CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

GCMG

GCM Grosvenor Inc.

63
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

GCMG's fundamentals are mixed: its operating margin rose 5 points to 27%, while revenue grew 6.6%. At 23x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 24x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

GCMG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

GCMG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GCMG.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GCMG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$13.53—
Cheap23x$13.18-2.6%
Current23x$13.53—
Fair24x$14.14+4.5%
Expensive29x$16.79+24%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GCMG's PE is in its cheap range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CIFR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GCMG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GCMG, with profitability improving.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and GCMG's risk to reward.

GCMG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$17.25
Downside-11%$12.10

Calculated from the latest close: $13.53 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and GCMG's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

GCMG Earnings Per Share

Q1 2026: $0.50Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.58Forward: $1.06
Q1 2026: $0.50Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.58Forward: $1.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.06+83%
Q1 2021$0.43+$1.02
Q4 2020$0.22+$0.22

GCMG has the edge over CIFR in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

GCMG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $117MQ1 2024: $109MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $123MQ4 2024: $165MQ1 2025: $126MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $177MQ1 2026: $125MQ2 2026: $134MQ3 2026: $146M
Q4 2023: $117MQ1 2024: $109MQ2 2024: $117MQ3 2024: $123MQ4 2024: $165MQ1 2025: $126MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $177MQ1 2026: $125MQ2 2026: $134MQ3 2026: $146M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$145.6M+7.8%
Q2 2026$134.3M+12%
Q1 2026$124.8M-0.8%
Q4 2025$177.1M+7.2%
Q3 2025$135M+9.8%
Q2 2025$119.7M+2.3%
Q1 2025$125.8M+16%
Q4 2024$165.3M+42%

GCMG has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

GCMG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $36MQ3 2026: $92M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $62MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $36MQ3 2026: $92M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$91.9M+17%
Q2 2026$36.3M-11%
Q1 2026$47.9M+49%
Q4 2025$23.9M-35%
Q3 2025$78.3M+26%
Q2 2025$40.8M+218%
Q1 2025$32.1M+60%
Q4 2024$37M+53%

GCMG has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

GCMG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 187MQ2 2024: 190MQ3 2024: 191MQ4 2024: 191MQ2 2025: 196MQ3 2025: 197MQ4 2025: 197MQ1 2026: 205MQ2 2026: 204MQ3 2026: 205M
Q4 2023: 187MQ2 2024: 190MQ3 2024: 191MQ4 2024: 191MQ2 2025: 196MQ3 2025: 197MQ4 2025: 197MQ1 2026: 205MQ2 2026: 204MQ3 2026: 205M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+1.4M shares
1 year+3.8%+7.5M shares
3 years+8.7%+16.4M shares
5 years+414%+165M shares

GCMG has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

GCMG Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 8.1xQ3 2024: 7.3xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q2 2024: 8.1xQ3 2024: 7.3xQ4 2024: 4.5xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.4xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20261.4xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20252.0xHealthy
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20244.5xHigh

GCMG's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.9 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GCMG.

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

GCMG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.6Neutral
Stochastic31.7Neutral

GCMG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GCMG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGCMGSector medianRelative
PE23x13x79% above
PE %326331 pts below

GCMG is trading at 23x earnings, a 79% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

GCMG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.95% above
20 week MA$13.13.5% above
50 week MA$11.814% above
100 week MA$12.111% above
200 week MA$10.628% above

GCMG has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

GCMG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.2$13.6+33%
2021$13.6$10.1-26%
2022$10.1$7.84-22%
2023$7.84$8.96+14%
2024$8.96$12.2+36%
2025$12.2$11.5-6.3%
2026 YTD$11.5$13.5+18%

GCMG has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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