CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

MAIN

Main Street Capital Corporation

46
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

MAIN's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 20%, but its operating margin fell 6 points to 72%. At 12x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

MAIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
N/A
N/A

MAIN's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MAIN.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MAIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x60x90x120x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x60x90x120x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.3x$44.46-21%
Fair12x$56.85+1.1%
Current12x$56.23—
Expensive15x$70.68+26%
Forward15x$56.23—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MAIN's PE is in its fair range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 15x, in its expensive range.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over MAIN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

MAIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect MAIN's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and MAIN's risk to reward.

MAIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$65.34
Downside-14%$48.47

Calculated from the latest close: $56.23 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and MAIN's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

MAIN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.14Q1 2024: $4.17Q2 2024: $4.12Q3 2024: $4.13Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.05Q2 2025: $4.03Q3 2025: $4.00Q4 2025: $3.99Q1 2026: $3.91Q2 2026: $4.50Q3 2026: $4.78Forward: $3.76
Q4 2023: $4.14Q1 2024: $4.17Q2 2024: $4.12Q3 2024: $4.13Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.05Q2 2025: $4.03Q3 2025: $4.00Q4 2025: $3.99Q1 2026: $3.91Q2 2026: $4.50Q3 2026: $4.78Forward: $3.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.76-21%
Q3 2026$4.78+20%
Q2 2026$4.50+12%
Q1 2026$3.91-3.5%
Q4 2025$3.99-2.4%
Q3 2025$4.00-3.1%
Q2 2025$4.03-2.2%
Q1 2025$4.05-2.9%
Q4 2024$4.09-1.2%

MAIN has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

MAIN has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 63% for CIFR versus down 57% for MAIN.

MAIN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$55.5M-57%
Q1 2022$97.5M+20%
Q4 2021$135.5M+32%
Q3 2021$123.7M+22%
Q2 2021$129.7M+129%
Q4 2020$102.8M+183%

MAIN's revenue has held roughly level: $56M last quarter, down 57% from the same quarter a year ago.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

MAIN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $154MQ1 2024: −$118MQ2 2024: −$186MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $145MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $91MQ4 2025: −$218MQ1 2026: −$139MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $71M
Q4 2023: $154MQ1 2024: −$118MQ2 2024: −$186MQ3 2024: $72MQ4 2024: $145MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $91MQ4 2025: −$218MQ1 2026: −$139MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $71M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$71.5M-21%
Q2 2026$116.6M+14%
Q1 2026-$138.5M-$118.1M
Q4 2025-$218.5M-251%
Q3 2025$90.6M+25%
Q2 2025$102.5M+$289M
Q1 2025-$20.4M+$97.7M
Q4 2024$145M-5.6%

MAIN has the edge over CIFR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

MAIN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 86MQ3 2024: 87MQ4 2024: 87MQ1 2025: 89MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 91MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 94M
Q4 2023: 82MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 86MQ3 2024: 87MQ4 2024: 87MQ1 2025: 89MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 89MQ1 2026: 91MQ2 2026: 93MQ3 2026: 94M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+503K shares
1 year+4.6%+4.1M shares
3 years+13%+10.8M shares
5 years+36%+24.7M shares
Available history+47%+30M shares

MAIN has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

MAIN Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20226.1xHigh
Q1 20224.8xHigh
Q4 20214.8xHigh
Q3 20214.1xHigh
Q2 20214.2xHigh
Q1 20214.9xHigh
Q4 202071.9xHigh
Q4 20198.0xHigh

MAIN's net debt is about 6.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MAIN.

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

MAIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.8Neutral
Stochastic52.2Neutral

MAIN's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MAIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMAINSector medianRelative
PE12x13x9.7% below
PE %466317 pts below

MAIN is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

MAIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$55.02.3% above
20 week MA$55.61.1% above
50 week MA$56.10.2% above
100 week MA$57.82.7% below
200 week MA$51.39.7% above

MAIN has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

MAIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$43.4$31.1-28%
2021$31.1$44.0+41%
2022$44.0$36.8-16%
2023$36.8$43.2+18%
2024$43.2$57.9+34%
2025$57.9$60.8+5%
2026 YTD$60.8$56.2-7.5%

MAIN has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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