CIEN

Ciena Corporation

72
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential87/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

CIEN's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 66x earnings, about twice its usual 32x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

CIEN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Healthy

CIEN's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CIEN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x213x320x427x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x213x320x427x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$94.56-68%
Forward24x$294—
Fair32x$142-52%
Current66x$294—
Expensive133x$595+103%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CIEN's PE is in its expensive range at 66x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CIEN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CIEN, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CIEN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+115%$631.29
Downside-17%$244.80

Calculated from the latest close: $293.99 on Nov 12.

CIEN's one-year upside scenario is about seven times its downside: +115% against −17%.

CIEN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.71Q1 2024: $1.54Q2 2024: $1.04Q3 2024: $0.94Q4 2024: $0.58Q1 2025: $0.55Q2 2025: $0.73Q3 2025: $0.98Q4 2025: $0.85Q1 2026: $1.57Q2 2026: $3.00Q3 2026: $4.48Forward: $12.01
Q4 2023: $1.71Q1 2024: $1.54Q2 2024: $1.04Q3 2024: $0.94Q4 2024: $0.58Q1 2025: $0.55Q2 2025: $0.73Q3 2025: $0.98Q4 2025: $0.85Q1 2026: $1.57Q2 2026: $3.00Q3 2026: $4.48Forward: $12.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.01+168%
Q3 2026$4.48+357%
Q2 2026$3.00+311%
Q1 2026$1.57+185%
Q4 2025$0.85+47%
Q3 2025$0.98+4.3%
Q2 2025$0.73-30%
Q1 2025$0.55-64%
Q4 2024$0.58-66%

CIEN's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $4.48 over the past year, up from $0.98 the year before.

CIEN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $911MQ3 2024: $942MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $911MQ3 2024: $942MQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+37%
Q2 2026$1.6B+40%
Q1 2026$1.4B+33%
Q4 2025$1.4B+20%
Q3 2025$1.2B+29%
Q2 2025$1.1B+24%
Q1 2025$1.1B+3.3%
Q4 2024$1.1B-0.5%

CIEN's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $1.7B last quarter, up 37% from the same quarter a year ago.

CIEN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $173MQ1 2024: $249MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: −$179MQ4 2024: $266MQ1 2025: $77MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $326MQ1 2026: $154MQ2 2026: $219MQ3 2026: $116M
Q4 2023: $173MQ1 2024: $249MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: −$179MQ4 2024: $266MQ1 2025: $77MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: $135MQ4 2025: $326MQ1 2026: $154MQ2 2026: $219MQ3 2026: $116M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$116.3M-14%
Q2 2026$218.7M+71%
Q1 2026$153.8M+100%
Q4 2025$325.6M+23%
Q3 2025$134.6M+$313.6M
Q2 2025$128.2M+208%
Q1 2025$76.8M-69%
Q4 2024$265.8M+54%

CIEN generated $814M in free cash flow over the past year, up 35% from the year before.

CIEN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 146MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 146MQ1 2025: 146MQ2 2025: 145MQ3 2025: 144MQ4 2025: 145MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 146MQ3 2026: 146M
Q4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 146MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 146MQ1 2025: 146MQ2 2025: 145MQ3 2025: 144MQ4 2025: 145MQ1 2026: 146MQ2 2026: 146MQ3 2026: 146M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-347K shares
1 year+1%+1.5M shares
3 years-2.7%-4M shares
5 years-6.9%-10.8M shares
Available history-7.4%-11.6M shares

CIEN has 146M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.

CIEN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 1.8xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20251.8xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

CIEN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.3 years a year ago.

CIEN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic14.1Oversold

CIEN's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

CIEN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCIENSector medianRelative
PE66x28x136% above
PE %703535 pts above

CIEN is trading at 66x earnings, a 136% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CIEN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$338.613% below
20 week MA$368.520% below
50 week MA$375.122% below
100 week MA$238.423% above
200 week MA$144.4104% above

CIEN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 104% above its 200-week average.

CIEN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$42.7$53.3+25%
2021$53.3$76.0+43%
2022$76.0$49.3-35%
2023$49.3$45.0-8.8%
2024$45.0$86.7+93%
2025$86.7$241.7+179%
2026 YTD$241.7$294.0+22%

CIEN has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 22% so far in 2026.

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