CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

ESNT

Essent Group Ltd.

51
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

ESNT's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 9.6%, but its operating margin fell 7 points to 59%. At 8.8x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 8.4x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

ESNT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

ESNT's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ESNT.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ESNT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.2x11x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.2x11x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.7x$41.50-36%
Fair8.4x$61.43-5.3%
Forward8.6x$64.89—
Current8.9x$64.89—
Expensive9.5x$69.56+7.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ESNT's PE is in its fair range at 8.8x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.6x next year's earnings.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over ESNT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

ESNT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ESNT, but weaker profitability.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and ESNT's risk to reward.

ESNT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$76.05
Downside-11%$57.78

Calculated from the latest close: $64.89 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CIFR and ESNT's risk to reward.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

ESNT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.50Q1 2024: $6.61Q2 2024: $6.91Q3 2024: $6.90Q4 2024: $6.85Q1 2025: $6.84Q2 2025: $6.86Q3 2025: $6.88Q4 2025: $6.90Q1 2026: $7.03Q2 2026: $7.18Q3 2026: $7.33Forward: $7.56
Q4 2023: $6.50Q1 2024: $6.61Q2 2024: $6.91Q3 2024: $6.90Q4 2024: $6.85Q1 2025: $6.84Q2 2025: $6.86Q3 2025: $6.88Q4 2025: $6.90Q1 2026: $7.03Q2 2026: $7.18Q3 2026: $7.33Forward: $7.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.56+3.1%
Q3 2026$7.33+6.5%
Q2 2026$7.18+4.7%
Q1 2026$7.03+2.8%
Q4 2025$6.90+0.7%
Q3 2025$6.88-0.3%
Q2 2025$6.86-0.7%
Q1 2025$6.84+3.5%
Q4 2024$6.85+5.4%

ESNT has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

ESNT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $297MQ1 2024: $298MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $315MQ1 2025: $318MQ2 2025: $319MQ3 2025: $312MQ4 2025: $312MQ1 2026: $336MQ2 2026: $363MQ3 2026: $374M
Q4 2023: $297MQ1 2024: $298MQ2 2024: $313MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $315MQ1 2025: $318MQ2 2025: $319MQ3 2025: $312MQ4 2025: $312MQ1 2026: $336MQ2 2026: $363MQ3 2026: $374M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$374.2M+20%
Q2 2026$362.7M+14%
Q1 2026$336.1M+5.8%
Q4 2025$312.4M-0.8%
Q3 2025$311.8M-1.5%
Q2 2025$319.1M+2%
Q1 2025$317.6M+6.4%
Q4 2024$315M+6%

ESNT has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
Q4 2023: −$114MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$33MQ3 2024: −$83MQ4 2024: −$76MQ1 2025: −$72MQ2 2025: −$88MQ3 2025: −$256MQ4 2025: −$280MQ1 2026: −$462MQ2 2026: −$654MQ3 2026: −$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was −$3.1B over the past year, against −$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

ESNT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $213MQ1 2024: $212MQ2 2024: $188MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $226MQ1 2025: $221MQ2 2025: $189MQ3 2025: $211MQ4 2025: $228MQ1 2026: $191MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $238M
Q4 2023: $213MQ1 2024: $212MQ2 2024: $188MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $226MQ1 2025: $221MQ2 2025: $189MQ3 2025: $211MQ4 2025: $228MQ1 2026: $191MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $238M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$237.9M+13%
Q2 2026$196.1M+3.9%
Q1 2026$191.2M-14%
Q4 2025$228M+0.9%
Q3 2025$210.6M-7.9%
Q2 2025$188.8M+0.6%
Q1 2025$221.3M+4.2%
Q4 2024$226M+5.9%

ESNT has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

ESNT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 107MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 107MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 90M
Q4 2023: 107MQ1 2024: 107MQ2 2024: 107MQ3 2024: 107MQ4 2024: 107MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 100MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 91MQ3 2026: 90M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-1.6M shares
1 year-8.9%-8.7M shares
3 years-16%-17.3M shares
5 years-19%-21.6M shares
Available history-8.7%-8.6M shares

ESNT has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

ESNT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

ESNT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ESNT.

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

ESNT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.8Neutral
Stochastic55.2Neutral

ESNT's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ESNT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricESNTSector medianRelative
PE8.9x13x32% below
PE %64631 pt above

ESNT is trading at 8.8x earnings, a 32% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

ESNT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$64.21.1% above
20 week MA$66.01.7% below
50 week MA$63.22.7% above
100 week MA$60.96.5% above
200 week MA$56.415% above

ESNT has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to −90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

ESNT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$52.3$43.9-16%
2021$43.9$44.5+1.3%
2022$44.5$39.0-12%
2023$39.0$52.7+35%
2024$52.7$54.1+2.5%
2025$54.1$65.9+22%
2026 YTD$65.9$64.9-1.5%

ESNT has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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