CHH

Choice Hotels International, Inc.

45
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential13/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

CHH trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has the edge over CHH overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

CHH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Weak

CHH's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CHH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x84x126x168x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x84x126x168x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$73.78-38%
Forward16x$118—
Fair21x$95.93-19%
Current26x$118—
Expensive35x$155+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CHH's PE is in its fair range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CHH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CHH, but weaker profitability.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CHH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+7%$126.38
Downside-45%$65.38

Calculated from the latest close: $118.28 on Nov 12.

CHH trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CHH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CHH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.07Q1 2024: $4.67Q2 2024: $4.82Q3 2024: $5.23Q4 2024: $6.20Q1 2025: $6.52Q2 2025: $6.47Q3 2025: $8.11Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $7.40Q2 2026: $7.06Q3 2026: $4.48Forward: $7.52
Q4 2023: $5.07Q1 2024: $4.67Q2 2024: $4.82Q3 2024: $5.23Q4 2024: $6.20Q1 2025: $6.52Q2 2025: $6.47Q3 2025: $8.11Q4 2025: $7.90Q1 2026: $7.40Q2 2026: $7.06Q3 2026: $4.48Forward: $7.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.52+68%
Q3 2026$4.48-45%
Q2 2026$7.06+9.1%
Q1 2026$7.40+13%
Q4 2025$7.90+27%
Q3 2025$8.11+55%
Q2 2025$6.47+34%
Q1 2025$6.52+40%
Q4 2024$6.20+22%

CHH has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

CHH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $358MQ1 2024: $332MQ2 2024: $435MQ3 2024: $428MQ4 2024: $390MQ1 2025: $333MQ2 2025: $426MQ3 2025: $447MQ4 2025: $390MQ1 2026: $341MQ2 2026: $441MQ3 2026: $458M
Q4 2023: $358MQ1 2024: $332MQ2 2024: $435MQ3 2024: $428MQ4 2024: $390MQ1 2025: $333MQ2 2025: $426MQ3 2025: $447MQ4 2025: $390MQ1 2026: $341MQ2 2026: $441MQ3 2026: $458M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$458.3M+2.5%
Q2 2026$440.8M+3.4%
Q1 2026$340.6M+2.3%
Q4 2025$390.2M+0.1%
Q3 2025$447.3M+4.5%
Q2 2025$426.4M-2%
Q1 2025$332.9M+0.3%
Q4 2024$389.8M+8.8%

CHH's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $458M last quarter, up 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over CHH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CHH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: −$31MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $163MQ4 2024: $57MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: −$40MQ2 2026: $80MQ3 2026: $44M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: −$31MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $163MQ4 2024: $57MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: $65MQ3 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: −$40MQ2 2026: $80MQ3 2026: $44M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$44.3M-9.7%
Q2 2026$80.1M+22%
Q1 2026-$40M-$25M
Q4 2025$64.1M+12%
Q3 2025$49.1M-70%
Q2 2025$65.4M-8%
Q1 2025-$15M+$16M
Q4 2024$57.4M+296%

CHH has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

CHH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
Q4 2023: 51MQ1 2024: 50MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 46MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 45M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-317K shares
1 year-3%-1.4M shares
3 years-11%-5.4M shares
5 years-19%-10.8M shares
Available history-19%-10.6M shares

CHH has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

CHH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.6xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 4.1xQ3 2026: 4.6x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 4.1xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 3.6xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 4.1xQ3 2026: 4.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.6xHigh
Q2 20264.1xHigh
Q1 20264.0xElevated
Q4 20253.7xElevated
Q3 20253.6xElevated
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20243.4xElevated

CHH's net debt is about 4.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.6 years a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CHH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.3Neutral
Stochastic83.8Overbought

CHH's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

CHH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCHHSector medianRelative
PE26x18x47% above
PE %654718 pts above

CHH is trading at 26x earnings, a 47% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CHH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$109.48.1% above
20 week MA$107.89.8% above
50 week MA$106.211% above
100 week MA$115.52.5% above
200 week MA$119.20.8% below

CHH has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

CHH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$104.9$104.1-0.8%
2021$104.1$152.7+47%
2022$152.7$112.2-27%
2023$112.2$113.3+1%
2024$113.3$140.8+24%
2025$140.8$96.0-32%
2026 YTD$96.0$118.3+23%

CHH has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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