CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

GBDC

Golub Capital BDC, Inc.

35
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation11/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

GBDC's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 19x earnings, about twice its usual 10x. Analysts expect earnings to decline.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

GBDC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

GBDC's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GBDC.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GBDC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x41x61x82x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x41x61x82x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.8x$5.08-59%
Forward9.8x$12.49—
Fair10x$6.58-47%
Expensive17x$10.74-14%
Current19x$12.49—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GBDC's PE is in its expensive range at 19x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.8x, in its fair range.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over GBDC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

GBDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect GBDC's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and GBDC's risk to reward.

GBDC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$14.18
Downside-12%$10.97

Calculated from the latest close: $12.49 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and GBDC's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

GBDC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.52Q4 2023: $1.82Q1 2024: $2.03Q2 2024: $1.65Q3 2024: $1.36Q4 2024: $1.33Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $1.37Q3 2025: $1.42Q4 2025: $1.25Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $0.65Forward: $1.27
Q3 2023: $1.52Q4 2023: $1.82Q1 2024: $2.03Q2 2024: $1.65Q3 2024: $1.36Q4 2024: $1.33Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $1.37Q3 2025: $1.42Q4 2025: $1.25Q1 2026: $0.77Q2 2026: $0.65Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27+96%
Q2 2026$0.65-53%
Q1 2026$0.77-29%
Q4 2025$1.25-6%
Q3 2025$1.42+4.4%
Q2 2025$1.37-17%
Q1 2025$1.08-47%
Q4 2024$1.33-27%
Q3 2024$1.36-11%

GBDC has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

GBDC has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 63% for CIFR versus down 18% for GBDC.

GBDC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$73.9M-18%
Q2 2022$57.6M-43%
Q1 2022$109.5M-1.5%
Q4 2021$105.4M-6.1%
Q3 2021$90.5M-19%
Q2 2021$101.3M-38%
Q4 2020$112.3M+56%

GBDC's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $74M last quarter, down 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

GBDC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $64MQ4 2023: $164MQ1 2024: $149MQ2 2024: $231MQ3 2024: −$200MQ4 2024: −$375MQ1 2025: $195MQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $266MQ4 2025: $212MQ1 2026: $249MQ2 2026: $193M
Q3 2023: $64MQ4 2023: $164MQ1 2024: $149MQ2 2024: $231MQ3 2024: −$200MQ4 2024: −$375MQ1 2025: $195MQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $266MQ4 2025: $212MQ1 2026: $249MQ2 2026: $193M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$192.7M+$393.2M
Q1 2026$248.8M+27%
Q4 2025$212M+$586.7M
Q3 2025$266.1M+$466.1M
Q2 2025-$200.4M-187%
Q1 2025$195.4M+31%
Q4 2024-$374.7M-329%
Q3 2024-$200M-412%

GBDC has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

GBDC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 170MQ4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 171MQ2 2024: 200MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 266MQ2 2025: 267MQ3 2025: 266MQ4 2025: 264MQ1 2026: 263MQ2 2026: 260M
Q3 2023: 170MQ4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 171MQ2 2024: 200MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 266MQ2 2025: 267MQ3 2025: 266MQ4 2025: 264MQ1 2026: 263MQ2 2026: 260M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2.2M shares
1 year-2.4%-6.4M shares
3 years+52%+89.6M shares
5 years+56%+93.2M shares
Available history+241%+184M shares

GBDC has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

GBDC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202212.1xHigh
Q2 202210.9xHigh
Q1 20228.8xHigh
Q4 20218.1xHigh
Q3 20217.0xHigh
Q2 20215.4xHigh
Q1 20214.7xHigh
Q4 202022.4xHigh

GBDC's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.0 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GBDC.

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

GBDC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.4Neutral
Stochastic49.9Neutral

GBDC's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GBDC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGBDCSector medianRelative
PE19x13x48% above
PE %886325 pts above

GBDC is trading at 19x earnings, a 48% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

GBDC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.40.6% above
20 week MA$12.72% below
50 week MA$12.93.3% below
100 week MA$13.89.6% below
200 week MA$14.313% below

GBDC has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

GBDC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.5$13.8-25%
2021$13.8$15.3+11%
2022$15.3$13.2-13%
2023$13.2$15.1+14%
2024$15.1$15.3+1%
2025$15.3$13.6-11%
2026 YTD$13.6$12.5-7.8%

GBDC has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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