CINF

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

54
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential29/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

CINF's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 11x earnings, in line with its usual 10x, but 21x next year's expected earnings. Analysts disagree widely on these estimates.

IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

CINF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

CINF's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CINF.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

CINF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE461x922x1384x1845x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE461x922x1384x1845x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.5x$128-33%
Fair10x$174-8.6%
Current11x$190โ€”
Expensive19x$327+72%
Forward21x$190โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CINF's PE is in its fair range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 21x, in its expensive range.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CINF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CINF's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IREN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CINF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+9%$206.65
Downside-21%$150.00

Calculated from the latest close: $190.31 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CINF and IREN's risk to reward.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CINF and IREN's risk to reward.

CINF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.66Q1 2024: $15.02Q2 2024: $13.62Q3 2024: $19.45Q4 2024: $14.53Q1 2025: $9.18Q2 2025: $11.54Q3 2025: $13.45Q4 2025: $15.17Q1 2026: $17.49Q2 2026: $21.20Q3 2026: $17.05Forward: $8.94
Q4 2023: $11.66Q1 2024: $15.02Q2 2024: $13.62Q3 2024: $19.45Q4 2024: $14.53Q1 2025: $9.18Q2 2025: $11.54Q3 2025: $13.45Q4 2025: $15.17Q1 2026: $17.49Q2 2026: $21.20Q3 2026: $17.05Forward: $8.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.94-48%
Q3 2026$17.05+27%
Q2 2026$21.20+84%
Q1 2026$17.49+91%
Q4 2025$15.17+4.4%
Q3 2025$13.45-31%
Q2 2025$11.54-15%
Q1 2025$9.18-39%
Q4 2024$14.53+25%

CINF has the edge over IREN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CINF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $3B
Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $2.9BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.7BQ4 2025: $3.1BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $4.3BQ3 2026: $3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3B-18%
Q2 2026$4.3B+32%
Q1 2026$2.9B+12%
Q4 2025$3.1B+22%
Q3 2025$3.7B+12%
Q2 2025$3.2B+28%
Q1 2025$2.6B-13%
Q4 2024$2.5B-24%

CINF's revenue is growing: $3B last quarter, down 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

IREN has the edge over CINF on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CINF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $569MQ1 2024: $346MQ2 2024: $737MQ3 2024: $906MQ4 2024: $638MQ1 2025: $307MQ2 2025: $737MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $939MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $698MQ3 2026: $787M
Q4 2023: $569MQ1 2024: $346MQ2 2024: $737MQ3 2024: $906MQ4 2024: $638MQ1 2025: $307MQ2 2025: $737MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $939MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $698MQ3 2026: $787M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$787M-29%
Q2 2026$698M-5.3%
Q1 2026$654M+113%
Q4 2025$939M+47%
Q3 2025$1.1B+22%
Q2 2025$737M0%
Q1 2025$307M-11%
Q4 2024$638M+12%

CINF has the edge over IREN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN's free cash flow was โˆ’$2.5B over the past year, against โˆ’$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

CINF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 158MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 158MQ3 2024: 158MQ4 2024: 158MQ1 2025: 156MQ2 2025: 158MQ3 2025: 158MQ4 2025: 158MQ1 2026: 157MQ2 2026: 156MQ3 2026: 155M
Q4 2023: 158MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 158MQ3 2024: 158MQ4 2024: 158MQ1 2025: 156MQ2 2025: 158MQ3 2025: 158MQ4 2025: 158MQ1 2026: 157MQ2 2026: 156MQ3 2026: 155M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-600K shares
1 year-1.7%-2.7M shares
3 years-1.1%-1.8M shares
5 years-4.8%-7.8M shares
Available history-6.1%-10M shares

CINF has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

CINF Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2022-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2022-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2021-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2021-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2021-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2021-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2020-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2020-0.1xNet Cash

CINF has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CINF.

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

CINF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI66.3Neutral
Stochastic79.4Neutral

CINF's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

CINF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCINFSector medianRelative
PE11x13x14% below
PE %58635 pts below

CINF is trading at 11x earnings, a 14% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CINF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$174.19.3% above
20 week MA$175.38.6% above
50 week MA$168.613% above
100 week MA$158.220% above
200 week MA$137.039% above

CINF has the edge over IREN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

IREN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.1% above its 200-week average.

CINF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$103.9$85.2-18%
2021$85.2$112.3+32%
2022$112.3$104.5-7%
2023$104.5$103.5-1%
2024$103.5$144.1+39%
2025$144.1$164.8+14%
2026 YTD$164.8$190.3+15%

CINF has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to โˆ’93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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