CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

PFSI

PennyMac Financial Services, Inc.

19
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation22/ 100
Upside potential13/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

PFSI's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 14x earnings, above its usual 9.0x. Its downside scenario is about seven times its upside.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

PFSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
N/A
N/A

PFSI's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PFSI.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PFSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.0x18x27x36x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.0x18x27x36x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.6x$16.03-74%
Fair8.9x$39.77-35%
Forward9.3x$60.73—
Current14x$60.73—
Expensive18x$80.01+32%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PFSI's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.3x, in its fair range.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over PFSI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

PFSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PFSI's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and PFSI's risk to reward.

PFSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+7%$65.09
Downside-47%$32.24

Calculated from the latest close: $60.73 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and PFSI's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

PFSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.74Q1 2024: $2.91Q2 2024: $3.65Q3 2024: $3.18Q4 2024: $5.84Q1 2025: $6.52Q2 2025: $7.21Q3 2025: $9.28Q4 2025: $9.30Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $7.28Q3 2026: $4.45Forward: $6.51
Q4 2023: $2.74Q1 2024: $2.91Q2 2024: $3.65Q3 2024: $3.18Q4 2024: $5.84Q1 2025: $6.52Q2 2025: $7.21Q3 2025: $9.28Q4 2025: $9.30Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $7.28Q3 2026: $4.45Forward: $6.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.51+46%
Q3 2026$4.45-52%
Q2 2026$7.28+1%
Q1 2026$9.41+44%
Q4 2025$9.30+59%
Q3 2025$9.28+192%
Q2 2025$7.21+98%
Q1 2025$6.52+124%
Q4 2024$5.84+113%

PFSI has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

PFSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $362MQ1 2024: $306MQ2 2024: $406MQ3 2024: $412MQ4 2024: $470MQ1 2025: $431MQ2 2025: $445MQ3 2025: $633MQ4 2025: $538MQ1 2026: $545MQ2 2026: $497MQ3 2026: $469M
Q4 2023: $362MQ1 2024: $306MQ2 2024: $406MQ3 2024: $412MQ4 2024: $470MQ1 2025: $431MQ2 2025: $445MQ3 2025: $633MQ4 2025: $538MQ1 2026: $545MQ2 2026: $497MQ3 2026: $469M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$468.8M-26%
Q2 2026$497M+12%
Q1 2026$545M+26%
Q4 2025$538M+14%
Q3 2025$632.9M+54%
Q2 2025$444.7M+9.5%
Q1 2025$430.9M+41%
Q4 2024$470.1M+30%

PFSI has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

PFSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $430MQ1 2024: −$899MQ2 2024: −$1.1BQ3 2024: −$394MQ4 2024: −$2.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: −$133MQ3 2025: −$699MQ4 2025: −$1.9BQ1 2026: −$1.3BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $850M
Q4 2023: $430MQ1 2024: −$899MQ2 2024: −$1.1BQ3 2024: −$394MQ4 2024: −$2.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: −$133MQ3 2025: −$699MQ4 2025: −$1.9BQ1 2026: −$1.3BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: $850M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$850.3M+$1.5B
Q2 2026$2.1B+$2.3B
Q1 2026-$1.3B-226%
Q4 2025-$1.9B+$251.6M
Q3 2025-$699.4M-$305.6M
Q2 2025-$132.6M+$960.7M
Q1 2025$1.1B+$2B
Q4 2024-$2.1B-600%

PFSI has the edge over CIFR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

PFSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 54MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 53M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 53MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 54MQ1 2026: 54MQ2 2026: 53MQ3 2026: 53M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-117K shares
1 year-1.4%-745K shares
3 years+1.1%+573K shares
5 years-19%-12.5M shares
Available history-34%-27.2M shares

PFSI has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

PFSI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 14.7xQ1 2024: 14.8xQ2 2024: 14.2xQ3 2024: 17.5xQ4 2024: 11.0xQ1 2025: 10.8xQ2 2025: 11.8xQ3 2025: 9.3xQ4 2025: 9.8xQ1 2026: 9.9xQ2 2026: 10.9xQ3 2026: 17.2x
Q4 2023: 14.7xQ1 2024: 14.8xQ2 2024: 14.2xQ3 2024: 17.5xQ4 2024: 11.0xQ1 2025: 10.8xQ2 2025: 11.8xQ3 2025: 9.3xQ4 2025: 9.8xQ1 2026: 9.9xQ2 2026: 10.9xQ3 2026: 17.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202617.2xHigh
Q2 202610.9xHigh
Q1 20269.9xHigh
Q4 20259.8xHigh
Q3 20259.3xHigh
Q2 202511.8xHigh
Q1 202510.8xHigh
Q4 202411.0xHigh

PFSI's net debt is about 17 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 9.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PFSI.

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

PFSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.8Neutral
Stochastic22.4Neutral

PFSI's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PFSI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPFSISector medianRelative
PE14x13x4.8% above
PE %67634 pts above

PFSI is trading at 14x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

PFSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.62.9% below
20 week MA$71.315% below
50 week MA$89.832% below
100 week MA$98.338% below
200 week MA$90.433% below

PFSI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR has the edge over PFSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PFSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.9$65.3+92%
2021$65.3$70.0+7.2%
2022$70.0$56.8-19%
2023$56.8$88.4+56%
2024$88.4$102.1+16%
2025$102.1$133.9+31%
2026 YTD$133.9$60.7-55%

PFSI is down 55% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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