CME

CME Group Inc.

57
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

CME's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 9%, while its operating margin held steady at 66%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

CME Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

CME's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CME.

CME PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x43x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x43x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap24x$289-8.3%
Forward24x$316—
Fair26x$314-0.4%
Current26x$316—
Expensive33x$405+28%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CME's PE is 26x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

CME Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CME, with profitability improving.

CME Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$384.16
Downside-17%$261.47

Calculated from the latest close: $315.50 on Nov 12.

CME's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +22% against −17%.

CME Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.86Q1 2024: $8.78Q2 2024: $9.06Q3 2024: $9.50Q4 2024: $9.67Q1 2025: $9.94Q2 2025: $10.33Q3 2025: $10.32Q4 2025: $11.16Q1 2026: $11.72Q2 2026: $11.79Q3 2026: $12.19Forward: $12.95
Q4 2023: $8.86Q1 2024: $8.78Q2 2024: $9.06Q3 2024: $9.50Q4 2024: $9.67Q1 2025: $9.94Q2 2025: $10.33Q3 2025: $10.32Q4 2025: $11.16Q1 2026: $11.72Q2 2026: $11.79Q3 2026: $12.19Forward: $12.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.95+6.2%
Q3 2026$12.19+18%
Q2 2026$11.79+14%
Q1 2026$11.72+18%
Q4 2025$11.16+15%
Q3 2025$10.32+8.6%
Q2 2025$10.33+14%
Q1 2025$9.94+13%
Q4 2024$9.67+9.1%

CME's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.19 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 21 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

CME Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+13%
Q2 2026$1.7B+0.8%
Q1 2026$1.9B+14%
Q4 2025$1.6B+8.1%
Q3 2025$1.5B-3%
Q2 2025$1.7B+10%
Q1 2025$1.6B+10%
Q4 2024$1.5B+6%

CME's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $1.7B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

CME Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $873MQ2 2024: $759MQ3 2024: $973MQ4 2024: $992MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $950MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $924MQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $873MQ2 2024: $759MQ3 2024: $973MQ4 2024: $992MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $950MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $924MQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+13%
Q2 2026$923.5M-11%
Q1 2026$1.2B+12%
Q4 2025$1.1B+11%
Q3 2025$949.7M-2.4%
Q2 2025$1B+37%
Q1 2025$1.1B+26%
Q4 2024$991.7M-3.1%

CME's free cash flow was $4.3B over the past year, up 6.1% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CME.

CME Total Shares

Q4 2023: 360MQ1 2024: 360MQ2 2024: 360MQ3 2024: 360MQ4 2024: 360MQ1 2025: 360MQ2 2025: 360MQ3 2025: 360MQ4 2025: 360MQ1 2026: 363MQ2 2026: 361MQ3 2026: 359M
Q4 2023: 360MQ1 2024: 360MQ2 2024: 360MQ3 2024: 360MQ4 2024: 360MQ1 2025: 360MQ2 2025: 360MQ3 2025: 360MQ4 2025: 360MQ1 2026: 363MQ2 2026: 361MQ3 2026: 359M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-2.6M shares
1 year-0.5%-1.8M shares
3 years-0.3%-978K shares
5 years-0.1%-347K shares
Available history+0.1%+402K shares

CME has 359M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CME Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2020-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2020-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2020-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2019-0.6xNet Cash

CME has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CME.

CME Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.2Neutral
Stochastic89.3Overbought

CME's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

CME PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCMESector medianRelative
PE26x13x99% above
PE %516312 pts below

CME is trading at 26x earnings, a 99% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

CME Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$291.58.2% above
20 week MA$275.215% above
50 week MA$280.912% above
100 week MA$272.516% above
200 week MA$238.332% above

CME is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% above its 200-week average.

CME Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$202.8$178.5-12%
2021$178.5$229.0+28%
2022$229.0$173.3-24%
2023$173.3$210.6+22%
2024$210.6$233.5+11%
2025$233.5$276.7+19%
2026 YTD$276.7$315.5+14%

CME has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 14% so far in 2026.

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