from a year ago.

CMS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.3xQ1 2024: 5.9xQ2 2024: 5.8xQ3 2024: 5.8xQ4 2024: 6.0xQ1 2025: 5.8xQ2 2025: 5.9xQ3 2025: 5.9xQ4 2025: 6.0xQ1 2026: 6.1xQ2 2026: 6.2xQ3 2026: 7.6x
Q4 2023: 6.3xQ1 2024: 5.9xQ2 2024: 5.8xQ3 2024: 5.8xQ4 2024: 6.0xQ1 2025: 5.8xQ2 2025: 5.9xQ3 2025: 5.9xQ4 2025: 6.0xQ1 2026: 6.1xQ2 2026: 6.2xQ3 2026: 7.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.6xHigh
Q2 20266.2xHigh
Q1 20266.1xHigh
Q4 20256.0xHigh
Q3 20255.9xHigh
Q2 20255.9xHigh
Q1 20255.8xHigh
Q4 20246.0xHigh

CMS's net debt is about 7.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.9 years a year ago.

SMR Net Leverage

SMR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CMS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.6Neutral
Stochastic63.6Neutral

CMS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

SMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.5Oversold
Stochastic8.6Oversold

SMR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

CMS PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricCMSSector medianRelative
PE25x20x21% above
PE %904446 pts above

CMS is trading at 25x earnings, a 21% premium to the Utilities sector's median of 20x.

SMR PE vs Utilities Sector

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CMS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$67.42.7% above
20 week MA$69.60.5% below
50 week MA$72.34.2% below
100 week MA$71.83.6% below
200 week MA$66.44.3% above

CMS has the edge over SMR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2623% below
20 week MA$7.8839% below
50 week MA$11.458% below
100 week MA$20.276% below
200 week MA$14.467% below

SMR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

CMS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$62.5$58.2-7%
2021$58.2$63.5+9.2%
2022$63.5$63.6+0.2%
2023$63.6$58.1-8.7%
2024$58.1$67.1+15%
2025$67.1$70.0+4.3%
2026 YTD$70.0$69.2-1.1%

CMS has the edge over SMR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.1$10.3+1.2%
2021$10.3$10.1-1.9%
2022$10.1$10.1+0.5%
2023$10.1$3.29-67%
2024$3.29$19.5+493%
2025$19.5$14.9-24%
2026 YTD$14.9$4.82-68%

SMR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +493% in 2024 to โˆ’67% in 2023. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

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