CELH
Celsius Holdings, Inc.
CELH has the edge over SFM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
SFM
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
SFM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
CELH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
SFM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
SFM's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
CELH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 21x | $31.89 | — |
| Current | 35x | $31.89 | — |
| Cheap | 40x | $35.95 | +13% |
| Fair | 141x | $127 | +299% |
| Expensive | 650x | $585 | +1735% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CELH's PE is in its cheap range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings.
SFM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 9.8x | $51.38 | — |
| Cheap | 11x | $59.04 | +15% |
| Forward | 12x | $51.38 | — |
| Fair | 15x | $79.44 | +55% |
| Expensive | 29x | $149 | +190% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SFM has the edge over CELH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
CELH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
CELH has the edge over SFM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
SFM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect SFM's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CELH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.53 | +70% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.90 | +718% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.24 | -37% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.43 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.25 | -44% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.11 | -85% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.38 | -62% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.33 | -64% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.45 | -42% |
CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.
SFM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.33 | -17% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.22 | +1.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.23 | +7.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.21 | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.31 | +42% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.16 | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.85 | +53% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.44 | +54% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.75 | +50% |
SFM has the edge over CELH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CELH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $847.2M | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $817.9M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $782.6M | +138% |
| Q4 2025 | $721.6M | +117% |
| Q3 2025 | $725.1M | +173% |
| Q2 2025 | $739.3M | +84% |
| Q1 2025 | $329.3M | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $332.2M | -4.4% |
CELH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $847M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +31 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.2% | -10 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.6% | +9.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | -11% | -9.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | -4.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | -7.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -5.6% | -23 points |
CELH has the edge over SFM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SFM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.3B | +4.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.3B | +4.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.3B | +4.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B | +7.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2B | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.2B | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2B | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | +18% |
SFM's revenue has grown year over year for 19 quarters in a row: $2.3B last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.6% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 7.5% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.2% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.2% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.1% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.3% | +1.2 points |
SFM's operating margin was 6.6% last quarter, down 0.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CELH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $127.7M | -60% |
| Q2 2026 | $205.5M | +479% |
| Q1 2026 | $65.8M | -32% |
| Q4 2025 | -$130M | -285% |
| Q3 2025 | $321.5M | +3599% |
| Q2 2025 | $35.5M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $96.4M | -26% |
| Q4 2024 | $70.3M | +16394% |
CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.
SFM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $91.8M | -18% |
| Q2 2026 | $45M | -11% |
| Q1 2026 | $134.1M | -44% |
| Q4 2025 | $66.3M | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $111.4M | -29% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.4M | +49% |
| Q1 2025 | $239.6M | +42% |
| Q4 2024 | $56.2M | +$60.4M |
SFM still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $337M over the past year.
CELH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -2.9M shares |
| 3 years | +7.4% | +17.6M shares |
| 5 years | +8.3% | +19.5M shares |
| Available history | +32% | +62.4M shares |
CELH has 255M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $300,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $1M |
| Q1 2026 | $8.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $2.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $448,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $879,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $603,000 |
CELH spent $13M buying back its own shares over the past year, about three times what it spent the year before.
SFM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -744K shares |
| 1 year | -5.1% | -5M shares |
| 3 years | -8.8% | -9M shares |
| 5 years | -18% | -21.2M shares |
| Available history | -22% | -26.1M shares |
SFM has the edge over CELH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $89.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $70M |
| Q1 2026 | $140M |
| Q4 2025 | $130M |
| Q3 2025 | $49.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $73.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $218.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $98.8M |
SFM spent $429M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 2.6% from the year before.
CELH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | -7.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.5x | Net Cash |
CELH has more cash than debt.
SFM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
SFM has the edge over CELH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
CELH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 56.8 | Neutral |
CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).
SFM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.9 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 6.4 | Oversold |
SFM's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector
| Metric | CELH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35x | 19x | 82% above |
| PE % | 11 | 18 | 7 pts below |
CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.
SFM PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector
| Metric | SFM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.8x | 19x | 50% below |
| PE % | 6 | 18 | 12 pts below |
SFM has the edge over CELH on valuation relative to its sector.
CELH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $29.1 | 9.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $29.6 | 7.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $36.1 | 12% below |
| 100 week MA | $38.8 | 18% below |
| 200 week MA | $44.6 | 29% below |
CELH has the edge over SFM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SFM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $59.2 | 13% below |
| 20 week MA | $71.9 | 29% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.9 | 32% below |
| 100 week MA | $108.2 | 53% below |
| 200 week MA | $85.7 | 40% below |
SFM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 200-week average.
CELH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.58 | $14.7 | +832% |
| 2021 | $14.7 | $24.9 | +69% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $35.6 | +43% |
| 2023 | $35.6 | $54.5 | +53% |
| 2024 | $54.5 | $26.5 | -51% |
| 2025 | $26.5 | $45.6 | +72% |
| 2026 YTD | $45.6 | $31.9 | -30% |
CELH has the edge over SFM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SFM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $19.5 | $20.3 | +4% |
| 2021 | $20.3 | $28.0 | +38% |
| 2022 | $28.0 | $33.7 | +20% |
| 2023 | $33.7 | $48.1 | +43% |
| 2024 | $48.1 | $128.5 | +167% |
| 2025 | $128.5 | $79.6 | -38% |
| 2026 YTD | $79.6 | $51.4 | -35% |
SFM is down 35% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.