TSN

Tyson Foods, Inc.

44
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation10/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

TSN's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 37x earnings, about three times its usual 13x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

TSN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable

TSN's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently stable.

TSN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9x$14.61-75%
Fair13x$20.52-65%
Forward16x$59.26—
Expensive37x$59.31+0.1%
Current37x$59.26—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSN's PE is in its expensive range at 37x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

TSN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect TSN's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

TSN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$69.59
Downside-16%$49.50

Calculated from the latest close: $59.26 on Nov 12.

TSN's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +17% against −16%.

TSN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.87Q4 2023: $-2.45Q1 2024: $-1.76Q2 2024: $-0.04Q3 2024: $2.25Q4 2024: $2.96Q1 2025: $2.57Q2 2025: $2.20Q3 2025: $1.33Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $1.27Q2 2026: $1.62Forward: $3.79
Q3 2023: $-1.87Q4 2023: $-2.45Q1 2024: $-1.76Q2 2024: $-0.04Q3 2024: $2.25Q4 2024: $2.96Q1 2025: $2.57Q2 2025: $2.20Q3 2025: $1.33Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $1.27Q2 2026: $1.62Forward: $3.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.79+134%
Q2 2026$1.62-26%
Q1 2026$1.27-51%
Q4 2025$0.56-81%
Q3 2025$1.33-41%
Q2 2025$2.20+$2.24
Q1 2025$2.57+$4.33
Q4 2024$2.96+$5.41
Q3 2024$2.25+$4.12

TSN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.62 over the past year, against $11.13 in mid-2022.

TSN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $13.3BQ4 2023: $13.3BQ1 2024: $13.1BQ2 2024: $13.4BQ3 2024: $13.6BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $13.1BQ2 2025: $13.9BQ3 2025: $13.9BQ4 2025: $14.3BQ1 2026: $13.7BQ2 2026: $13.9B
Q3 2023: $13.3BQ4 2023: $13.3BQ1 2024: $13.1BQ2 2024: $13.4BQ3 2024: $13.6BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $13.1BQ2 2025: $13.9BQ3 2025: $13.9BQ4 2025: $14.3BQ1 2026: $13.7BQ2 2026: $13.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$13.9B-0.1%
Q1 2026$13.7B+4.4%
Q4 2025$14.3B+5.1%
Q3 2025$13.9B+2.2%
Q2 2025$13.9B+4%
Q1 2025$13.1B0%
Q4 2024$13.6B+2.3%
Q3 2024$13.6B+1.6%

TSN's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $13.9B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

TSN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$52MQ4 2023: $946MQ1 2024: −$390MQ2 2024: $533MQ3 2024: $369MQ4 2024: $760MQ1 2025: −$378MQ2 2025: $547MQ3 2025: $248MQ4 2025: $690MQ1 2026: −$258MQ2 2026: $481M
Q3 2023: −$52MQ4 2023: $946MQ1 2024: −$390MQ2 2024: $533MQ3 2024: $369MQ4 2024: $760MQ1 2025: −$378MQ2 2025: $547MQ3 2025: $248MQ4 2025: $690MQ1 2026: −$258MQ2 2026: $481M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$481M-12%
Q1 2026-$258M+$120M
Q4 2025$690M-9.2%
Q3 2025$248M-33%
Q2 2025$547M+2.6%
Q1 2025-$378M+$12M
Q4 2024$760M-20%
Q3 2024$369M+$421M

TSN still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $1.2B over the past year.

TSN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 284MQ4 2023: 355MQ1 2024: 355MQ2 2024: 356MQ3 2024: 356MQ4 2024: 357MQ1 2025: 357MQ2 2025: 357MQ3 2025: 357MQ4 2025: 354MQ1 2026: 354MQ2 2026: 355M
Q3 2023: 284MQ4 2023: 355MQ1 2024: 355MQ2 2024: 356MQ3 2024: 356MQ4 2024: 357MQ1 2025: 357MQ2 2025: 357MQ3 2025: 357MQ4 2025: 354MQ1 2026: 354MQ2 2026: 355M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+1M shares
1 year-0.6%-2M shares
3 years+0.3%+1M shares
5 years-3%-11M shares
Available history-3%-11M shares

TSN has 355M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

TSN Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 9.6xQ4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 7.6xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.8x
Q3 2023: 9.6xQ4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 7.6xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20263.0xElevated
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate
Q3 20242.9xModerate

TSN's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

TSN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.0Neutral
Stochastic73.2Neutral

TSN's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

TSN PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricTSNSector medianRelative
PE37x19x88% above
PE %831865 pts above

TSN is trading at 37x earnings, a 88% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

TSN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$55.56.8% above
20 week MA$56.15.7% above
50 week MA$59.50.3% below
100 week MA$58.02.2% above
200 week MA$57.23.6% above

TSN's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 3.6% above its 200-week average.

TSN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$91.4$64.8-29%
2021$64.8$85.2+32%
2022$85.2$61.4-28%
2023$61.4$53.8-12%
2024$53.8$58.0+7.9%
2025$58.0$58.6+1%
2026 YTD$58.6$59.3+1.2%

TSN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 1.2% so far in 2026.

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