CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

STT

State Street Corporation

61
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

STT's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 13% and earnings per share grew 30%. At 14x earnings, it's trading above its usual 13x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

STT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

STT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like STT.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

STT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$122-30%
Forward12x$174—
Fair13x$153-12%
Current14x$174—
Expensive15x$183+5.6%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

STT's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CIFR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

STT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for STT, with profitability improving.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and STT's risk to reward.

STT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$216.07
Downside-9%$158.61

Calculated from the latest close: $173.70 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and STT's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

STT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.58Q1 2024: $5.43Q2 2024: $5.41Q3 2024: $6.42Q4 2024: $8.21Q1 2025: $8.88Q2 2025: $8.90Q3 2025: $9.42Q4 2025: $9.40Q1 2026: $9.85Q2 2026: $11.33Q3 2026: $12.24Forward: $14.95
Q4 2023: $5.58Q1 2024: $5.43Q2 2024: $5.41Q3 2024: $6.42Q4 2024: $8.21Q1 2025: $8.88Q2 2025: $8.90Q3 2025: $9.42Q4 2025: $9.40Q1 2026: $9.85Q2 2026: $11.33Q3 2026: $12.24Forward: $14.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$14.95+22%
Q3 2026$12.24+30%
Q2 2026$11.33+27%
Q1 2026$9.85+11%
Q4 2025$9.40+14%
Q3 2025$9.42+47%
Q2 2025$8.90+65%
Q1 2025$8.88+64%
Q4 2024$8.21+47%

STT has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

STT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $3.4BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.3BQ2 2025: $3.4BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4BQ3 2026: $4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4B+13%
Q2 2026$4B+17%
Q1 2026$3.8B+16%
Q4 2025$3.7B+7.4%
Q3 2025$3.5B+6.1%
Q2 2025$3.4B+8.1%
Q1 2025$3.3B+4.7%
Q4 2024$3.4B+12%

STT has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

STT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: −$1.1BQ2 2024: −$7.9BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: −$7.7BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: −$8.8BQ3 2025: $7.7BQ4 2025: $9.8BQ1 2026: −$12.4BQ2 2026: −$3BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: −$1.1BQ2 2024: −$7.9BQ3 2024: $2.5BQ4 2024: −$7.7BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: −$8.8BQ3 2025: $7.7BQ4 2025: $9.8BQ1 2026: −$12.4BQ2 2026: −$3BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B-75%
Q2 2026-$3B+$5.8B
Q1 2026-$12.4B-672%
Q4 2025$9.8B+$17.5B
Q3 2025$7.7B+210%
Q2 2025-$8.8B-$903M
Q1 2025$2.2B+$3.2B
Q4 2024-$7.7B-299%

STT has the edge over CIFR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

STT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 327MQ1 2024: 306MQ2 2024: 305MQ3 2024: 302MQ4 2024: 302MQ1 2025: 293MQ2 2025: 290MQ3 2025: 288MQ4 2025: 289MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 281MQ3 2026: 279M
Q4 2023: 327MQ1 2024: 306MQ2 2024: 305MQ3 2024: 302MQ4 2024: 302MQ1 2025: 293MQ2 2025: 290MQ3 2025: 288MQ4 2025: 289MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 281MQ3 2026: 279M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1.8M shares
1 year-3.1%-8.9M shares
3 years-12%-38M shares
5 years-21%-74.2M shares
Available history-25%-94.4M shares

STT has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

STT Net Leverage

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

STT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.5Neutral
Stochastic33.4Neutral

STT's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

STT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSTTSector medianRelative
PE14x13x9% above
PE %756312 pts above

STT is trading at 14x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

STT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$171.91.1% above
20 week MA$180.33.6% below
50 week MA$155.212% above
100 week MA$129.035% above
200 week MA$103.268% above

STT has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

STT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$80.1$71.8-10%
2021$71.8$93.0+30%
2022$93.0$77.5-17%
2023$77.5$77.50%
2024$77.5$98.6+27%
2025$98.6$132.3+34%
2026 YTD$132.3$173.7+31%

STT has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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