CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

MBIN

Merchants Bancorp

59
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

MBIN's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 8.8x earnings, above its usual 6.3x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

MBIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MBIN's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MBIN.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MBIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.7x10x13x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.7x10x13x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.6x$33.76-37%
Fair6.3x$38.13-29%
Expensive8.1x$49.06-8.4%
Current8.8x$53.56—
Forward9.1x$53.56—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MBIN's PE is in its expensive range at 8.8x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.1x.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CIFR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MBIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MBIN, with profitability improving.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and MBIN's risk to reward.

MBIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$72.72
Downside-16%$45.19

Calculated from the latest close: $53.56 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and MBIN's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

MBIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.64Q1 2024: $6.37Q2 2024: $6.55Q3 2024: $6.04Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $5.43Q2 2025: $4.54Q3 2025: $4.34Q4 2025: $3.78Q1 2026: $4.10Q2 2026: $4.98Q3 2026: $6.07Forward: $5.86
Q4 2023: $5.64Q1 2024: $6.37Q2 2024: $6.55Q3 2024: $6.04Q4 2024: $6.30Q1 2025: $5.43Q2 2025: $4.54Q3 2025: $4.34Q4 2025: $3.78Q1 2026: $4.10Q2 2026: $4.98Q3 2026: $6.07Forward: $5.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.86-3.4%
Q3 2026$6.07+40%
Q2 2026$4.98+9.7%
Q1 2026$4.10-24%
Q4 2025$3.78-40%
Q3 2025$4.34-28%
Q2 2025$4.54-31%
Q1 2025$5.43-15%
Q4 2024$6.30+12%

MBIN has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

MBIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: $194MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: $179MQ3 2025: $171MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $225M
Q4 2023: $159MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $150MQ4 2024: $194MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: $179MQ3 2025: $171MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $175MQ2 2026: $182MQ3 2026: $225M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$224.9M+31%
Q2 2026$182.2M+1.7%
Q1 2026$175.2M+20%
Q4 2025$185.3M-4.4%
Q3 2025$171.1M+14%
Q2 2025$179.2M+12%
Q1 2025$145.9M-13%
Q4 2024$193.8M+22%

MBIN has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

MBIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $710MQ1 2024: −$386MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: −$497MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: −$126MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: −$402MQ1 2026: −$598MQ2 2026: $211MQ3 2026: $617M
Q4 2023: $710MQ1 2024: −$386MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: −$497MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: −$126MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: −$402MQ1 2026: −$598MQ2 2026: $211MQ3 2026: $617M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$616.9M+2472%
Q2 2026$210.9M+$336.5M
Q1 2026-$598.5M-524%
Q4 2025-$401.7M-$385.4M
Q3 2025$24M+$521.2M
Q2 2025-$125.7M-374%
Q1 2025$141.2M+$527.3M
Q4 2024-$16.3M-102%

MBIN has the edge over CIFR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

MBIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 43MQ1 2024: 43MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+27K shares
1 year+0.2%+82.8K shares
3 years+6.2%+2.7M shares
5 years+6.3%+2.7M shares
Available history+6.8%+2.9M shares

MBIN has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

MBIN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

MBIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MBIN.

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

MBIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.0Neutral
Stochastic56.3Neutral

MBIN's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MBIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMBINSector medianRelative
PE8.8x13x32% below
PE %866323 pts above

MBIN is trading at 8.8x earnings, a 32% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

MBIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$50.85.5% above
20 week MA$51.53.9% above
50 week MA$46.216% above
100 week MA$40.333% above
200 week MA$37.941% above

MBIN has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

MBIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.0$18.6+43%
2021$18.6$31.5+70%
2022$31.5$24.5-22%
2023$24.5$42.6+74%
2024$42.6$36.3-15%
2025$36.3$33.7-7.2%
2026 YTD$33.7$53.6+59%

MBIN has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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