CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

NMIH

NMI Holdings, Inc.

54
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

NMIH's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 6.9%, but its operating margin fell 3 points to 68%. At 7.6x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 8.1x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

NMIH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

NMIH's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NMIH.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NMIH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$34.99-10%
Forward7.3x$38.88—
Current7.6x$38.88—
Fair8.1x$41.23+6%
Expensive9.8x$50.07+29%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NMIH's PE is in its fair range at 7.6x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.3x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over NMIH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

NMIH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect NMIH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and NMIH's risk to reward.

NMIH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$45.91
Downside-12%$34.24

Calculated from the latest close: $38.88 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and NMIH's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

NMIH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.84Q1 2024: $4.04Q2 2024: $4.22Q3 2024: $4.37Q4 2024: $4.43Q1 2025: $4.63Q2 2025: $4.71Q3 2025: $4.78Q4 2025: $4.92Q1 2026: $4.92Q2 2026: $5.09Q3 2026: $5.10Forward: $5.30
Q4 2023: $3.84Q1 2024: $4.04Q2 2024: $4.22Q3 2024: $4.37Q4 2024: $4.43Q1 2025: $4.63Q2 2025: $4.71Q3 2025: $4.78Q4 2025: $4.92Q1 2026: $4.92Q2 2026: $5.09Q3 2026: $5.10Forward: $5.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.30+3.9%
Q3 2026$5.10+6.7%
Q2 2026$5.09+8.1%
Q1 2026$4.92+6.3%
Q4 2025$4.92+11%
Q3 2025$4.78+9.4%
Q2 2025$4.71+12%
Q1 2025$4.63+15%
Q4 2024$4.43+15%

NMIH has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

NMIH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $151MQ1 2024: $156MQ2 2024: $162MQ3 2024: $166MQ4 2024: $167MQ1 2025: $173MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $179MQ4 2025: $181MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $188MQ3 2026: $188M
Q4 2023: $151MQ1 2024: $156MQ2 2024: $162MQ3 2024: $166MQ4 2024: $167MQ1 2025: $173MQ2 2025: $174MQ3 2025: $179MQ4 2025: $181MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $188MQ3 2026: $188M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$187.6M+5%
Q2 2026$187.9M+8.1%
Q1 2026$183.5M+5.9%
Q4 2025$180.7M+8.5%
Q3 2025$178.7M+7.6%
Q2 2025$173.8M+7.2%
Q1 2025$173.2M+11%
Q4 2024$166.5M+10%

NMIH has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

NMIH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $109MQ2 2024: $116MQ3 2024: $127MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $99MQ2 2025: $127MQ3 2025: $126MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $115MQ2 2026: $140MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $109MQ2 2024: $116MQ3 2024: $127MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $99MQ2 2025: $127MQ3 2025: $126MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $115MQ2 2026: $140MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$108.9M-14%
Q2 2026$140.2M+11%
Q1 2026$115M+16%
Q4 2025$60.1M+75%
Q3 2025$126.3M-0.5%
Q2 2025$126.7M+9.3%
Q1 2025$99.4M-9.1%
Q4 2024$34.4M+20%

NMIH has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

NMIH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 83MQ1 2024: 82MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 81MQ4 2024: 81MQ1 2025: 80MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 76M
Q4 2023: 83MQ1 2024: 82MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 81MQ4 2024: 81MQ1 2025: 80MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 76M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-468K shares
1 year-3.4%-2.7M shares
3 years-9%-7.6M shares
5 years-12%-10.8M shares
Available history+8.3%+5.8M shares

NMIH has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

NMIH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 0.7xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.7xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.8xVery low

NMIH's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NMIH.

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

NMIH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.6Neutral
Stochastic38.6Neutral

NMIH's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NMIH PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNMIHSector medianRelative
PE7.6x13x41% below
PE %326331 pts below

NMIH is trading at 7.6x earnings, a 41% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

NMIH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.54% below
20 week MA$42.48.3% below
50 week MA$40.23.2% below
100 week MA$38.80.1% above
200 week MA$34.612% above

NMIH has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

NMIH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.6$22.8-32%
2021$22.8$21.3-6.2%
2022$21.3$20.6-3.4%
2023$20.6$29.7+44%
2024$29.7$36.7+24%
2025$36.7$41.4+13%
2026 YTD$41.4$38.9-6.1%

NMIH has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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