CELH
Celsius Holdings, Inc.
CELH has the edge over POST overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
POST
Post Holdings, Inc.
POST has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
CELH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
CELH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
POST Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
POST's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
CELH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 21x | $31.89 | — |
| Current | 35x | $31.89 | — |
| Cheap | 40x | $35.95 | +13% |
| Fair | 141x | $127 | +299% |
| Expensive | 650x | $585 | +1735% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CELH has the edge over POST in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
POST PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 11x | $79.62 | — |
| Cheap | 12x | $66.74 | -16% |
| Current | 15x | $79.62 | — |
| Fair | 19x | $103 | +29% |
| Expensive | 40x | $216 | +171% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
POST's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x.
CELH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
CELH has the edge over POST on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
POST Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect POST's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.
CELH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.53 | +70% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.90 | +718% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.24 | -37% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.43 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.25 | -44% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.11 | -85% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.38 | -62% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.33 | -64% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.45 | -42% |
CELH earned $0.90 per share over the past year, about eight times what it earned the year before.
POST Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.09 | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.47 | -7% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.97 | +6.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.44 | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.51 | -2.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.88 | +9.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.62 | +7.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.07 | +31% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.64 | +17% |
POST has the edge over CELH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CELH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $847.2M | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $817.9M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $782.6M | +138% |
| Q4 2025 | $721.6M | +117% |
| Q3 2025 | $725.1M | +173% |
| Q2 2025 | $739.3M | +84% |
| Q1 2025 | $329.3M | -7.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $332.2M | -4.4% |
CELH has the edge over POST on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | +31 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.2% | -10 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.6% | +9.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | -11% | -9.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | -4.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | -7.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -5.6% | -23 points |
CELH has the edge over POST on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
POST Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | -1.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $2B | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.2B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $2B | +1.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | -2.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | +0.4% |
| Q3 2024 | $2B | +3.3% |
POST's revenue is growing: $1.9B last quarter, down 1.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 9.7% | -2.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 10% | +1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | +0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.5% | -2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.3% | -0.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +0.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 9.5% | +1.6 points |
POST's operating margin was 9.7% last quarter, down 2.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CELH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $127.7M | -60% |
| Q2 2026 | $205.5M | +479% |
| Q1 2026 | $65.8M | -32% |
| Q4 2025 | -$130M | -285% |
| Q3 2025 | $321.5M | +3599% |
| Q2 2025 | $35.5M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $96.4M | -26% |
| Q4 2024 | $70.3M | +16394% |
CELH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $269M over the past year.
POST Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $131.2M | +38% |
| Q1 2026 | $151M | +115% |
| Q4 2025 | $119.3M | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $151.6M | +58% |
| Q2 2025 | $94.9M | -41% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.2M | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $171.4M | +83% |
| Q3 2024 | $96.2M | -43% |
POST has the edge over CELH on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
CELH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -2.9M shares |
| 3 years | +7.4% | +17.6M shares |
| 5 years | +8.3% | +19.5M shares |
| Available history | +32% | +62.4M shares |
CELH has 255M diluted shares, down 1.1% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $300,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $1M |
| Q1 2026 | $8.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $2.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $448,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $879,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $603,000 |
CELH spent $13M buying back its own shares over the past year, about three times what it spent the year before.
POST Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -5.2% | -2.8M shares |
| 1 year | -18% | -11.1M shares |
| 3 years | -25% | -17.2M shares |
| 5 years | -19% | -12.4M shares |
| Available history | -32% | -23.8M shares |
POST has the edge over CELH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $204.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $335.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $376.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $274.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $59.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $200M |
| Q4 2024 | $175.1M |
| Q3 2024 | $52M |
POST spent $1.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 145% from the year before.
CELH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | -7.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.5x | Net Cash |
CELH has the edge over POST on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
POST Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 5.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.5x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.8x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.7x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 4.7x | High |
POST's net debt is about 5.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.8 years a year ago.
CELH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 56.8 | Neutral |
CELH's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).
POST Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 49.3 | Neutral |
POST's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).
CELH PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector
| Metric | CELH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35x | 19x | 82% above |
| PE % | 11 | 18 | 7 pts below |
CELH is trading at 35x earnings, a 82% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.
POST PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector
| Metric | POST | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 19x | 25% below |
| PE % | 24 | 18 | 6 pts above |
POST has the edge over CELH on valuation relative to its sector.
CELH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $29.1 | 9.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $29.6 | 7.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $36.1 | 12% below |
| 100 week MA | $38.8 | 18% below |
| 200 week MA | $44.6 | 29% below |
CELH has the edge over POST on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
POST Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $78.2 | 1.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $82.0 | 2.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $92.7 | 14% below |
| 100 week MA | $101.3 | 21% below |
| 200 week MA | $99.4 | 20% below |
POST has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 20% below its 200-week average.
CELH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.58 | $14.7 | +832% |
| 2021 | $14.7 | $24.9 | +69% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $35.6 | +43% |
| 2023 | $35.6 | $54.5 | +53% |
| 2024 | $54.5 | $26.5 | -51% |
| 2025 | $26.5 | $45.6 | +72% |
| 2026 YTD | $45.6 | $31.9 | -30% |
CELH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +832% in 2020 to −51% in 2024. It's down 30% so far in 2026.
POST Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $72.8 | $66.9 | -8.1% |
| 2021 | $66.9 | $71.4 | +6.7% |
| 2022 | $71.4 | $91.1 | +28% |
| 2023 | $91.1 | $88.1 | -3.3% |
| 2024 | $88.1 | $114.5 | +30% |
| 2025 | $114.5 | $101.2 | -12% |
| 2026 YTD | $101.2 | $79.6 | -21% |
POST has the edge over CELH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.