CINF
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
CINF's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 11x earnings, in line with its usual 10x, but 21x next year's expected earnings. Analysts disagree widely on these estimates.
CINF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
CINF's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CINF.
CINF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.5x | $128 | -33% |
| Fair | 10x | $174 | -8.6% |
| Current | 11x | $190 | — |
| Expensive | 19x | $327 | +72% |
| Forward | 21x | $190 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CINF's PE is in its fair range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 21x, in its expensive range.
CINF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect CINF's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CINF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.94 | -48% |
| Q3 2026 | $17.05 | +27% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.20 | +84% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.49 | +91% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.17 | +4.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.45 | -31% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.54 | -15% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.18 | -39% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.53 | +25% |
CINF earned $17.05 per share over the past year, up 27% from the year before.
CINF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.9B | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.1B | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.7B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.2B | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.5B | -24% |
CINF's revenue is growing: $3B last quarter, down 18% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 18% | -20 points |
| Q2 2026 | 37% | +11 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | +16 points |
| Q4 2025 | 27% | +8.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 38% | +6.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 26% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | -5% | -38 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | -26 points |
CINF's operating margin was 18% last quarter, down 20 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CINF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $787M | -29% |
| Q2 2026 | $698M | -5.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $654M | +113% |
| Q4 2025 | $939M | +47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $737M | 0% |
| Q1 2025 | $307M | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $638M | +12% |
CINF's free cash flow was $3.1B over the past year, up 10% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CINF.
CINF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -600K shares |
| 1 year | -1.7% | -2.7M shares |
| 3 years | -1.1% | -1.8M shares |
| 5 years | -4.8% | -7.8M shares |
| Available history | -6.1% | -10M shares |
CINF has 155M diluted shares, down 1.7% from a year ago, with $499M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1M |
| Q2 2026 | $216M |
| Q1 2026 | $179M |
| Q4 2025 | $103M |
| Q3 2025 | $60M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $42M |
| Q4 2024 | $5M |
CINF spent $499M buying back its own shares over the past year, about five times what it spent the year before.
CINF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2022 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2021 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2021 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2021 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2021 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2020 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2020 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
CINF has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CINF.
CINF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 66.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 79.4 | Neutral |
CINF's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).
CINF PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | CINF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 13x | 14% below |
| PE % | 58 | 63 | 5 pts below |
CINF is trading at 11x earnings, a 14% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
CINF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $174.1 | 9.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $175.3 | 8.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $168.6 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $158.2 | 20% above |
| 200 week MA | $137.0 | 39% above |
CINF is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 39% above its 200-week average.
CINF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $103.9 | $85.2 | -18% |
| 2021 | $85.2 | $112.3 | +32% |
| 2022 | $112.3 | $104.5 | -7% |
| 2023 | $104.5 | $103.5 | -1% |
| 2024 | $103.5 | $144.1 | +39% |
| 2025 | $144.1 | $164.8 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $164.8 | $190.3 | +15% |
CINF has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 15% so far in 2026.