CME

CME Group Inc.

57
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

CME's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 9%, while its operating margin held steady at 66%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score COIN yet.

CME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

CME's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CME.

COIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

COIN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like COIN.

CME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x43x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x43x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap24x$289-8.3%
Forward24x$316โ€”
Fair26x$314-0.4%
Current26x$316โ€”
Expensive33x$405+28%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CME's PE is 26x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

COIN PE Valuation

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

CME has the edge over COIN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

COIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect COIN's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$384.16
Downside-17%$261.47

Calculated from the latest close: $315.50 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CME and COIN's risk to reward.

COIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $130.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CME and COIN's risk to reward.

CME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.86Q1 2024: $8.78Q2 2024: $9.06Q3 2024: $9.50Q4 2024: $9.67Q1 2025: $9.94Q2 2025: $10.33Q3 2025: $10.32Q4 2025: $11.16Q1 2026: $11.72Q2 2026: $11.79Q3 2026: $12.19Forward: $12.95
Q4 2023: $8.86Q1 2024: $8.78Q2 2024: $9.06Q3 2024: $9.50Q4 2024: $9.67Q1 2025: $9.94Q2 2025: $10.33Q3 2025: $10.32Q4 2025: $11.16Q1 2026: $11.72Q2 2026: $11.79Q3 2026: $12.19Forward: $12.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.95+6.2%
Q3 2026$12.19+18%
Q2 2026$11.79+14%
Q1 2026$11.72+18%
Q4 2025$11.16+15%
Q3 2025$10.32+8.6%
Q2 2025$10.33+14%
Q1 2025$9.94+13%
Q4 2024$9.67+9.1%

CME has the edge over COIN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

COIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $5.11Q2 2024: $5.67Q3 2024: $5.96Q4 2024: $9.48Q1 2025: $5.32Q2 2025: $10.32Q3 2025: $11.54Q4 2025: $4.45Q1 2026: $2.72Q2 2026: $-3.78Q3 2026: $-2.77Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36โ€”
Q3 2026-$2.77-124%
Q2 2026-$3.78-137%
Q1 2026$2.72-49%
Q4 2025$4.45-53%
Q3 2025$11.54+94%
Q2 2025$10.32+82%
Q1 2025$5.32+4.1%
Q4 2024$9.48+2462%

COIN has swung to a loss: it lost $2.77 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+13%
Q2 2026$1.7B+0.8%
Q1 2026$1.9B+14%
Q4 2025$1.6B+8.1%
Q3 2025$1.5B-3%
Q2 2025$1.7B+10%
Q1 2025$1.6B+10%
Q4 2024$1.5B+6%

CME has the edge over COIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $954MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-35%
Q2 2026$1.2B-19%
Q1 2026$1.4B-31%
Q4 2025$1.8B-22%
Q3 2025$1.9B+55%
Q2 2025$1.5B+3.3%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+138%

COIN's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $1.2B last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

CME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $873MQ2 2024: $759MQ3 2024: $973MQ4 2024: $992MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $950MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $924MQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $873MQ2 2024: $759MQ3 2024: $973MQ4 2024: $992MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $950MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $924MQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+13%
Q2 2026$923.5M-11%
Q1 2026$1.2B+12%
Q4 2025$1.1B+11%
Q3 2025$949.7M-2.4%
Q2 2025$1B+37%
Q1 2025$1.1B+26%
Q4 2024$991.7M-3.1%

CME has the edge over COIN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

COIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: โˆ’$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: โˆ’$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$5MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $484MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $965MQ1 2025: โˆ’$183MQ2 2025: $328MQ3 2025: โˆ’$785MQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $197MQ3 2026: $405M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.5M+$1.2B
Q2 2026$197.3M-40%
Q1 2026$182.7M+$365.5M
Q4 2025$3.1B+218%
Q3 2025-$784.5M-213%
Q2 2025$328.5M-32%
Q1 2025-$182.7M-144%
Q4 2024$964.6M+$969.8M

COIN's free cash flow was $3.9B over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

CME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 360MQ1 2024: 360MQ2 2024: 360MQ3 2024: 360MQ4 2024: 360MQ1 2025: 360MQ2 2025: 360MQ3 2025: 360MQ4 2025: 360MQ1 2026: 363MQ2 2026: 361MQ3 2026: 359M
Q4 2023: 360MQ1 2024: 360MQ2 2024: 360MQ3 2024: 360MQ4 2024: 360MQ1 2025: 360MQ2 2025: 360MQ3 2025: 360MQ4 2025: 360MQ1 2026: 363MQ2 2026: 361MQ3 2026: 359M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-2.6M shares
1 year-0.5%-1.8M shares
3 years-0.3%-978K shares
5 years-0.1%-347K shares
Available history+0.1%+402K shares

CME has 359M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

COIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
Q4 2023: 254MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 267MQ4 2024: 273MQ1 2025: 271MQ2 2025: 279MQ3 2025: 292MQ4 2025: 287MQ1 2026: 265MQ2 2026: 263MQ3 2026: 288M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.3%+24.6M shares
1 year-1.4%-4M shares
3 years+21%+50.7M shares
5 years+15%+37.4M shares
Available history+330%+221M shares

COIN has the edge over CME on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CME Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2020-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2020-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2019-0.6xNet Cash

CME has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CME.

COIN Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
Q1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.4xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.6xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.8xQ2 2026: -2.5xQ3 2026: -4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

COIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like COIN.

CME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.2Neutral
Stochastic89.3Overbought

CME's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

COIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

COIN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

CME PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCMESector medianRelative
PE26x13x99% above
PE %516312 pts below

CME is trading at 26x earnings, a 99% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

COIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCOINSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

COIN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$291.58.2% above
20 week MA$275.215% above
50 week MA$280.912% above
100 week MA$272.516% above
200 week MA$238.332% above

CME has the edge over COIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

COIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$163.020% below
20 week MA$165.621% below
50 week MA$184.429% below
100 week MA$232.844% below
200 week MA$190.331% below

COIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 200-week average.

CME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$202.8$178.5-12%
2021$178.5$229.0+28%
2022$229.0$173.3-24%
2023$173.3$210.6+22%
2024$210.6$233.5+11%
2025$233.5$276.7+19%
2026 YTD$276.7$315.5+14%

CME has the edge over COIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

COIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$342.0$268.2-22%
2022$268.2$35.5-87%
2023$35.5$173.9+390%
2024$173.9$265.7+53%
2025$265.7$236.9-11%
2026 YTD$236.9$130.7-45%

COIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +390% in 2023 to โˆ’87% in 2022. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

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