CGBD

Carlyle Secured Lending, Inc.

42
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation12/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

CGBD's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 22x earnings, about twice its usual 10x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

CGBD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

CGBD's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CGBD.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

CGBD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE179x359x538x718x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE179x359x538x718x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.5x$2.84-75%
Forward7.6x$11.18โ€”
Fair10x$5.27-53%
Expensive12x$6.15-45%
Current22x$11.18โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CGBD's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.6x, in its cheap range.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CGBD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect CGBD's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over CGBD on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

CGBD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$13.01
Downside-14%$9.60

Calculated from the latest close: $11.18 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CGBD and CIFR's risk to reward.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare CGBD and CIFR's risk to reward.

CGBD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.64Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $1.91Q3 2024: $1.72Q4 2024: $1.58Q1 2025: $1.31Q2 2025: $1.18Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.01Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.52Forward: $1.47
Q4 2023: $1.64Q1 2024: $1.66Q2 2024: $1.91Q3 2024: $1.72Q4 2024: $1.58Q1 2025: $1.31Q2 2025: $1.18Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $1.01Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.52Forward: $1.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.47+183%
Q3 2026$0.52-55%
Q2 2026$0.50-58%
Q1 2026$0.70-47%
Q4 2025$1.01-36%
Q3 2025$1.16-33%
Q2 2025$1.18-38%
Q1 2025$1.31-21%
Q4 2024$1.58-3.7%

CGBD has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

CGBD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$15.8M-70%
Q1 2022$40.4M-10%
Q4 2021$43.7M-9.4%
Q3 2021$57.5M+32%
Q2 2021$52.5M-23%
Q4 2020$48.2M+15%

CIFR has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 70% for CGBD versus down 63% for CIFR.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

CGBD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $63MQ4 2024: โˆ’$111MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: โˆ’$231MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: โˆ’$153MQ1 2026: $212MQ2 2026: $74MQ3 2026: $36M
Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $81MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $63MQ4 2024: โˆ’$111MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: โˆ’$231MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: โˆ’$153MQ1 2026: $212MQ2 2026: $74MQ3 2026: $36M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$36.2M+7.1%
Q2 2026$73.6M+$304.5M
Q1 2026$212.4M+46%
Q4 2025-$153.3M-$42.1M
Q3 2025$33.8M-46%
Q2 2025-$230.9M-423%
Q1 2025$145.8M+80%
Q4 2024-$111.1M-299%

CGBD has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was โˆ’$3.1B over the past year, against โˆ’$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

CGBD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 70MQ3 2026: 69M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 56MQ3 2024: 56MQ4 2024: 56MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 70MQ3 2026: 69M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-727K shares
1 year-5.6%-4.1M shares
3 years+23%+12.8M shares
5 years+16%+9.6M shares
Available history+17%+10M shares

CGBD has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

CGBD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20228.9xHigh
Q1 20226.0xHigh
Q4 20216.3xHigh
Q3 20216.1xHigh
Q2 20216.1xHigh
Q1 20215.5xHigh
Q4 202097.7xHigh
Q4 201917.9xHigh

CGBD's net debt is about 8.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.1 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CGBD.

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

CGBD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.9Neutral
Stochastic50.2Neutral

CGBD's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

CGBD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCGBDSector medianRelative
PE22x13x65% above
PE %906327 pts above

CGBD is trading at 22x earnings, a 65% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CGBD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.83.9% above
20 week MA$10.92.6% above
50 week MA$11.41.5% below
100 week MA$13.115% below
200 week MA$14.422% below

CGBD has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

CGBD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.2$11.1-22%
2021$11.1$14.0+27%
2022$14.0$14.8+5.2%
2023$14.8$15.0+1.4%
2024$15.0$18.3+22%
2025$18.3$12.6-31%
2026 YTD$12.6$11.2-11%

CGBD has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to โˆ’90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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