CHH
Choice Hotels International, Inc.
CHH's fundamentals are weak and it looks expensive: trading at 26x earnings, above its usual 22x. Its downside scenario is about seven times its upside.
CHH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
CHH's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
CHH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $73.78 | -38% |
| Forward | 16x | $118 | — |
| Fair | 21x | $95.93 | -19% |
| Current | 26x | $118 | — |
| Expensive | 35x | $155 | +31% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CHH's PE is in its fair range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
CHH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CHH, but weaker profitability.
CHH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.52 | +68% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.48 | -45% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.06 | +9.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.40 | +13% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.90 | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.11 | +55% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.47 | +34% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.52 | +40% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.20 | +22% |
CHH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.48 over the past year, against $8.11 in late 2025.
CHH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $458.3M | +2.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $440.8M | +3.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $340.6M | +2.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $390.2M | +0.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $447.3M | +4.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $426.4M | -2% |
| Q1 2025 | $332.9M | +0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $389.8M | +8.8% |
CHH's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $458M last quarter, up 2.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | -8.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | -5.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | -6.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 26% | -4.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 32% | -3.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 29% | -1.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | +5.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 31% | +20 points |
CHH's operating margin was 23% last quarter, down 8.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CHH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $44.3M | -9.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $80.1M | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | -$40M | -$25M |
| Q4 2025 | $64.1M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $49.1M | -70% |
| Q2 2025 | $65.4M | -8% |
| Q1 2025 | -$15M | +$16M |
| Q4 2024 | $57.4M | +296% |
CHH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $149M over the past year.
CHH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -317K shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -1.4M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -5.4M shares |
| 5 years | -19% | -10.8M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -10.6M shares |
CHH has 45M diluted shares, down 3% from a year ago, with $192M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $58.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $51M |
| Q1 2026 | $56.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $25.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $202,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $48.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $64.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $31.8M |
CHH spent $192M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 32% from the year before.
CHH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.6x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.4x | Elevated |
CHH's net debt is about 4.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.6 years a year ago.
CHH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 83.8 | Overbought |
CHH's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).
CHH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CHH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 47% above |
| PE % | 65 | 47 | 18 pts above |
CHH is trading at 26x earnings, a 47% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
CHH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $109.4 | 8.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $107.8 | 9.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $106.2 | 11% above |
| 100 week MA | $115.5 | 2.5% above |
| 200 week MA | $119.2 | 0.8% below |
CHH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 0.8% below its 200-week average.
CHH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $104.9 | $104.1 | -0.8% |
| 2021 | $104.1 | $152.7 | +47% |
| 2022 | $152.7 | $112.2 | -27% |
| 2023 | $112.2 | $113.3 | +1% |
| 2024 | $113.3 | $140.8 | +24% |
| 2025 | $140.8 | $96.0 | -32% |
| 2026 YTD | $96.0 | $118.3 | +23% |
CHH has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 23% so far in 2026.