CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

MTG

MGIC Investment Corporation

51
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MTG's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 5 points to 73% and revenue fell 2.2%. At 8.6x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 8.2x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

MTG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

MTG's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MTG.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.1x6.2x9.3x12x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.1x6.2x9.3x12x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.7x$18.32-34%
Fair8.2x$26.43-4.8%
Forward8.3x$27.76—
Current8.6x$27.76—
Expensive9.3x$29.95+7.9%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTG's PE is in its fair range at 8.6x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.3x next year's earnings.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over MTG on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

MTG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MTG's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and MTG's risk to reward.

MTG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$32.54
Downside-10%$24.88

Calculated from the latest close: $27.76 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and MTG's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

MTG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.49Q1 2024: $2.60Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $2.84Q4 2024: $2.89Q1 2025: $3.00Q2 2025: $3.04Q3 2025: $3.10Q4 2025: $3.14Q1 2026: $3.15Q2 2026: $3.20Q3 2026: $3.22Forward: $3.36
Q4 2023: $2.49Q1 2024: $2.60Q2 2024: $2.71Q3 2024: $2.84Q4 2024: $2.89Q1 2025: $3.00Q2 2025: $3.04Q3 2025: $3.10Q4 2025: $3.14Q1 2026: $3.15Q2 2026: $3.20Q3 2026: $3.22Forward: $3.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.36+4.4%
Q3 2026$3.22+3.9%
Q2 2026$3.20+5.3%
Q1 2026$3.15+5%
Q4 2025$3.14+8.7%
Q3 2025$3.10+9.2%
Q2 2025$3.04+12%
Q1 2025$3.00+15%
Q4 2024$2.89+16%

MTG has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR has the edge over MTG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $284MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $305MQ3 2024: $307MQ4 2024: $301MQ1 2025: $306MQ2 2025: $304MQ3 2025: $305MQ4 2025: $299MQ1 2026: $297MQ2 2026: $295MQ3 2026: $299M
Q4 2023: $284MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $305MQ3 2024: $307MQ4 2024: $301MQ1 2025: $306MQ2 2025: $304MQ3 2025: $305MQ4 2025: $299MQ1 2026: $297MQ2 2026: $295MQ3 2026: $299M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$299.1M-1.8%
Q2 2026$295.4M-2.9%
Q1 2026$297.1M-3%
Q4 2025$298.7M-0.9%
Q3 2025$304.5M-0.7%
Q2 2025$304.2M-0.3%
Q1 2025$306.2M+4%
Q4 2024$301.4M+6.2%

MTG's revenue has held roughly level: $299M last quarter, down 1.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

MTG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $186MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $182MQ4 2024: $182MQ1 2025: $224MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $215MQ4 2025: $230MQ1 2026: $77MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $216M
Q4 2023: $186MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $182MQ4 2024: $182MQ1 2025: $224MQ2 2025: $183MQ3 2025: $215MQ4 2025: $230MQ1 2026: $77MQ2 2026: $184MQ3 2026: $216M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$216.3M+0.6%
Q2 2026$184.5M+0.8%
Q1 2026$76.7M-66%
Q4 2025$230.2M+27%
Q3 2025$215.1M+18%
Q2 2025$183M+8.3%
Q1 2025$223.5M+17%
Q4 2024$181.9M-2.1%

MTG has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

MTG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 287MQ1 2024: 273MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 261MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 246MQ2 2025: 238MQ3 2025: 231MQ4 2025: 235MQ1 2026: 218MQ2 2026: 211MQ3 2026: 205M
Q4 2023: 287MQ1 2024: 273MQ2 2024: 267MQ3 2024: 261MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 246MQ2 2025: 238MQ3 2025: 231MQ4 2025: 235MQ1 2026: 218MQ2 2026: 211MQ3 2026: 205M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.6%-5.5M shares
1 year-11%-26M shares
3 years-28%-80.2M shares
5 years-42%-148M shares
Available history-45%-169M shares

MTG has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

MTG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.4xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

MTG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MTG.

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

MTG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.6Neutral
Stochastic42.7Neutral

MTG's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMTGSector medianRelative
PE8.6x13x34% below
PE %62631 pt below

MTG is trading at 8.6x earnings, a 34% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

MTG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.01% below
20 week MA$29.25.1% below
50 week MA$27.90.5% below
100 week MA$27.02.9% above
200 week MA$23.120% above

MTG has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

MTG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.1$12.3-13%
2021$12.3$14.1+15%
2022$14.1$12.9-8.2%
2023$12.9$19.3+49%
2024$19.3$23.7+23%
2025$23.7$29.8+26%
2026 YTD$29.8$27.8-6.8%

MTG has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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