CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

PGR

The Progressive Corporation

51
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential34/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PGR's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 7.7%, while its operating margin held steady at 16%. At 12x earnings, it's trading below its usual 16x. Analysts expect earnings to decline, though they disagree widely on how much.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

PGR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PGR's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PGR.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PGR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$211-10%
Current12x$235—
Forward15x$235—
Fair16x$311+32%
Expensive46x$904+284%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PGR's PE is in its cheap range at 12x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 15x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over PGR on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

PGR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Decline
Growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect PGR's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and PGR's risk to reward.

PGR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$260.87
Downside-21%$186.27

Calculated from the latest close: $235.49 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and PGR's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

PGR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.58Q1 2024: $9.77Q2 2024: $11.68Q3 2024: $13.76Q4 2024: $14.40Q1 2025: $14.83Q2 2025: $17.75Q3 2025: $18.23Q4 2025: $19.23Q1 2026: $19.66Q2 2026: $19.93Q3 2026: $19.85Forward: $15.96
Q4 2023: $6.58Q1 2024: $9.77Q2 2024: $11.68Q3 2024: $13.76Q4 2024: $14.40Q1 2025: $14.83Q2 2025: $17.75Q3 2025: $18.23Q4 2025: $19.23Q1 2026: $19.66Q2 2026: $19.93Q3 2026: $19.85Forward: $15.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.96-20%
Q3 2026$19.85+8.9%
Q2 2026$19.93+12%
Q1 2026$19.66+33%
Q4 2025$19.23+34%
Q3 2025$18.23+32%
Q2 2025$17.75+52%
Q1 2025$14.83+52%
Q4 2024$14.40+119%

PGR has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

PGR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $16.9BQ1 2024: $17.2BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: $19.7BQ4 2024: $20.3BQ1 2025: $20.4BQ2 2025: $22BQ3 2025: $22.5BQ4 2025: $22.7BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $23.6BQ3 2026: $23.2B
Q4 2023: $16.9BQ1 2024: $17.2BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: $19.7BQ4 2024: $20.3BQ1 2025: $20.4BQ2 2025: $22BQ3 2025: $22.5BQ4 2025: $22.7BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $23.6BQ3 2026: $23.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.2B+3%
Q2 2026$23.6B+7.3%
Q1 2026$22.2B+8.7%
Q4 2025$22.7B+12%
Q3 2025$22.5B+14%
Q2 2025$22B+21%
Q1 2025$20.4B+18%
Q4 2024$20.3B+20%

PGR has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

PGR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $4.6BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $5.1BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $4.3BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $4.4B
Q4 2023: $2.4BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $4.6BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $5.1BQ2 2025: $3.9BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $4.3BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $4.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.4B-14%
Q2 2026$3.5B-12%
Q1 2026$4.3B-15%
Q4 2025$3B+5.2%
Q3 2025$5.1B+13%
Q2 2025$3.9B+23%
Q1 2025$5.1B+21%
Q4 2024$2.9B+23%

PGR has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

PGR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 588MQ1 2024: 587MQ2 2024: 587MQ3 2024: 588MQ4 2024: 588MQ1 2025: 588MQ2 2025: 588MQ3 2025: 588MQ4 2025: 588MQ1 2026: 587MQ2 2026: 584MQ3 2026: 582M
Q4 2023: 588MQ1 2024: 587MQ2 2024: 587MQ3 2024: 588MQ4 2024: 588MQ1 2025: 588MQ2 2025: 588MQ3 2025: 588MQ4 2025: 588MQ1 2026: 587MQ2 2026: 584MQ3 2026: 582M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-2M shares
1 year-1%-6M shares
3 years-0.9%-5.3M shares
5 years-0.8%-4.9M shares
Available history-0.9%-5M shares

PGR has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has the edge over PGR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PGR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xNet Cash

PGR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PGR.

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

PGR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.4Neutral
Stochastic80.4Overbought

PGR's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PGR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPGRSector medianRelative
PE12x13x8.9% below
PE %286335 pts below

PGR is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

PGR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.86.2% above
20 week MA$219.27.4% above
50 week MA$211.911% above
100 week MA$232.61.3% above
200 week MA$206.314% above

PGR has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

PGR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$72.2$98.3+36%
2021$98.3$101.3+3%
2022$101.3$129.4+28%
2023$129.4$159.3+23%
2024$159.3$241.0+51%
2025$241.0$227.1-5.8%
2026 YTD$227.1$235.5+3.7%

PGR has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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