CGBD

Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc.

42
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation12/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

CGBD's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 22x earnings, about twice its usual 10x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

IREN

IREN Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score IREN yet.

CGBD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

CGBD's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CGBD.

IREN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

IREN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IREN.

CGBD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE179x359x538x718x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE179x359x538x718x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.5x$2.84-75%
Forward7.6x$11.18โ€”
Fair10x$5.27-53%
Expensive12x$6.15-45%
Current22x$11.18โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CGBD's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.6x, in its cheap range.

IREN PE Valuation

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CGBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CGBD's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

IREN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IREN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CGBD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$13.01
Downside-14%$9.60

Calculated from the latest close: $11.18 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CGBD and IREN's risk to reward.

IREN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $19.48 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CGBD and IREN's risk to reward.

CGBD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.64Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $1.91Q3 2024: $1.72Q4 2024: $1.58Q1 2025: $1.31Q2 2025: $1.18Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.01Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.52Forward: $1.47
Q4 2023: $1.64Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $1.91Q3 2024: $1.72Q4 2024: $1.58Q1 2025: $1.31Q2 2025: $1.18Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.01Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.52Forward: $1.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.47+183%
Q3 2026$0.52-55%
Q2 2026$0.50-58%
Q1 2026$0.70-47%
Q4 2025$1.01-36%
Q3 2025$1.16-33%
Q2 2025$1.18-38%
Q1 2025$1.31-21%
Q4 2024$1.58-3.7%

CGBD has the edge over IREN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IREN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
Q4 2023: $-0.29Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.20Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.44Q1 2025: $-0.59Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $1.60Q4 2025: $1.18Q1 2026: $0.51Q2 2026: $-2.22Q3 2026: $-3.96
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.96-347%
Q2 2026-$2.22-988%
Q1 2026$0.51+$1.10
Q4 2025$1.18+$1.62
Q3 2025$1.60+$1.99
Q2 2025$0.25+$0.45
Q1 2025-$0.59-$0.43
Q4 2024-$0.44-$0.15

IREN has swung to a loss: it lost $3.96 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

CGBD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$15.8M-70%
Q1 2022$40.4M-10%
Q4 2021$43.7M-9.4%
Q3 2021$57.5M+32%
Q2 2021$52.5M-23%
Q4 2020$48.2M+15%

IREN has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 70% for CGBD versus down 5.1% for IREN.

IREN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
Q4 2023: $42MQ1 2024: $54MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $53MQ4 2024: $116MQ1 2025: $145MQ2 2025: $187MQ3 2025: $240MQ4 2025: $185MQ1 2026: $145MQ2 2026: $137MQ3 2026: $228M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$228M-5.1%
Q2 2026$137.2M-27%
Q1 2026$144.8M0%
Q4 2025$184.7M+59%
Q3 2025$240.3M+355%
Q2 2025$187.3M+230%
Q1 2025$144.8M+168%
Q4 2024$116.1M+176%

IREN's revenue has held roughly level: $228M last quarter, down 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

CGBD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $63MQ4 2024: โˆ’$111MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: โˆ’$231MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: โˆ’$153MQ1 2026: $212MQ2 2026: $74MQ3 2026: $36M
Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $63MQ4 2024: โˆ’$111MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: โˆ’$231MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: โˆ’$153MQ1 2026: $212MQ2 2026: $74MQ3 2026: $36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$36.2M+7.1%
Q2 2026$73.6M+$304.5M
Q1 2026$212.4M+46%
Q4 2025-$153.3M-$42.1M
Q3 2025$33.8M-46%
Q2 2025-$230.9M-423%
Q1 2025$145.8M+80%
Q4 2024-$111.1M-299%

CGBD has the edge over IREN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

IREN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$29MQ1 2024: โˆ’$222MQ2 2024: โˆ’$163MQ3 2024: โˆ’$387MQ4 2024: โˆ’$134MQ1 2025: โˆ’$351MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: โˆ’$38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$468MQ1 2026: โˆ’$874MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.6B-$1.6B
Q2 2026$482.2M+2895%
Q1 2026-$873.8M-$523.1M
Q4 2025-$468M-$334M
Q3 2025-$38M+$349.4M
Q2 2025$16.1M+$179M
Q1 2025-$350.7M-$128.7M
Q4 2024-$134M-$105.2M

IREN's free cash flow was โˆ’$2.5B over the past year, against โˆ’$507M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

CGBD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 70MQ3 2026: 69M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 70MQ3 2026: 69M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-727K shares
1 year-5.6%-4.1M shares
3 years+23%+12.8M shares
5 years+16%+9.6M shares
Available history+17%+10M shares

CGBD has the edge over IREN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IREN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 186MQ3 2024: 189MQ4 2024: 210MQ1 2025: 219MQ2 2025: 257MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 298MQ1 2026: 334MQ2 2026: 316MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+26%+82.4M shares
1 year+10%+36.9M shares
3 years+511%+333M shares
5 years+624%+344M shares
Available history+2346%+382M shares

IREN has 399M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

CGBD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20228.9xHigh
Q1 20226.0xHigh
Q4 20216.3xHigh
Q3 20216.1xHigh
Q2 20216.1xHigh
Q1 20215.5xHigh
Q4 202097.7xHigh
Q4 201917.9xHigh

CGBD's net debt is about 8.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CGBD.

IREN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -10.6xQ2 2024: -15.9xQ3 2024: -16.7xQ4 2024: -4.6xQ1 2025: 3.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 22.2xQ1 2026: 157.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026157.6xHigh
Q4 202522.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20253.3xElevated
Q4 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-16.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-15.9xNet Cash

IREN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like IREN.

CGBD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.9Neutral
Stochastic50.2Neutral

CGBD's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

IREN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.3Neutral
Stochastic8.2Oversold

IREN's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

CGBD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCGBDSector medianRelative
PE22x13x65% above
PE %906327 pts above

CGBD is trading at 22x earnings, a 65% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

IREN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricIRENSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

IREN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CGBD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.83.9% above
20 week MA$10.92.6% above
50 week MA$11.41.5% below
100 week MA$13.115% below
200 week MA$14.422% below

CGBD has the edge over IREN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IREN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.835% below
20 week MA$36.246% below
50 week MA$42.854% below
100 week MA$32.039% below
200 week MA$19.12.1% above

IREN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.1% above its 200-week average.

CGBD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.2$11.1-22%
2021$11.1$14.0+27%
2022$14.0$14.8+5.2%
2023$14.8$15.0+1.4%
2024$15.0$18.3+22%
2025$18.3$12.6-31%
2026 YTD$12.6$11.2-11%

CGBD has the edge over IREN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IREN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.8$17.2-31%
2022$17.2$1.19-93%
2023$1.19$7.15+501%
2024$7.15$10.7+50%
2025$10.7$40.3+276%
2026 YTD$40.3$19.5-52%

IREN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2023 to โˆ’93% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

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