CINF
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
CINF has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
HOOD
Robinhood Markets, Inc.
HOOD has the edge over CINF overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
CINF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
CINF's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CINF.
HOOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
HOOD's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HOOD.
CINF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 7.5x | $128 | -33% |
| Fair | 10x | $174 | -8.6% |
| Current | 11x | $190 | — |
| Expensive | 19x | $327 | +72% |
| Forward | 21x | $190 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CINF's PE is in its fair range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 21x, in its expensive range.
HOOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 30x | $81.35 | — |
| Cheap | 37x | $78.84 | -3.1% |
| Current | 38x | $81.35 | — |
| Fair | 51x | $110 | +35% |
| Expensive | 74x | $160 | +96% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOOD has the edge over CINF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
CINF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect CINF's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
HOOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
HOOD has the edge over CINF on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
CINF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $8.94 | -48% |
| Q3 2026 | $17.05 | +27% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.20 | +84% |
| Q1 2026 | $17.49 | +91% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.17 | +4.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.45 | -31% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.54 | -15% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.18 | -39% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.53 | +25% |
CINF earned $17.05 per share over the past year, up 27% from the year before.
HOOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.72 | +26% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.16 | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.26 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.06 | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.05 | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.40 | +314% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.96 | +513% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.75 | +1150% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +$2.17 |
HOOD has the edge over CINF on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CINF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3B | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.9B | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.1B | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.7B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.2B | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.5B | -24% |
CINF's revenue is growing: $3B last quarter, down 18% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 18% | -20 points |
| Q2 2026 | 37% | +11 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | +16 points |
| Q4 2025 | 27% | +8.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 38% | +6.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 26% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | -5% | -38 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | -26 points |
CINF's operating margin was 18% last quarter, down 20 points from the same quarter a year ago.
HOOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $989M | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $927M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +115% |
HOOD has the edge over CINF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 44% | -5.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 54% | +9.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 39% | -1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 52% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 50% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 40% | +14 points |
| Q4 2024 | 55% | +49 points |
HOOD has the edge over CINF on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CINF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $787M | -29% |
| Q2 2026 | $698M | -5.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $654M | +113% |
| Q4 2025 | $939M | +47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +22% |
| Q2 2025 | $737M | 0% |
| Q1 2025 | $307M | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $638M | +12% |
CINF's free cash flow was $3.1B over the past year, up 10% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CINF.
HOOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +$2.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $720M | -79% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +217% |
| Q4 2025 | -$937M | +$463M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.6B | -187% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5B | +6398% |
| Q1 2025 | $642M | +$1.3B |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.4B | -246% |
HOOD has the edge over CINF on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CINF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -600K shares |
| 1 year | -1.7% | -2.7M shares |
| 3 years | -1.1% | -1.8M shares |
| 5 years | -4.8% | -7.8M shares |
| Available history | -6.1% | -10M shares |
CINF has the edge over HOOD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1M |
| Q2 2026 | $216M |
| Q1 2026 | $179M |
| Q4 2025 | $103M |
| Q3 2025 | $60M |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $42M |
| Q4 2024 | $5M |
CINF spent $499M buying back its own shares over the past year, about five times what it spent the year before.
HOOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -6.9M shares |
| 3 years | +1.8% | +15.9M shares |
| 5 years | +292% | +679M shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +60.8M shares |
HOOD has 911M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago, with $789M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M |
| Q2 2026 | $414M |
| Q1 2026 | $250M |
| Q4 2025 | $100M |
| Q3 2025 | $107M |
| Q2 2025 | $124M |
| Q1 2025 | $322M |
| Q4 2024 | $160M |
HOOD spent $789M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 11% from the year before.
CINF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2022 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2021 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2021 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2021 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2021 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2020 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2020 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
CINF has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CINF.
HOOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
HOOD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HOOD.
CINF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 66.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 79.4 | Neutral |
CINF's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).
HOOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.5 | Oversold |
HOOD's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
CINF PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | CINF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 13x | 14% below |
| PE % | 58 | 63 | 5 pts below |
CINF has the edge over HOOD on valuation relative to its sector.
HOOD PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | HOOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38x | 13x | 189% above |
| PE % | 22 | 66 | 44 pts below |
HOOD is trading at 38x earnings, a 189% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
CINF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $174.1 | 9.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $175.3 | 8.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $168.6 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $158.2 | 20% above |
| 200 week MA | $137.0 | 39% above |
CINF has the edge over HOOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
HOOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $97.8 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $102.2 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.4 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $88.5 | 8.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $52.1 | 56% above |
HOOD has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 56% above its 200-week average.
CINF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $103.9 | $85.2 | -18% |
| 2021 | $85.2 | $112.3 | +32% |
| 2022 | $112.3 | $104.5 | -7% |
| 2023 | $104.5 | $103.5 | -1% |
| 2024 | $103.5 | $144.1 | +39% |
| 2025 | $144.1 | $164.8 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $164.8 | $190.3 | +15% |
CINF has the edge over HOOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
HOOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $35.2 | $18.9 | -46% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $7.95 | -58% |
| 2023 | $7.95 | $12.7 | +60% |
| 2024 | $12.7 | $39.0 | +206% |
| 2025 | $39.0 | $118.1 | +203% |
| 2026 YTD | $118.1 | $81.4 | -31% |
HOOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +206% in 2024 to −58% in 2022. It's down 31% so far in 2026.