SFM

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.

51
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential28/ 100

SFM's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 5.3%, but free cash flow fell 26%. At 9.8x earnings, it's trading below its usual 15x. Analysts expect earnings to decline, though they disagree widely on how much.

SFM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

SFM's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

SFM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x53x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x53x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current9.8x$51.38—
Cheap11x$59.04+15%
Forward12x$51.38—
Fair15x$79.44+55%
Expensive29x$149+190%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SFM's PE is in its cheap range at 9.8x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 12x next year's earnings.

SFM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Decline
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SFM's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SFM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$62.44
Downside-28%$36.87

Calculated from the latest close: $51.38 on Nov 12.

SFM's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −28% against +22%.

SFM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.50Q1 2024: $2.89Q2 2024: $3.18Q3 2024: $3.45Q4 2024: $3.75Q1 2025: $4.44Q2 2025: $4.85Q3 2025: $5.16Q4 2025: $5.31Q1 2026: $5.21Q2 2026: $5.23Q3 2026: $5.22Forward: $4.33
Q4 2023: $2.50Q1 2024: $2.89Q2 2024: $3.18Q3 2024: $3.45Q4 2024: $3.75Q1 2025: $4.44Q2 2025: $4.85Q3 2025: $5.16Q4 2025: $5.31Q1 2026: $5.21Q2 2026: $5.23Q3 2026: $5.22Forward: $4.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.33-17%
Q3 2026$5.22+1.2%
Q2 2026$5.23+7.8%
Q1 2026$5.21+17%
Q4 2025$5.31+42%
Q3 2025$5.16+50%
Q2 2025$4.85+53%
Q1 2025$4.44+54%
Q4 2024$3.75+50%

SFM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $5.22 over the past year, up 1.2% from the year before, and higher year over year for 16 quarters in a row.

SFM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+4.7%
Q2 2026$2.3B+4.7%
Q1 2026$2.3B+4.1%
Q4 2025$2.1B+7.6%
Q3 2025$2.2B+13%
Q2 2025$2.2B+17%
Q1 2025$2.2B+19%
Q4 2024$2B+18%

SFM's revenue has grown year over year for 19 quarters in a row: $2.3B last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

SFM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $156MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: $240MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $111MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: $134MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $92M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $168MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $156MQ4 2024: $56MQ1 2025: $240MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $111MQ4 2025: $66MQ1 2026: $134MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $92M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$91.8M-18%
Q2 2026$45M-11%
Q1 2026$134.1M-44%
Q4 2025$66.3M+18%
Q3 2025$111.4M-29%
Q2 2025$50.4M+49%
Q1 2025$239.6M+42%
Q4 2024$56.2M+$60.4M

SFM still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $337M over the past year.

SFM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 103MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 101MQ3 2024: 101MQ4 2024: 101MQ1 2025: 100MQ2 2025: 99MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 94MQ3 2026: 94M
Q4 2023: 103MQ1 2024: 102MQ2 2024: 101MQ3 2024: 101MQ4 2024: 101MQ1 2025: 100MQ2 2025: 99MQ3 2025: 99MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 96MQ2 2026: 94MQ3 2026: 94M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-744K shares
1 year-5.1%-5M shares
3 years-8.8%-9M shares
5 years-18%-21.2M shares
Available history-22%-26.1M shares

SFM has 94M diluted shares, down 5.1% from a year ago, with $429M in buybacks over the past year.

SFM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

SFM has more cash than debt.

SFM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.9Oversold
Stochastic6.4Oversold

SFM's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

SFM PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricSFMSector medianRelative
PE9.8x19x50% below
PE %61812 pts below

SFM is trading at 9.8x earnings, a 50% discount to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

SFM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$59.213% below
20 week MA$71.929% below
50 week MA$75.932% below
100 week MA$108.253% below
200 week MA$85.740% below

SFM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 200-week average.

SFM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.5$20.3+4%
2021$20.3$28.0+38%
2022$28.0$33.7+20%
2023$33.7$48.1+43%
2024$48.1$128.5+167%
2025$128.5$79.6-38%
2026 YTD$79.6$51.4-35%

SFM is down 35% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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