CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

MTB

M&T Bank Corporation

60
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

MTB's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 18%, while revenue grew 4%. At 12x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 12x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

MTB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

MTB's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MTB.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.1x$174-21%
Forward11x$220—
Fair12x$230+4.8%
Current12x$220—
Expensive14x$269+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTB's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over MTB on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

MTB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MTB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and MTB's risk to reward.

MTB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$269.52
Downside-12%$193.56

Calculated from the latest close: $219.78 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and MTB's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

MTB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $15.79Q1 2024: $14.80Q2 2024: $13.48Q3 2024: $13.52Q4 2024: $14.64Q1 2025: $14.94Q2 2025: $15.45Q3 2025: $16.25Q4 2025: $17.00Q1 2026: $17.81Q2 2026: $18.89Q3 2026: $19.11Forward: $20.37
Q4 2023: $15.79Q1 2024: $14.80Q2 2024: $13.48Q3 2024: $13.52Q4 2024: $14.64Q1 2025: $14.94Q2 2025: $15.45Q3 2025: $16.25Q4 2025: $17.00Q1 2026: $17.81Q2 2026: $18.89Q3 2026: $19.11Forward: $20.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.37+6.6%
Q3 2026$19.11+18%
Q2 2026$18.89+22%
Q1 2026$17.81+19%
Q4 2025$17.00+16%
Q3 2025$16.25+20%
Q2 2025$15.45+15%
Q1 2025$14.94+0.9%
Q4 2024$14.64-7.3%

MTB has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

MTB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $2.3BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $2.3BQ1 2024: $2.3BQ2 2024: $2.3BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B+0.9%
Q2 2026$2.5B+5.7%
Q1 2026$2.4B+5.9%
Q4 2025$2.5B+3.8%
Q3 2025$2.5B+7.8%
Q2 2025$2.4B+4.1%
Q1 2025$2.3B+2%
Q4 2024$2.4B+3.7%

MTB has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

MTB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $608MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $635MQ2 2025: $844MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $608MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $635MQ2 2025: $844MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+25%
Q2 2026$1.3B+50%
Q1 2026$1B+59%
Q4 2025$523M-69%
Q3 2025$1B+$1B
Q2 2025$844M-38%
Q1 2025$635M+4.4%
Q3 2024-$28M-102%

MTB has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

MTB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 167MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 168MQ3 2024: 168MQ4 2024: 167MQ1 2025: 165MQ2 2025: 160MQ3 2025: 157MQ4 2025: 159MQ1 2026: 150MQ2 2026: 147MQ3 2026: 145M
Q4 2023: 167MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 168MQ3 2024: 168MQ4 2024: 167MQ1 2025: 165MQ2 2025: 160MQ3 2025: 157MQ4 2025: 159MQ1 2026: 150MQ2 2026: 147MQ3 2026: 145M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-1.6M shares
1 year-7.3%-11.4M shares
3 years-13%-21.4M shares
5 years+13%+16.3M shares
Available history+8%+10.7M shares

MTB has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

MTB Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 4.2xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ3 2026: 4.3x
Q2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.3xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 4.2xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ3 2026: 4.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.3xHigh
Q2 20263.8xElevated
Q1 20264.2xHigh
Q4 20252.8xModerate
Q3 20253.3xElevated
Q2 20253.2xElevated

MTB's net debt is about 4.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MTB.

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

MTB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic17.4Oversold

MTB's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMTBSector medianRelative
PE12x13x12% below
PE %396324 pts below

MTB is trading at 12x earnings, a 12% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

MTB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$219.10.3% above
20 week MA$233.45.8% below
50 week MA$222.21.1% below
100 week MA$204.87.3% above
200 week MA$175.325% above

MTB has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

MTB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$169.6$125.0-26%
2021$125.0$151.0+21%
2022$151.0$144.6-4.2%
2023$144.6$137.1-5.2%
2024$137.1$189.2+38%
2025$189.2$207.3+9.5%
2026 YTD$207.3$219.8+6%

MTB has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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