CIEN

Ciena Corporation

72
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential87/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

CIEN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MU

Micron Technology, Inc.

96
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MU has the edge over CIEN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CIEN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Healthy

CIEN's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

MU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

CIEN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x213x320x427x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x213x320x427x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$94.56-68%
Forward24x$294—
Fair32x$142-52%
Current66x$294—
Expensive133x$595+103%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CIEN's PE is in its expensive range at 66x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$798—
Cheap10x$777-2.7%
Current11x$798—
Fair22x$1,646+106%
Expensive32x$2,404+201%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MU has the edge over CIEN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CIEN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CIEN, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MU, with profitability improving.

CIEN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+115%$631.29
Downside-17%$244.80

Calculated from the latest close: $293.99 on Nov 12.

CIEN trails MU on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+219%$2,544.93
Downside-15%$674.73

Calculated from the latest close: $798.44 on Nov 12.

MU has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CIEN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CIEN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.71Q1 2024: $1.54Q2 2024: $1.04Q3 2024: $0.94Q4 2024: $0.58Q1 2025: $0.55Q2 2025: $0.73Q3 2025: $0.98Q4 2025: $0.85Q1 2026: $1.57Q2 2026: $3.00Q3 2026: $4.48Forward: $12.01
Q4 2023: $1.71Q1 2024: $1.54Q2 2024: $1.04Q3 2024: $0.94Q4 2024: $0.58Q1 2025: $0.55Q2 2025: $0.73Q3 2025: $0.98Q4 2025: $0.85Q1 2026: $1.57Q2 2026: $3.00Q3 2026: $4.48Forward: $12.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.01+168%
Q3 2026$4.48+357%
Q2 2026$3.00+311%
Q1 2026$1.57+185%
Q4 2025$0.85+47%
Q3 2025$0.98+4.3%
Q2 2025$0.73-30%
Q1 2025$0.55-64%
Q4 2024$0.58-66%

CIEN's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $4.48 over the past year, up from $0.98 the year before.

MU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$174.95+135%
Q3 2026$74.33+879%
Q2 2026$44.17+693%
Q1 2026$21.18+405%
Q4 2025$10.52+201%
Q3 2025$7.59+984%
Q2 2025$5.57+$6.99
Q1 2025$4.19+$7.64
Q4 2024$3.49+$9.77

MU has the edge over CIEN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIEN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $911MQ3 2024: $942MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $911MQ3 2024: $942MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+37%
Q2 2026$1.6B+40%
Q1 2026$1.4B+33%
Q4 2025$1.4B+20%
Q3 2025$1.2B+29%
Q2 2025$1.1B+24%
Q1 2025$1.1B+3.3%
Q4 2024$1.1B-0.5%

CIEN's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $1.7B last quarter, up 37% from the same quarter a year ago.

MU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$54.2B+379%
Q2 2026$41.5B+346%
Q1 2026$23.9B+196%
Q4 2025$13.6B+57%
Q3 2025$11.3B+46%
Q2 2025$9.3B+37%
Q1 2025$8.1B+38%
Q4 2024$8.7B+84%

MU has the edge over CIEN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIEN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $173MQ1 2024: $249MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: −$179MQ4 2024: $266MQ1 2025: $77MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $326MQ1 2026: $154MQ2 2026: $219MQ3 2026: $116M
Q4 2023: $173MQ1 2024: $249MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: −$179MQ4 2024: $266MQ1 2025: $77MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $326MQ1 2026: $154MQ2 2026: $219MQ3 2026: $116M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$116.3M-14%
Q2 2026$218.7M+71%
Q1 2026$153.8M+100%
Q4 2025$325.6M+23%
Q3 2025$134.6M+$313.6M
Q2 2025$128.2M+208%
Q1 2025$76.8M-69%
Q4 2024$265.8M+54%

CIEN generated $814M in free cash flow over the past year, up 35% from the year before.

MU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.9B+45543%
Q2 2026$17.6B+951%
Q1 2026$5.5B+$5.6B
Q4 2025$3B+7853%
Q3 2025$72M-75%
Q2 2025$1.7B+322%
Q1 2025-$113M+$52M
Q4 2024$38M+$433M

MU has the edge over CIEN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIEN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 146MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 146MQ1 2025: 146MQ2 2025: 145MQ3 2025: 144MQ4 2025: 145MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 146MQ3 2026: 146M
Q4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 146MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 146MQ1 2025: 146MQ2 2025: 145MQ3 2025: 144MQ4 2025: 145MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 146MQ3 2026: 146M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-347K shares
1 year+1%+1.5M shares
3 years-2.7%-4M shares
5 years-6.9%-10.8M shares
Available history-7.4%-11.6M shares

CIEN has the edge over MU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-2M shares
1 year+1.6%+18M shares
3 years+4.6%+50M shares
5 years+0.2%+2M shares
Available history+1.2%+14M shares

MU has 1.1B diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago.

CIEN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

CIEN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.3 years a year ago.

MU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

MU has the edge over CIEN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CIEN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic14.1Oversold

CIEN's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

MU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.1Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

MU's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

CIEN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCIENSector medianRelative
PE66x28x136% above
PE %703535 pts above

CIEN is trading at 66x earnings, a 136% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMUSector medianRelative
PE11x28x61% below
PE %183517 pts below

MU has the edge over CIEN on valuation relative to its sector.

CIEN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$338.613% below
20 week MA$368.520% below
50 week MA$375.122% below
100 week MA$238.423% above
200 week MA$144.4104% above

CIEN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 104% above its 200-week average.

MU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$914.513% below
20 week MA$931.014% below
50 week MA$685.916% above
100 week MA$405.497% above
200 week MA$246.0225% above

MU has the edge over CIEN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIEN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$42.7$53.3+25%
2021$53.3$76.0+43%
2022$76.0$49.3-35%
2023$49.3$45.0-8.8%
2024$45.0$86.7+93%
2025$86.7$241.7+179%
2026 YTD$241.7$294.0+22%

CIEN has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 22% so far in 2026.

MU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.0$70.6+31%
2021$70.6$94.4+34%
2022$94.4$50.2-47%
2023$50.2$85.3+70%
2024$85.3$88.6+3.9%
2025$88.6$284.8+221%
2026 YTD$284.8$798.4+180%

MU has the edge over CIEN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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