CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

HGTY

Hagerty, Inc.

44
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential8/ 100
Risk potential59/ 100

HGTY's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 244x earnings, about five times its usual 50x. Its downside scenario is more than ten times its upside.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

HGTY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
N/A
N/A

HGTY's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like HGTY.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HGTY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE72x144x217x289x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE72x144x217x289x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward30x$15.80—
Cheap43x$2.60-84%
Fair50x$3.00-81%
Expensive138x$8.26-48%
Current244x$15.80—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HGTY's PE is in its expensive range at 244x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CIFR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HGTY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HGTY to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and HGTY's risk to reward.

HGTY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+5%$16.63
Downside-59%$6.53

Calculated from the latest close: $15.80 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and HGTY's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

HGTY Earnings Per Share

Q1 2025: $0.21Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.29Q4 2025: $0.33Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.53
Q1 2025: $0.21Q2 2025: $0.21Q3 2025: $0.29Q4 2025: $0.33Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.53+775%
Q3 2026$0.06-79%
Q2 2026$0.09-57%
Q1 2026$0.20-4.8%

HGTY has the edge over CIFR in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

HGTY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $245MQ1 2024: $272MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $323MQ4 2024: $292MQ1 2025: $320MQ2 2025: $369MQ3 2025: $380MQ4 2025: $357MQ1 2026: $312MQ2 2026: $355MQ3 2026: $354M
Q4 2023: $245MQ1 2024: $272MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $323MQ4 2024: $292MQ1 2025: $320MQ2 2025: $369MQ3 2025: $380MQ4 2025: $357MQ1 2026: $312MQ2 2026: $355MQ3 2026: $354M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$354.2M-6.8%
Q2 2026$354.8M-3.8%
Q1 2026$311.8M-2.4%
Q4 2025$357.3M+22%
Q3 2025$380M+18%
Q2 2025$368.7M+18%
Q1 2025$319.6M+18%
Q4 2024$291.7M+19%

HGTY has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

HGTY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $162MQ3 2026: $86M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $48MQ3 2025: $85MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $162MQ3 2026: $86M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$86.4M+1.4%
Q2 2026$161.7M+239%
Q1 2026$8.5M-78%
Q4 2025$23.1M+$39.7M
Q3 2025$85.2M+37%
Q2 2025$47.7M-16%
Q1 2025$38.4M-28%
Q4 2024-$16.7M-$13.3M

HGTY has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

HGTY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 340MQ2 2024: 341MQ3 2024: 345MQ4 2024: 345MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 346MQ3 2025: 346MQ4 2025: 347MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 347MQ3 2026: 344M
Q4 2023: 340MQ2 2024: 341MQ3 2024: 345MQ4 2024: 345MQ1 2025: 345MQ2 2025: 346MQ3 2025: 346MQ4 2025: 347MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 347MQ3 2026: 344M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-3.1M shares
1 year-0.7%-2.3M shares
3 years+1.1%+3.8M shares
5 years+1065%+314M shares

HGTY has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

HGTY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -2.1x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 20240.0xVery low

HGTY has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like HGTY.

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

HGTY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.8Neutral
Stochastic74.7Neutral

HGTY's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HGTY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricHGTYSector medianRelative
PE244x13x1,776% above
PE %996633 pts above

HGTY is trading at 244x earnings, a 1776% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

HGTY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.23.9% above
20 week MA$13.815% above
50 week MA$12.427% above
100 week MA$11.438% above
200 week MA$10.452% above

HGTY has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

HGTY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.77$13.7+40%
2022$13.7$7.95-42%
2023$7.95$7.80-1.9%
2024$7.80$9.83+26%
2025$9.83$13.8+41%
2026 YTD$13.8$15.8+14%

HGTY has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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