CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

UPST

Upstart Holdings, Inc.

62
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

UPST's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 31x earnings, less than half its usual 75x. Analysts expect earnings to decline, though they disagree widely on how much.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

UPST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

UPST's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UPST.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UPST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1549x3098x4647x6196x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1549x3098x4647x6196x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$19.15—
Cheap30x$18.54-3.2%
Current31x$19.15—
Fair75x$46.41+142%
Expensive441x$273+1328%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UPST's PE is in its cheap range at 31x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 18x.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over UPST on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

UPST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect UPST's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and UPST's risk to reward.

UPST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+74%$33.35
Downside-33%$12.87

Calculated from the latest close: $19.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and UPST's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

UPST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.87Q1 2024: $-2.03Q2 2024: $-2.31Q3 2024: $-1.90Q4 2024: $-1.44Q1 2025: $-0.73Q2 2025: $-0.06Q3 2025: $0.24Q4 2025: $0.45Q1 2026: $0.41Q2 2026: $0.52Q3 2026: $0.62Forward: $1.04
Q4 2023: $-2.87Q1 2024: $-2.03Q2 2024: $-2.31Q3 2024: $-1.90Q4 2024: $-1.44Q1 2025: $-0.73Q2 2025: $-0.06Q3 2025: $0.24Q4 2025: $0.45Q1 2026: $0.41Q2 2026: $0.52Q3 2026: $0.62Forward: $1.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.04+67%
Q3 2026$0.62+158%
Q2 2026$0.52+$0.58
Q1 2026$0.41+$1.14
Q4 2025$0.45+$1.89
Q3 2025$0.24+$2.14
Q2 2025-$0.06+$2.25
Q1 2025-$0.73+$1.30
Q4 2024-$1.44+$1.43

UPST has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

UPST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $140MQ1 2024: $128MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $219MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $257MQ3 2025: $277MQ4 2025: $296MQ1 2026: $308MQ2 2026: $365MQ3 2026: $371M
Q4 2023: $140MQ1 2024: $128MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $219MQ1 2025: $213MQ2 2025: $257MQ3 2025: $277MQ4 2025: $296MQ1 2026: $308MQ2 2026: $365MQ3 2026: $371M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$370.5M+34%
Q2 2026$364.7M+42%
Q1 2026$308.2M+44%
Q4 2025$296.1M+35%
Q3 2025$277.1M+71%
Q2 2025$257.3M+102%
Q1 2025$213.4M+67%
Q4 2024$219M+56%

UPST has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

UPST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$144MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $65MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: −$111MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: −$120MQ3 2025: −$123MQ4 2025: $108MQ1 2026: −$136MQ2 2026: −$139MQ3 2026: −$21M
Q4 2023: −$144MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $65MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: −$111MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: −$120MQ3 2025: −$123MQ4 2025: $108MQ1 2026: −$136MQ2 2026: −$139MQ3 2026: −$21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$20.6M+$102.1M
Q2 2026-$138.7M-$18.4M
Q1 2026-$136M-$122.6M
Q4 2025$108.4M+$219.3M
Q3 2025-$122.7M-168%
Q2 2025-$120.3M-284%
Q1 2025-$13.5M-126%
Q4 2024-$110.9M+$33M

UPST has the edge over CIFR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has the edge over UPST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UPST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 84MQ1 2024: 87MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 90MQ4 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 94MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 125M
Q4 2023: 84MQ1 2024: 87MQ2 2024: 88MQ3 2024: 90MQ4 2024: 89MQ1 2025: 94MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 110MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 97MQ2 2026: 110MQ3 2026: 125M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+14%+15.7M shares
1 year+14%+15.7M shares
3 years+49%+41M shares
5 years+31%+29.4M shares
Available history+771%+111M shares

UPST has 125M diluted shares, up 14% from a year ago.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

UPST Net Leverage

Q3 2025: -11.7xQ4 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -7.4xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.3x
Q3 2025: -11.7xQ4 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -7.4xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-7.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-11.7xNet Cash
Q3 2022-39.2xNet Cash
Q2 2022-7.7xNet Cash
Q1 2022-4.5xNet Cash

UPST has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UPST.

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

UPST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.1Neutral
Stochastic5.5Oversold

UPST's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UPST PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricUPSTSector medianRelative
PE31x13x137% above
PE %186143 pts below

UPST is trading at 31x earnings, a 137% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

UPST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.816% below
20 week MA$26.728% below
50 week MA$31.740% below
100 week MA$44.857% below
200 week MA$38.650% below

UPST is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 50% below its 200-week average.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR has the edge over UPST on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UPST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.1$44.0-0.3%
2021$44.0$148.1+237%
2022$148.1$13.2-91%
2023$13.2$40.9+210%
2024$40.9$68.0+66%
2025$68.0$47.5-30%
2026 YTD$47.5$19.2-60%

UPST's yearly returns have swung widely, from +237% in 2021 to −91% in 2022. It's down 60% so far in 2026.

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