CGBD

Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc.

42
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation12/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

CGBD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over CGBD overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CGBD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

CGBD's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CGBD.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

CGBD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE179x359x538x718x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE179x359x538x718x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.5x$2.84-75%
Forward7.6x$11.18—
Fair10x$5.27-53%
Expensive12x$6.15-45%
Current22x$11.18—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CGBD's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.6x, in its cheap range.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over CGBD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CGBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CGBD's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over CGBD on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

CGBD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$13.01
Downside-14%$9.60

Calculated from the latest close: $11.18 on Nov 12.

CGBD trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CGBD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CGBD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.64Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $1.91Q3 2024: $1.72Q4 2024: $1.58Q1 2025: $1.31Q2 2025: $1.18Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.01Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.52Forward: $1.47
Q4 2023: $1.64Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $1.91Q3 2024: $1.72Q4 2024: $1.58Q1 2025: $1.31Q2 2025: $1.18Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.01Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.52Forward: $1.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.47+183%
Q3 2026$0.52-55%
Q2 2026$0.50-58%
Q1 2026$0.70-47%
Q4 2025$1.01-36%
Q3 2025$1.16-33%
Q2 2025$1.18-38%
Q1 2025$1.31-21%
Q4 2024$1.58-3.7%

CGBD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.52 over the past year, against $2.78 in late 2021.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over CGBD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CGBD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$15.8M-70%
Q1 2022$40.4M-10%
Q4 2021$43.7M-9.4%
Q3 2021$57.5M+32%
Q2 2021$52.5M-23%
Q4 2020$48.2M+15%

SOFI has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 70% for CGBD versus up 44% for SOFI.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since mid-2022: $1.4B last quarter, up 44% from the same quarter a year ago.

CGBD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $63MQ4 2024: −$111MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: −$231MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: −$153MQ1 2026: $212MQ2 2026: $74MQ3 2026: $36M
Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $63MQ4 2024: −$111MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: −$231MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: −$153MQ1 2026: $212MQ2 2026: $74MQ3 2026: $36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$36.2M+7.1%
Q2 2026$73.6M+$304.5M
Q1 2026$212.4M+46%
Q4 2025-$153.3M-$42.1M
Q3 2025$33.8M-46%
Q2 2025-$230.9M-423%
Q1 2025$145.8M+80%
Q4 2024-$111.1M-299%

CGBD has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

CGBD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 70MQ3 2026: 69M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 70MQ3 2026: 69M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-727K shares
1 year-5.6%-4.1M shares
3 years+23%+12.8M shares
5 years+16%+9.6M shares
Available history+17%+10M shares

CGBD has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

CGBD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20228.9xHigh
Q1 20226.0xHigh
Q4 20216.3xHigh
Q3 20216.1xHigh
Q2 20216.1xHigh
Q1 20215.5xHigh
Q4 202097.7xHigh
Q4 201917.9xHigh

CGBD's net debt is about 8.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CGBD.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

CGBD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.9Neutral
Stochastic50.2Neutral

CGBD's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

CGBD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCGBDSector medianRelative
PE22x13x65% above
PE %906327 pts above

CGBD has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CGBD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.83.9% above
20 week MA$10.92.6% above
50 week MA$11.41.5% below
100 week MA$13.115% below
200 week MA$14.422% below

CGBD has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

CGBD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.2$11.1-22%
2021$11.1$14.0+27%
2022$14.0$14.8+5.2%
2023$14.8$15.0+1.4%
2024$15.0$18.3+22%
2025$18.3$12.6-31%
2026 YTD$12.6$11.2-11%

CGBD has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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