CELH

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

72
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CELH has the edge over TSN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

TSN

Tyson Foods, Inc.

44
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation10/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

TSN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CELH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Strong

CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

TSN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable

TSN's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently stable.

CELH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE318x636x954x1272x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$31.89—
Current35x$31.89—
Cheap40x$35.95+13%
Fair141x$127+299%
Expensive650x$585+1735%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CELH has the edge over TSN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9x$14.61-75%
Fair13x$20.52-65%
Forward16x$59.26—
Expensive37x$59.31+0.1%
Current37x$59.26—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSN's PE is in its expensive range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

CELH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

CELH has the edge over TSN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

TSN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect TSN's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

CELH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+69%$54.01
Downside-25%$23.76

Calculated from the latest close: $31.89 on Nov 12.

CELH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$69.59
Downside-16%$49.50

Calculated from the latest close: $59.26 on Nov 12.

TSN trails CELH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CELH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $0.77Q1 2024: $0.91Q2 2024: $1.01Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.45Q1 2025: $0.33Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.25Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.24Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53+70%
Q3 2026$0.90+718%
Q2 2026$0.24-37%
Q1 2026$0.43+30%
Q4 2025$0.25-44%
Q3 2025$0.11-85%
Q2 2025$0.38-62%
Q1 2025$0.33-64%
Q4 2024$0.45-42%

CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.

TSN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.87Q4 2023: $-2.45Q1 2024: $-1.76Q2 2024: $-0.04Q3 2024: $2.25Q4 2024: $2.96Q1 2025: $2.57Q2 2025: $2.20Q3 2025: $1.33Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $1.27Q2 2026: $1.62Forward: $3.79
Q3 2023: $-1.87Q4 2023: $-2.45Q1 2024: $-1.76Q2 2024: $-0.04Q3 2024: $2.25Q4 2024: $2.96Q1 2025: $2.57Q2 2025: $2.20Q3 2025: $1.33Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $1.27Q2 2026: $1.62Forward: $3.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.79+134%
Q2 2026$1.62-26%
Q1 2026$1.27-51%
Q4 2025$0.56-81%
Q3 2025$1.33-41%
Q2 2025$2.20+$2.24
Q1 2025$2.57+$4.33
Q4 2024$2.96+$5.41
Q3 2024$2.25+$4.12

TSN has the edge over CELH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CELH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
Q4 2023: $347MQ1 2024: $356MQ2 2024: $402MQ3 2024: $266MQ4 2024: $332MQ1 2025: $329MQ2 2025: $739MQ3 2025: $725MQ4 2025: $722MQ1 2026: $783MQ2 2026: $818MQ3 2026: $847M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$847.2M+17%
Q2 2026$817.9M+11%
Q1 2026$782.6M+138%
Q4 2025$721.6M+117%
Q3 2025$725.1M+173%
Q2 2025$739.3M+84%
Q1 2025$329.3M-7.4%
Q4 2024$332.2M-4.4%

CELH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $847M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $13.3BQ4 2023: $13.3BQ1 2024: $13.1BQ2 2024: $13.4BQ3 2024: $13.6BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $13.1BQ2 2025: $13.9BQ3 2025: $13.9BQ4 2025: $14.3BQ1 2026: $13.7BQ2 2026: $13.9B
Q3 2023: $13.3BQ4 2023: $13.3BQ1 2024: $13.1BQ2 2024: $13.4BQ3 2024: $13.6BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $13.1BQ2 2025: $13.9BQ3 2025: $13.9BQ4 2025: $14.3BQ1 2026: $13.7BQ2 2026: $13.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$13.9B-0.1%
Q1 2026$13.7B+4.4%
Q4 2025$14.3B+5.1%
Q3 2025$13.9B+2.2%
Q2 2025$13.9B+4%
Q1 2025$13.1B0%
Q4 2024$13.6B+2.3%
Q3 2024$13.6B+1.6%

TSN's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $13.9B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

CELH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
Q4 2023: $426,000Q1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $321MQ4 2025: −$130MQ1 2026: $66MQ2 2026: $205MQ3 2026: $128M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$127.7M-60%
Q2 2026$205.5M+479%
Q1 2026$65.8M-32%
Q4 2025-$130M-285%
Q3 2025$321.5M+3599%
Q2 2025$35.5M+17%
Q1 2025$96.4M-26%
Q4 2024$70.3M+16394%

CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.

TSN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$52MQ4 2023: $946MQ1 2024: −$390MQ2 2024: $533MQ3 2024: $369MQ4 2024: $760MQ1 2025: −$378MQ2 2025: $547MQ3 2025: $248MQ4 2025: $690MQ1 2026: −$258MQ2 2026: $481M
Q3 2023: −$52MQ4 2023: $946MQ1 2024: −$390MQ2 2024: $533MQ3 2024: $369MQ4 2024: $760MQ1 2025: −$378MQ2 2025: $547MQ3 2025: $248MQ4 2025: $690MQ1 2026: −$258MQ2 2026: $481M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$481M-12%
Q1 2026-$258M+$120M
Q4 2025$690M-9.2%
Q3 2025$248M-33%
Q2 2025$547M+2.6%
Q1 2025-$378M+$12M
Q4 2024$760M-20%
Q3 2024$369M+$421M

TSN still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $1.2B over the past year.

CELH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 237MQ1 2024: 238MQ2 2024: 238MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 237MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 255MQ1 2026: 260MQ2 2026: 257MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-2M shares
1 year-1.1%-2.9M shares
3 years+7.4%+17.6M shares
5 years+8.3%+19.5M shares
Available history+32%+62.4M shares

CELH has the edge over TSN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 284MQ4 2023: 355MQ1 2024: 355MQ2 2024: 356MQ3 2024: 356MQ4 2024: 357MQ1 2025: 357MQ2 2025: 357MQ3 2025: 357MQ4 2025: 354MQ1 2026: 354MQ2 2026: 355M
Q3 2023: 284MQ4 2023: 355MQ1 2024: 355MQ2 2024: 356MQ3 2024: 356MQ4 2024: 357MQ1 2025: 357MQ2 2025: 357MQ3 2025: 357MQ4 2025: 354MQ1 2026: 354MQ2 2026: 355M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+1M shares
1 year-0.6%-2M shares
3 years+0.3%+1M shares
5 years-3%-11M shares
Available history-3%-11M shares

TSN has 355M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

CELH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.9xQ2 2024: -2.7xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -5.5xQ1 2025: -7.3xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20251.6xHealthy
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.5xNet Cash

CELH has the edge over TSN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TSN Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 9.6xQ4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 7.6xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.8x
Q3 2023: 9.6xQ4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 7.6xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20263.0xElevated
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate
Q3 20242.9xModerate

TSN's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

CELH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic56.8Neutral

CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

TSN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.0Neutral
Stochastic73.2Neutral

TSN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricCELHSector medianRelative
PE35x19x82% above
PE %11187 pts below

CELH has the edge over TSN on valuation relative to its sector.

TSN PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricTSNSector medianRelative
PE37x19x88% above
PE %831865 pts above

TSN is trading at 37x earnings, a 88% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

CELH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.19.4% above
20 week MA$29.67.8% above
50 week MA$36.112% below
100 week MA$38.818% below
200 week MA$44.629% below

CELH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 29% below its 200-week average.

TSN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$55.56.8% above
20 week MA$56.15.7% above
50 week MA$59.50.3% below
100 week MA$58.02.2% above
200 week MA$57.23.6% above

TSN has the edge over CELH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CELH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.58$14.7+832%
2021$14.7$24.9+69%
2022$24.9$35.6+43%
2023$35.6$54.5+53%
2024$54.5$26.5-51%
2025$26.5$45.6+72%
2026 YTD$45.6$31.9-30%

CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

TSN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$91.4$64.8-29%
2021$64.8$85.2+32%
2022$85.2$61.4-28%
2023$61.4$53.8-12%
2024$53.8$58.0+7.9%
2025$58.0$58.6+1%
2026 YTD$58.6$59.3+1.2%

TSN has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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